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(FREE!) NBA Full Court Press Breakdown, Advice, and Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Feb. 15th, 2021

Full Court Press Breakdown for NBA DFS 2/15:

Mar 4, 2017; College Station, TX, USA; Kentucky Wildcats guard De’Aaron Fox (0) brings the ball up the court during the second half against the Texas A&M Aggies at Reed Arena. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

Welcome to another year of the DFS Army NBA Full Court Press! Members had a ton of success using the Full Court Press along with various articles and tools that DFS Army provides last season, so we are glad to be back with another year of the all-inclusive article. You have to start your research somewhere, and oftentimes going game by game and breaking down every matchup and its key players is the first step in our process. My name is Michael aka @MadnessDFS on Twitter, make sure to give me a follow as I’ll occasionally make updates to the advice in the article. But, you’ll mostly find me in our VIP coaching forums where I provide detailed lineup maneuvers and answer all lineup questions. With that said, let’s get it started!

I want to give a quick shoutout to VIP Member “Irzarl29” on a $40k win last week, congrats!!

Chicago Bulls @ Indiana Pacers

Vegas Total: 229.5

Vegas Spread: Ind -6.0

We’ll kick this slate off with the Bulls, the price on Zach LaVine is at a point where I don’t really want to prioritize him against a solid Pacers defense, there will be better spend up options on this slate. Coby White is still overpriced as well, he’s not consistently producing 30+ fantasy points like he’s priced. Wendell Carter Jr. is currently questionable, so keep an eye on the VIP Coaching forum for news surrounding him, if he’s out again Thad Young would pick a lot of those big man minutes. Patrick Williams and Denzel Valentine should continue to fill up those extra minutes that are available with Otto Porter and Lauri Markkanen out. Williams would be my preferred option due to the secured minutes that he’s seeing nightly. From the Pacers, this is a nice pace-up spot for them so probably a team that I’m going to look to have some nice exposure on. Domantas Sabonis dropped 55 DraftKings points on the Bulls earlier this season and won’t have much standing in his way here either. Malcolm Brogdon has been really consistent as of late so he’s a guy that I like in all formats due to the ceiling/floor combo that he provides. Myles Turner picked it up a bit last time out going for 41.5 DraftKings points, similar to Sabonis, if Carter Jr. is out for this team they’re going to struggle down low… and really if Carter Jr. is back I don’t have an issue with Turner either due to his ability to rack up those peripheral stats. TJ McConnell is suddenly playing 30+ minutes and has always been a nice point per minute guy, he has at least 28 DraftKings points in three straight games. Then lastly, Doug McDermott saw 37 minutes last game on his way to 35 DraftKings points, he’s really scoring dependent but if he’s out I would expect to see more run out of Jeremy Lamb who is priced really nicely here as well.

5-star play: Domantas Sabonis

4-star play: Zach LaVine, Thad Young, Patrick Williams, Malcolm Brogdon, TJ McConnell, Myles Turner, Jeremy Lamb

Deeper Value: None

GPP Sleeper: Coby White, Denzel Valentine, TJ McConnell

Houston Rockets @ Washington Wizards

Vegas Total: 228.5

Vegas Spread: Was -1.0

Starting with the Rockets, Victor Oladipo will be out for this game again meaning we can go right back to the John Wall well in a revenge game against the Wizards. He’s going to see 30+ minutes and has a usage rate of over 30% with Oladipo and James Harden off the court. DeMarcus Cousins has seen his minutes come down as of late but so has his price, I have no issue going to him here in a nice matchup against a terrible Wizards front-court. Eric Gordon should see 30+ minutes as well with Oladipo out and is a 1+ fantasy point per minute guy with Oladipo and Harden off the court this season. Outside of these guys, the only guy I really have any interest in would be Sterling Brown, he’s been getting solid minutes and that will continue here with Oladipo out. He provides some nice salary relief here and has been good from a point per minute standpoint. From the Wizards, speaking of revenge games, Russell Westbrook is likely questionable here due to it being a back-to-back for the Wizards. My guess is he tries to give it a go, but will ultimately be up to the coaching staff. Keep an eye on the VIP Coaching forum for updates around this team once we get news on him. I’m not sure what Bradley Beal did to the DraftKings pricing team, but he is far too cheap here considering the production he has put up this season. He’s an elite play and just a mortal lock if Westbrook ends up getting ruled out. Outside of these guys, the rest of this team is really just GPP options for me with guys like Davis Bertans, Rui Hachimura, and Deni Avdija being pretty volatile.

5-star play: John Wall, Russell Westbrook, Bradley Beal

4-star play: DeMarcus Cousins, Eric Gordon, Sterling Brown

Deeper Value: Sterling Brown

GPP Sleeper: Sterling Brown, Davis Bertans, Rui Hachimura, Deni Avdija, DeMarcus Cousins, Danuel House Jr.

Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks

Vegas Total: 217

Vegas Spread: Atl -2.0

Starting with the Hawks, Trae Young has been held under 40 DraftKings points in two straight games and now gets a pretty heavy pace down spot against the Knicks, he’s more of a tournament guy for me. Clint Capela’s price is getting to a nice range on DraftKings and with Mitchell Robinson out for the Knicks, I like him a good amount here. We kind of know what John Collins is at this point, he’s going to be a volatile piece but has a nice ceiling for GPPs, but too unpredictable for cash games. I’m not sure why I don’t get to Kevin Huerter all that much, I just have a hard time stomaching this price tag on DraftKings especially in a slower matchup with the Knicks. Danilo Gallinari bounced-back last time out going for 32 DraftKings points, he’s a guy I’m willing to go to at this price tag while De’Andre Hunter is still out. Then Cam Reddish is more of a GPP option if you’re looking to get more pieces on this team. From the Knicks, Nerlens Noel drew the start for the injured Mitchell Robinson last game and played 32 minutes. I would expect something similar here and is a nice price that puts him in play as a value option here. Julius Randle at under $9k? Yes please, this isn’t a matchup that really worries me and he’s produced nicely this season from a floor and ceiling standpoint. RJ Barrett’s price tag is free-falling, but just not a guy I like now that Rose is in the mix making this back-court incredibly crowded. I would rather take a shot on guys like Elfrid Payton, Derrick Rose, and Immanuel Quickley in tournaments.

5-star play: Julius Randle

4-star play: Trae Young, Kevin Huerter, Clint Capela, Danilo Gallinari, Elfrid Payton, Derrick Rose, Nerlens Noel

Deeper Value: Nerlens Noel

GPP Sleeper: John Collins, Cam Reddish, RJ Barrett, Derrick Rose, Immanuel Quickley

Philadelphia 76ers @ Utah Jazz

Vegas Total: 226.5

Vegas Spread: Utah -8.0

Starting with the Sixers, Joel Embiid is currently questionable for this one but the Vegas line looks funny on this. If I had to assume I would think he’s out here with a spread of eight points. However, that’s just reckless speculation, I’ll operate under the assumption that he’s in until he isn’t. Keep an eye on our VIP Coaching forum for updates surrounding his news. It’s a tough matchup for this team as a whole and I would have much more interest in them if Embiid were to sit due to the usage and opportunity that would open up. That being said, if you want some exposure here, Embiid, Ben Simmons, Tobias Harris, and Seth Curry are your guys, but I’m really only going to go here in GPPs if everyone is a go from the Sixers. From the Jazz, Donovan Mitchell came down to Earth last game but should continue to produce well while Mike Conley continues to sit. I really like this price tag on Rudy Gobert and makes a lot of sense as your cash game center, also playable in GPPs, he’s shown a nice ceiling this season. Then we get to these wings who will be more GPP options than anything, it’s tough to determine who will have the good scoring night on any given night, so guys like Bojan Bogdanovic, Jordan Clarkson, Royce O’Neale, and Joe Ingles are tournament guys for me.

5-star play: Rudy Gobert

4-star play: Joel Embiid, Ben Simmons, Tobias Harris, Donovan Mitchell

Deeper Value: None

GPP Sleeper: Seth Curry, Bojan Bogdanovic, Jordan Clarkson, Royce O’Neale, Joe Ingles

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Golden State Warriors

Vegas Total: 226.5

Vegas Spread: Gsw -9.0

Starting with the Cavs, Andre Drummond missed yesterday’s game but seems like he should be good to go in this one. I REALLY like his price on DraftKings. I don’t mind taking a GPP shot on him one bit here, he has 60-70 point upside at under $8k. The Warriors don’t have much standing in his way down low either. Jarrett Allen looked fine with Drummond out yesterday, but at this price tag I have issues getting to him if Drummond is going to be in there, the Cavs won’t need the Allen/Drummond combo on the court together in this matchup, they can afford to go smaller. Collin Sexton has seen his price come down a bit lately and gets a nice matchup here, but I like the upside that comes with him in a pace up spot. The same can be said for Darius Garland if you want to save some money, you’re not getting quite the same ceiling on Garland, but he’s also about $1000 cheaper. Garland looked really good last night and a guy I’ll get to here. Larry Nance has been ruled out for this one, it will be a combination of Cedi Osman and Taurean Prince who fill in while he’s out, I would expect Prince to get the start and to see more minutes. From the Warriors, Steph Curry let me down against the Nets, I was really high on him there. That said, this is a matchup he should be able to do what he likes in, I’m good with Curry here again. Draymond Green is going to continue to see heavy minutes but he’ll have his hands full tonight with the twin towers in Drummond and Allen, I’m okay with him here but don’t love the price tag. Kelly Oubre and Andrew Wiggins are fine options as well, if you’re looking to play one I like Wiggins for cash and Oubre for GPPs.

**Keep an eye on Drummond’s availability here – it sounds like the Cavs are shopping him pretty hard**

5-star play: Steph Curry, Andre Drummond

4-star play: Collin Sexton, Darius Garland, Draymond Green, Andrew Wiggins, Kelly Oubre

Deeper Value: None

GPP Sleeper: Kelly Oubre, Cedi Osman, Juan Tosacno-Anderson

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Miami Heat @ Los Angeles Clippers

Vegas Total: 217.0

Vegas Spread: Lac -3.5

Starting with the Heat, Bam Adebayo dropped 45.75 DraftKings points in this matchup earlier this season, so I don’t hate going right back to him here. Jimmy Butler came back down to Earth last game but has been a usage monster since he returned. It’s a tougher matchup but I have no issue going right back to him here. Tyler Herro and Kendrick Nunn have similar price tags on DraftKings and are guys I like with Dragic still out. I would prefer Herro in cash and Nunn in tournaments. From the Clippers, it’s pretty hard to break this team down right now with both Paul George and Kawhi Leonard being questionable after missing yesterday’s game, so keep an eye on the VIP Coaching forum for news and updates surrounding this team. We’ll have a more inclusive breakdown of this one once we get news on these guys.

***Below is without Clippers due to their main guys being questionable***

5-star play: Jimmy Butler

4-star play: Bam Adebayo, Tyler Herro, Kendrick Nunn

Deeper Value: TBD

GPP Sleeper: Kendrick Nunn, Duncan Robinson, Kelly Olynyk

Brooklyn Nets @ Sacramento Kings

Vegas Total: 242.0

Vegas Spread: Bkn -4.0

We end the slate with a real late-night hammer, this game has an implied total of 242 and one we’ll look to get some exposure to. Starting with the Nets, Kevin Durant will be out here so we can comfortably fire up Kyrie Irving and James Harden as they’ll see a boost in usage and I would expect Nash to stagger their minutes so Irving/Harden should see 30-40% of their minutes with the other off the court as well. Then the ancillary pieces on this team are more tournament options than anything due to the volatility that comes with them but my favorite options would be Joe Harris and DeAndre Jordan with a sprinkle of Jeff Green if you happen to land on him. From the Kings, De’Aaron Fox returned to play 30 minutes last time out. The price is uncomfortable for him, but he’s been on a roll as of late and this is an elite matchup, the Nets don’t play any sort of defense. Buddy Hield is more of a GPP guy for me due to how scoring-dependent he is, but with all the minutes he’s getting it makes him more viable but that’s baked into the price tag. Harrison Barnes has seen his production fall over the past few games but I have no issue getting to him in a great matchup here at a fair price tag. Tyrese Haliburton is viable in all formats due to how safe he has been as of late, he has a nice upside as well so he’s a guy I’ll get some exposure to for sure. Richaun Holmes is in play as well, the Nets are terrible against opposing big men since Allen was shipped out. Lastly, keep an eye on the status of Marvin Bagley, if he’s ruled out Nemanja Bjelica would become a nice value option and has looked good over his past couple of games.

5-star play: James Harden, Kyrie Irving, De’Aaron Fox

4-star play: DeAndre Jordan, Joe Harris, Harrison Barnes, Tyrese Haliburton

Deeper Value: TBD

GPP Sleeper: Jeff Green, Buddy Hield, Richaun Holmes, Hassan Whiteside

NBA Lock of the Day: Bradley Beal (DK – $8.9k; FD – $9.8k)

This is more of a DraftKings lock simply due to the pricing that they gave him here. We’re still waiting on if Russell Westbrook will play or not, if he’s out, you just plug Beal in and don’t look back… but I think you do that anyway here with this DraftKings price tag. He’s AVERAGING just about 50 DraftKings points per game on the season, if he does his season average here it would put him at 5.6x his price tag. The Research Station has him projected to be one of the better point per dollar options on the slate, projecting him for 52.71 DraftKings points putting him at nearly 6x his DraftKings price tag. Tough to beat that! Tweet me (@MadnessDFS) your lock predictions and if your player gets over 5x tonight I’ll give you a shoutout on Twitter, let’s have some fun with this!

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