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The Sniper Scope: UFC Hermansson vs. Vettori

Welcome back to “The Sniper Scope” – highlighting my personal anticipated GPP exposures and cash game targets for UFC Hermansson vs. Vettori. This article is for VIP members only so if you want to ask me any questions or just want to talk about the slate, make sure to find me in VIP Chat. If you’re not a VIP member, join today and use code SNIPER for 20% off!  Follow me on Twitter @theDFSniper

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Anticipated GPP Exposures

These can change based on how my constructions develop and any late news in the week, including weigh ins. But these numbers are my personal starting points for building tournament lineups, I usually play 20 lineups per week. Obviously, the less lineups you play, the tighter you’re exposures need to be while if you play more lineups, you can expand things (especially your FADE – 20% range) quite a bit.

  • 9.3k – Movsar Evolev – FADE
  • 9.2k – Jordan Leavitt – 30%
  • 9.0k – Ilia Topuria – 60%
  • 8.9k – Talia Santos – 15%
  • 8.8k – Gian Villante – 50%
  • 8.7k – Roman Dolidze – 50%
  • 8.6k – Gabriel Benitez – 25%
  • 8.5k – Jimmy Flick – 30%
  • 8.4k – Jamahal Hill – 40%
  • 8.3k – Louis Smolka – 50%
  • 8.2k – Marvin Vettori – 30%
  • 8.0k – Jack Hermansson – 60%
  • 7.9k – Jose Quinonez – FADE
  • 7.8k – Ovince Saint Preux – 10%
  • 7.7k – Cody Durden – 50%
  • 7.6k – Justin Jaynes – 20%
  • 7.5k – John Allan – 40%
  • 7.4k – Jake Collier – 10%
  • 7.3k – Montana De La Rosa – 25%
  • 7.2k – Damon Jackson – FADE
  • 7.0k – Matt Wiman – FADE
  • 6.9k – Nate Landwehr – 5%

    Sep 14, 2019; Vancouver, BC, Canada; Louis Smolka (red gloves) fights Ryan MacDonald (blue gloves) during UFC Fight Night at Rogers Arena. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

Oct 18, 2019; Boston, MA, USA; Brendan Allen (red) fights Kevin Holland (blue) in a heavyweight bout during UFC Fight Night at the TD Garden. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

Cash Game Rankings

I don’t think any explanation is required except to say that I try and put about one-third of the fighters in each category.

Green:

  • 9.0k – Ilia Topuria
  • 8.8k – Gian Villante
  • 8.3k – Louis Smolka
  • 8.2k – Marvin Vettori
  • 8.0k – Jack Hermansson
  • 7.7k – Cody Durden
  • 7.3k – Montana De La Rosa

Yellow: 

  • 9.3k – Movsar Evolev
  • 9.2k – Jordan Leavitt
  • 8.7k – Roman Dolidze
  • 8.6k – Gabriel Benitez
  • 8.4k – Jamahal Hill
  • 7.9k – Jose Quinonez
  • 7.6k – Justin Jaynes
  • 6.9k – Nate Landwehr

Red: 

  • 8.9k – Talia Santos
  • 8.5k – Jimmy Flick
  • 7.8k – Ovince Saint Preux
  • 7.5k – John Allan
  • 7.4k – Jake Collier
  • 7.2k – Damon Jackson
  • 7.0k – Matt Wiman