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The Sniper Scope: UFC Santos vs. Teixeira

Welcome back to “The Sniper Scope” – highlighting my personal anticipated GPP exposures and cash game targets for Santos vs. Teixeira. This article is for VIP members only so if you want to ask me any questions or just want to talk about the slate, make sure to find me in VIP Chat. If you’re not a VIP member, join today and use code SNIPER for 20% off!  Follow me on Twitter @theDFSniper

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Anticipated GPP Exposures

These can change based on how my constructions develop and any late news in the week, including weigh ins. But these numbers are my personal starting points for building tournament lineups, I usually play 20 lineups per week. Obviously, the less lineups you play, the tighter you’re exposures need to be while if you play more lineups, you can expand things (especially your FADE – 20% range) quite a bit.

  • 9.3k – Giga Chikadze – 40%
  • 9.1k – Raoni Barcelos – 30%
  • 9.0k – Alexandr Romanov – 80%
  • 8.9k – Tanner Boser – 25%
  • 8.8k – Thiago Santos – 65%
  • 8.7k – Darren Elkins – 25%
  • 8.6k – Max Griffin – FADE
  • 8.4k – Brendan Allen – 35%
  • 8.3k – Xiaonan Yan – 50%
  • 8.2k – Bevon Lewis – 20%
  • 8.2k – Anthony Birchak – 30%
  • 8.0k – Trevin Giles – 10%
  • 8.0k – Gustavo Lopez – 30%
  • 7.9k – Claudia Gadelha – 15%
  • 7.8k – Iain Heinisch – 15%
  • 7.7k – Ramiz Brahimaj – 60%
  • 7.5k – Eduardo Garagorri – 20%
  • 7.4k – Glover Teixeira – 35%
  • 7.3k – Andrei Arlovski – 10%
  • 7.2k – Marcos Rogerio de Lima – FADE
  • 7.1k – Kahlid Taha – 5%
  • 6.9k – Jamey Simmons – FADE

Feb 22, 2020; Auckland, New Zealand; Yan Xiaonan is declared the winner by decision against Karolina Kowalkiewicz during UFC Fight Night Auckland at Spark Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jasmin Frank-USA TODAY Sports

Cash Game Rankings

I don’t think any explanation is required except to say that I try and put about one-third of the fighters in each category.

Green:

  • 9.3k – Giga Chikadze
  • 9.0k – Alexandr Romanov
  • 8.8k – Thiago Santos
  • 8.4k – Brendan Allen
  • 8.3k – Xiaonan Yan
  • 7.7k – Ramiz Brahimaj
  • 7.4k – Glover Teixeira

Yellow: 

  • 9.1k – Raoni Barcelos
  • 8.9k – Tanner Boser
  • 8.7k – Darren Elkins
  • 8.2k – Bevon Lewis
  • 7.9k – Claudia Gadelha
  • 7.8k – Iain Heinisch
  • 7.5k – Eduardo Garagorri
  • 7.3k – Andrei Arlovski

Red: 

  • 8.6k – Max Griffin
  • 8.2k – Anthony Birchak
  • 8.0k – Trevin Giles
  • 8.0k – Gustavo Lopez
  • 7.2k – Marcos Rogerio de Lima
  • 7.1k – Kahlid Taha
  • 6.9k – Jamey Simmons