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The Sniper Scope: UFC 254

Welcome back to “The Sniper Scope” – highlighting my personal anticipated GPP exposures and cash game targets for UFC 254. This article is for VIP members only so if you want to ask me any questions or just want to talk about the slate, make sure to find me in VIP Chat. If you’re not a VIP member, join today and use code SNIPER for 20% off!  Follow me on Twitter @theDFSniper

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Anticipated GPP Exposures

These can change based on how my constructions develop and any late news in the week, including weigh ins. But these numbers are my personal starting points for building tournament lineups, I usually play 20 lineups per week. Obviously, the less lineups you play, the tighter you’re exposures need to be while if you play more lineups, you can expand things (especially your FADE – 20% range) quite a bit.

  • 9.4k – Da-Un Jung – 15%
  • 9.3k – Miranda Maverick – 20%
  • 9.2k – Khabib Nurmagomedov – 65%
  • 9.1k – Phillip Hawes – 45%
  • 9.0k – Joel Alvarez – 20%
  • 8.9k – Magomed Ankalaev – 55%
  • 8.8k – Lauren Murphy – FADE
  • 8.7k – Casey Kenney – 30%
  • 8.6k – Alexander Volkov – 30%
  • 8.5k – Alex Oliviera – 5%
  • 8.3k – Stefan Struve – 35%
  • 8.2k – Jared Cannonier – 20%
  • 8.0k – Robert Whittaker – 10%
  • 7.9k – Tai Tuivasa – 55%
  • 7.7k – Shavkat Rakhmonov – 30%
  • 7.6k – Walt Harris – 20%
  • 7.5k – Nathaniel Wood – 40%
  • 7.4k – Liliya Shakirova – 5%
  • 7.3k – Ion Cutelaba – 30%
  • 7.2k – Alexander Yakovlev – 20%
  • 7.1k – Jacob Malkoun – FADE
  • 7.0k – Justin Gaethje – 35%
  • 6.9k – Liana Jojua – 5%
  • 6.8k – Sam Alvey – 10%

Jun 9, 2018; Chicago, IL, USA; Tai Tuivasa (blue gloves) defeats Andrei Arlovski (red gloves) during UFC 225 at United Center. Mandatory Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

Cash Game Rankings

I don’t think any explanation is required except to say that I try and put about one-third of the fighters in each category.

Green:

  • 9.3k – Miranda Maverick
  • 9.2k – Khabib Nurmagomedov
  • 9.1k – Phillip Hawes
  • 8.8k – Lauren Murphy
  • 8.6k – Alexander Volkov
  • 7.7k – Shavkat Rakhmonov
  • 7.5k – Nathaniel Wood
  • 7.0k – Justin Gaethje

Yellow: 

  • 9.4k – Da-Un Jung
  • 8.9k – Magomed Ankalaev
  • 8.7k – Casey Kenney
  • 8.2k – Jared Cannonier
  • 8.0k – Robert Whittaker
  • 7.4k – Liliya Shakirova
  • 7.2k – Alexander Yakovlev
  • 6.9k – Liana Jojua

Red: 

  • 9.0k – Joel Alvarez
  • 8.5k – Alex Oliviera
  • 8.3k – Stefan Struve
  • 7.9k – Tai Tuivasa
  • 7.6k – Walt Harris
  • 7.3k – Ion Cutelaba
  • 7.1k – Jacob Malkoun
  • 6.8k – Sam Alvey