Welcome fellow Degenerates! My name is Steve, a.k.a. Mutt18 (mutt_18 on Twitter) and I’m breaking ground on a brand new article this week that is a growing trend over here at DFS Army and SportsBet Army which is Player Props. For those of you not familiar with a Player Prop, basically, a sports betting website/bookie will give odds on how likely a player is going to achieve, in this case we’ll say, receiving yards, so they can put the odds at -112 that player X will get over or under 57.5 receiving yards, so if you bet the over, you think that player will score 58+ receiving yards and if you bet the under, you’re betting that they will have less. It can actually be very profitable as well as we can get on hot streaks like we did last week and win tons of $$$. First, we’ll take a look at what happened last week with my these picks, follow me fellow DeGens!
Week 6:
Sunday 1pm Games: 1-5
Sunday 4pm Games: 2-2
Sunday Night Game: 2-1
Total for Year: 16-12 +4 units
Yesterday did not go as planned, but that’s OK as there is bound to be some regression when you go 10 for 11 at any point when you are gambling. All we can do is make smart decisions that put us in the best spots to continue to stay ahead of the bookie.
Before I dig into this, let’s take a look at where I start my research every week, in our Research Station, which has all our stats, projections, and literally any thing else you need to not only dominate Daily Fantasy Sports, but is a very useful tool for betting as well! Also, sign up for access to our brand new Research Lab as well, which kicks things up an extra notch!
Alright, enough with the intros, for this week, this article will be FREE! And I will give you 2 of my favorite picks and 1 fun pick as well that can really lead to big payoffs if they hit as they are longshot odds. All of these are current as of me writing this article on DraftKings Sportsbook. Let’s dig in:
CeeDee Lamb over 4.5 Receptions (-129)
Sep 20, 2020; Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Cowboys receiver CeeDee Lamb (88) runs with the ball after a reception late in the fourth quarter against the Atlanta Falcons at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports
Lamb is an absolute route-running technician, and I think he’ll overtake Amari Cooper as their WR1 by the end of this year. He’s already leap frogged Gallup in both targets and production and I think this number is just way too low here. They like to get him those easy underneath throws in space to run as well and I think he’ll see 8-10 targets here as the Cowboys will likely have to throw the ball here with how bad their defense is. Love the line on him and I think this is a phenomenal play.
Ezekiel Elliot over 89.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Sep 20, 2020; Arlington, Texas, USA; Dallas Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott (21) dives for extra yards in the second quarter against the Atlanta Falcons at AT&T Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports
The Cowboys are going to feed him early and often in this game in order to take some pressure off of Dalton. I think he makes for a pretty safe play here as he should see 20+ rushes in this game and the Cardinals still have holes in their front seven, and this Cowboys line is still elite. I think he breaks 100+ easily in this game with the amount of times he’ll touch the ball.
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DeGen Special
This last section of the article will be what I like to call my DeGen specials, which are basically bets that have high odds that aren’t likely to happen, but if they do, the payoffs are massive. Here’s one that I like in this game:
Ezekiel Elliot to Score 1st (+450)
Going to double up on Zeke here, as I think the Cowboys will feed him the ball early and often. These are great odds here as he has a -335 odds to score, and that gets bumped up all the way to +450 to score first. I love the odds of this one, I’ll be putting .25 units on it.
Those are some of my favorite plays for tonight’s game, and with a great catch phrase… PITTER PATTER, LETS GET AT ER’
That’s all I have for you in the FREE article, for access to all of my picks for this game, join me in the coaching channels over at Sports Bet Army.