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The Sniper Scope: UFC Lewis vs. Olenik

Welcome back to “The Sniper Scope” – highlighting my personal anticipated GPP exposures and cash game targets for UFC Lewis vs. Olenik. This article is for VIP members only so if you want to ask me any questions or just want to talk about the slate, make sure to find me in VIP Chat. If you’re not a VIP member, join today and use code SNIPER for 20% off!  Follow me on Twitter @theDFSniper

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Anticipated GPP Exposures

These can change based on how my constructions develop and any late news in the week, including weigh ins. But these numbers are my personal starting points for building tournament lineups, I usually play 20 lineups per week. Obviously, the less lineups you play, the tighter you’re exposures need to be while if you play more lineups, you can expand things (especially your FADE – 20% range) quite a bit.

  • 9.4k – Kevin Holland – 65%
  • 9.3k – Youssef Zalal – 45%
  • 9.1k – Beneil Dariush – 50%
  • 9.0k – Nasrat Haqparast – FADE
  • 8.9k – Irwin Rivera – 10%
  • 8.8k – Yana Kunitskaya – 20%
  • 8.7k – Derrick Lewis – 30%
  • 8.6k – Darren Stewart – 20%
  • 8.5k – Wellington Turman – 20%
  • 8.4k – Gavin Tucker – 30%
  • 8.3k – Laureano Staropoli – 20%
  • 8.2k – Omari Akhmedov – 20%
  • 8.0k – Chris Weidman – 50%
  • 7.9k – Tim Means – 20%
  • 7.8k – Justin Jaynes – 30%
  • 7.7k – Andrew Sanchez – 10%
  • 7.6k – Maki Pitolo – 20%
  • 7.5k – Aleksei Olenik – 55%
  • 7.4k – Julija Stoliarenko –10%
  • 7.3k – Ali Qaisi – 25%
  • 7.2k – Alex Munoz – 30%
  • 7.1k – Scott Holtzman – 10%
  • 6.9k – Peter Barrett – FADE
  • 6.8k – Joaquin Buckley – 10%

May 16, 2020; Jacksonville, Florida, USA; Kevin Holland (blue gloves) defeats Anthony Hernandez (red gloves) during UFC on ESPN at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena. Mandatory Credit: Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Cash Game Rankings

I don’t think any explanation is required except to say that I try and put about one-third of the fighters in each category.

Green:

  • 9.4k – Kevin Holland
  • 9.3k – Youssef Zalal
  • 9.1k – Beneil Dariush
  • 8.8k – Yana Kunitskaya
  • 8.3k – Laureano Staropoli
  • 8.0k – Chris Weidman
  • 7.3k – Ali Qaisi
  • 7.2k – Alex Munoz

Yellow: 

  • 8.7k – Derrick Lewis
  • 8.5k – Wellington Turman
  • 8.4k – Gavin Tucker
  • 7.9k – Tim Means
  • 7.8k – Justin Jaynes
  • 7.7k – Andrew Sanchez
  • 7.5k – Aleksei Olenik
  • 7.1k – Scott Holtzman

Red: 

  • 9.0k – Nasrat Haqparast
  • 8.9k – Irwin Rivera
  • 8.6k – Darren Stewart
  • 8.2k – Omari Akhmedov
  • 7.6k – Maki Pitolo
  • 7.4k – Julija Stoliarenko
  • 6.9k – Peter Barrett
  • 6.8k – Joaquin Buckley