(FREE!) NBA Full Court Press Breakdown, Advice, and Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Aug 6th, 2020

Welcome to another year of the DFS Army NBA Full Court Press! Members had a ton of success using the Full Court Press along with various articles and tools that DFS Army provides, that said, we are glad to be back with another year of the all-inclusive article. You have to start your research somewhere, and oftentimes going game by game and breaking down every matchup and its key players is the first step in our process. My name is Mike aka @MadnessDFS on Twitter, make sure to give me a follow as I’ll occasionally make updates to the advice in the article. But, you’ll mostly find me in our VIP coaching forums where I provide detailed lineup maneuvers and answer all lineup questions. With that said, let’s get it started!

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Full Court Press Breakdown for NBA DFS:

Mar 8, 2018; St. Louis, MO, USA; Missouri Tigers forward Michael Porter Jr. (13) puts up a three point shot as he is pressured by Georgia Bulldogs guard William Jackson II (0) during the second half of the second round of the SEC Conference Tournament at Scottrade Center. Georgia won 62-60. Mandatory Credit: Billy Hurst-USA TODAY Sports

New Orleans Pelicans @ Sacramento Kings

Vegas Total: 233.5

Vegas Spread: Nop -5.0

Starting with the Pelicans, Zion Williamson was having his minutes monitored last game and I would expect the same here in this game. I just won’t be playing him at this price, he doesn’t have the ceiling with a minutes limit to get where you want in a GPP.  The rest of this lineup is priced about right to me, JJ Redick makes sense as a salary saver, while guys like Lonzo Ball, Jrue Holiday, and Brandon Ingram feel priced about right, Holiday may even be a little expensive. But all three of them haven’t been playing the best basketball. Ingram bounce back last game, but Holiday and Ball have been underwhelming. That said, this is a good matchup for them to get back on track. From the Kings, De’Aaron Fox has had two games of at least 49 DraftKings points in the bubble. Against a Pels team that plays fast with little defense, I like him here. Buddy Hield finally got some minutes last game and performed well. If Luke Walton would ever realize he’s one of their better scoring options he could be useable every night. But while his minutes are volatile he’s strictly a GPP play. Both Nemanja Bjelica and Richaun Holmes have been very below average to start this bubble, they’re GPP guys that I’m not trusting in cash until they prove it to me. Lastly, Bogdan Bogdanovic has been playing well and would make sense as a cash option in this spot.

5-star play: Brandon Ingram, De’Aaron Fox

4-star play: Lonzo Ball, Jrue Holiday, Bogdan Bogdanovic

Deeper Value: JJ Redick

GPP Sleeper: Buddy Hield, Nemanja Bjelica, Richaun Holmes


Miami Heat @ Milwaukee Bucks

Vegas Total:

Vegas Spread: 

We’ll kick off today’s main slate in what could be an Eastern Conference Finals preview. We don’t have a total in this game yet due to the uncertainty of Goran Dragic and Jimmy Butler already being ruled out. Here’s how the big pieces of the team grade out with Jimmy Butler off the court this season;

  • Bam Adebayo – 22.2% usage rate; 1.31 fpm
  • Goran Dragic – 28.6% usage rate; 1.11 fpm
  • Kendrick Nunn – 23.8% usage rate; 0.91 fpm
  • Tyler Herro – 24.7% usage rate; 0.89 fpm

As I mentioned, that Goran Dragic news will be big for fantasy. If he’s active, he’s a great play, if he’s not active all those guys will see an even bigger boost. Bam Adebayo is the one guy that stands out to me here, he’s almost at 1.5 fantasy points per minute with Butler off the court this season. Not to mention he’s averaging 47 DraftKings points per game against the Bucks in two games this season. From the Bucks, they were able to get some rest in on Monday, as Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton sat the second half and Brook Lopez was out from the jump, so they should all be fresh here. Giannis is averaging 55 DraftKings points per game in this matchup this season, he’s an elite play as usual here. Khris Middleton won’t have to deal with Jimmy Butler on defense which is a major bump to him, he’s relatively cheap as well, I like him here. I would expect Brook Lopez to return here, he’s a solid option if you need a mid-priced center. Lastly, Eric Bledsoe will have his minutes monitored until at least the playoffs start due to being late to the bubble, he’s not in play for me until his minutes are solidified.

5-star play: Bam Adebayo, Goran Dragic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton

4-star play: Kendrick Nunn, Tyler Herro, Brook Lopez, Duncan Robinson

Deeper Value: Tyler Herro

GPP Sleeper: Tyler Herro, Brook Lopez

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Indiana Pacers @ Phoenix Suns

Vegas Total: 229.5

Vegas Spread: Ind -3.0

Starting with the Pacers, I guess TJ Warren is running for the “Bubble MVP” title. He’s had at least 49 DraftKings points in three straight games and I’ve gotten too the point where I’m just going to believe that something about the atmosphere is good for Warren’s game. He looks very legit and I won’t be talking you off of him here especially in GPPs. Victor Oladipo should be all systems go here, but with the usage that Warren is commanding along with guys like Brogdon and Turner, I’m not sure the upside is there for him and we really haven’t seen him play well all season long, GPP only for me. Keep an eye on Malcolm Brogdon as he’s questionable here, he did get a price bump from last time out luckily, if he plays without a restriction he’s a solid option. Lastly, both Myles Turner and Aaron Holiday are fine secondary options for me here as well. From the Suns, Devin Booker looked great last game and knocking down a huge shot at the buzzer. He’s playing big minutes and his price hasn’t moved, I like him for both cash and GPP but would be heavier on the GPP end of things. DeAndre Ayton has been all over the place in terms of production and struggled in this spot earlier in the season. That said, I do like the price on him and he makes sense as a secondary option. Ricky Rubio has looked great to start this NBA restart, he’s priced about right and makes sense as a cash guy. Lastly, Mikal Bridges and Cam Johnson should be a nice option at his price tag with Oubre out. They’re both playing heavy minutes and producing well in those minutes.

5-star play: TJ Warren, Devin Booker

4-star play: Malcolm Brogdon, Myles Turner, Aaron Holiday, Ricky Rubio

Deeper Value: None

GPP Sleeper: Victor Oladipo, Mikal Bridges, Cam Johnson


Los Angeles Clippers @ Dallas Mavericks

Vegas Total: 230.5

Vegas Spread: Lac -4.5

Starting with the Clippers, it’s the Kawhi Leonard and Paul George show, both are elite options here as the Mavericks won’t have an answer for them on defense. Montrezl Harrell is still out for this game but Lou Williams is back in action. Williams played 21 minutes last game and I would expect him to get up near that 25 min range today. I’ll wait until he’s up to full go, but just keep an eye on him. Reggie Jackson is the guy that will be hurt the most from Williams being back, however, Patrick Beverley is out for this game which vaults him right back into the playable category. Lastly, Ivica Zubac makes sense as a GPP center if you need to pay down. From the Mavs, there’s really only two guys on this team that I’ll have interest in and they are Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis. Doncic had a huge game last time out where he went for 80+ DraftKings points. He’ll have a tougher matchup today as Kawhi Leonard and Paul George will likely switch off guarding him, but he’s averaging 55.3 DraftKings points per game in two games against them this season so I’m not all that worried about it. Porzingis could be a solid option here as well, you can beat the Clippers with your big man, and he has looked great as of late. Lastly, you can make a case for Tim Hardaway Jr. for GPPs but that’s about it for me.

5-star play: Kawhi Leonard, Paul George, Luka Doncic, Kristaps Porzingis

4-star play: Reggie Jackson, Tim Hardaway Jr.

Deeper Value: None

GPP Sleeper: Ivica Zubac, Tim Hardaway Jr.

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Portland Trailblazers @ Denver Nuggets

Vegas Total:

Vegas Spread: 

Starting with the Trailblazers, Jusuf Nurkic has looked great in his first three games back going for three straight 50 burgers. He should get all the run he can handle hear in order to match up with Jokic, I like him a good deal. Damian Lillard is getting all the minutes he can handle right now, he’s played three straight games of at least 40 minutes, I like him a good amount here. CJ McCollum is also getting minutes through the roof, he had a bit of an off game last time out but anyone getting this type of minutes are guys I want. Lastly, guys like Carmelo Anthony, Gary Trent, and Zach Collins are all in play as well for GPPs due to the role they play on this team. From the Nuggets, Gary Harris and Will Barton are both out here while Jamaal Murray is questionable. I’m operating under the assumption that Murray will either be out or limited here. Nikola Jokic is averaging 51.6 DraftKings points per game in three games against the Blazers this season, however, Nurkic wasn’t active for those games. He’s an elite play regardless. Monte Morris saw a bunch of minutes last time out and performed nicely in them. If Murray is out I like going right back to him here, point guards against the Blazers is something I like with how fast they’re playing. Michael Porter Jr. has played great basketball over the past two games going for 50 burgers in both of them. In a pace up matchup and at a price tag I like, he’s an elite play.

5-star play: Damian Lillard, Jusuf Nurkic, Nikola Jokic, Michael Porter Jr.

4-star play: CJ McCollum, Carmelo Anthony, Monte Morris, Paul Millsap

Deeper Value: None

GPP Sleeper: Jerami Grant


Los Angeles Lakers @ Houston Rockets

Vegas Total:

Vegas Spread: 

We round out the day with what should be a fun game to watch against these two Western Conference teams. Starting with the Lakers, Anthony Davis, LeBron James, and Kyle Kuzma are all clear to go here which is always a great way to start. I loved Davis yesterday and he went out and threw up a 26 point outing… really dude? That said, I’ll go right back to him here. The Lakers love putting him at center but Davis hates playing there, a matchup against the Rockets gives them an excuse to slide him over, I love me some Davis here. LeBron James is an elite play as well with how fast this Rockets team is playing. The Lakers will be without Avery Bradley for the rest of the season as he as decided to sit out due to Coronavirus concerns. He was playing 24.2 minutes per game this season and played 27.6 minutes per game over their last ten games. He was a key part of their rotation and will open up minutes for the ancillary pieces. Danny Green has been pretty bad since the restart, to a point where I almost prefer Dion Waiters over him. Both are fine value plays but nothing that jumps off the page to me. From the Rockets, both James Harden and Russell Westbrook are elite plays as usual. That said, I like the price tag on Westbrook much more at just $9.0k. He’s scored at least 50 DraftKings points in both of his two bubble games, I may end up taking the savings on him much more than I pay up for Harden. That said, Westbrook is questionable, keep an eye on his status if he’s out it flips this slate on it’s back. Robert Covington makes a lot of sense here as well, his minutes are through the roof and his rebound equity is huge on this team as he plays more of a power forward role. Danuel House and PJ Tucker are both solid value/GPP guys due to the amount of three’s they’ll put up and rebounds they’re in line for.

5-star play: Anthony Davis, LeBron James, James Harden, Russell Westbrook

4-star play: Kyle Kuzma, Robert Covington, Danuel House

Deeper Value: None

GPP Sleeper: Danny Green, PJ Tucker

 

NBA Lock of the Day: Bam Adebayo (DK – $7.7k; FD – $7.8k)

Brandon Clarke was a dud yesterday so I’m going to go back up to the mid-range here and get some Bam Adebayo. As mentioned above, Jimmy Butler will be out for this game which opens up the offense quite a big. Adebayo has a 22.2% usage rate and 1.3 fantasy points per minute with Butler off the court this season. Not to mention he’s averaging 47 DraftKings points per game in two matchups with the Bucks this season. Go get yourself some Adebayo and hope Bam Bam goes Ham Ham today! Tweet me (@MadnessDFS) your lock predictions and if your player gets over 6.5x I’ll give you a shoutout on Twitter, let’s have some fun with this!


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As always I appreciate everyone who gave the article a read! Feel free to mix it up with me in our coaching forums as news breaks and lock approaches.

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