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(FREE!) NBA Full Court Press Breakdown, Advice, and Picks for FanDuel and DraftKings – Aug 23rd, 2020

Full Court Press Breakdown for NBA DFS 8/23:

Mar 17, 2017; Greenville, SC, USA; Duke Blue Devils forward Jayson Tatum (0) dunks the ball during the first half against the Troy Trojans in the first round of the 2017 NCAA Tournament at Bon Secours Wellness Arena. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

Boston Celtics @ Philadelphia 76ers

Vegas Total: 214.0

Vegas Spread: Bos -8.0

Starting with the Sixers, Ben Simmons will continue to be out here which opens the road for Joel Embiid to lead the way. Embiid has dropped three straight 50 point fantasy games and should continue to do what he wants against this weak Celtics frontcourt. Tobias Harris finally had a pretty good game last time out and had a big double-double, if they have any chance of getting a game here he’ll need to step up and I don’t hate the price tag either. Al Horford started last game, played 38 minutes, and still didn’t do anything. Brett Brown just can’t figure out how to use him and at this price tag, he’s pretty close to a fade for me. Shake Milton and Josh Richardson both looked pretty good last game, I have no issue using Richardson in cash but I would leave Milton for GPPs. From the Celtics, just as everyone was getting healthy, Gordon Hayward leaves in crutches and will be out for around four weeks. The rest of the offense will see a boost due to this, the biggest boost going to Jayson Tatum who averages a 31.6% usage rate and 1.23 fantasy points per minute with Hayward off the court on the season. Tatum has at least 50 fantasy points in two of his last four games and is certainly in play here. Kemba Walker had a big game in game three going for 47 DraftKings points, his price tag came up just $300 so I think he’s playable here it’ just hard to predict who will have the big game between Walker, Tatum, and Brown on any given night. As far as Jaylen Brown and Marcus Smart go, they both see a nice boost with Hayward out. Brown is the guy you want if you’re looking for upside but the price tag on Marcus Smart is pretty nice and makes sense in cash games, he also produced nicely last game. Lastly, Daniel Theis and Enes Kanter are splitting minutes right now and neither of them is being all that productive, I would find a different source of value if you’re being forced to pay down at center for one of these two guys.

5-star play: Joel Embiid, Jayson Tatum

4-star play: Tobias Harris, Jaylen Brown, Marcus Smart, Kemba Walker

Deeper Value: Daniel Theis, Enes Kanter

GPP Sleeper: Al Horford, Josh Richardson, Shake Milton


Los Angeles Clippers @ Dallas Mavericks

Vegas Total: 232.0

Vegas Spread: Lac -8.0

This game leads the slate with an implied total of 232.0 and should be a fun one to watch. We’ll start with the Mavericks, Kristanps Porzingis finally had a big game in this series last time out going for 57 DraftKings points. He got a pretty big price bump and I don’t know how much I like his new price tag but he’s in play for GPPs at the very least due to his upside. Luka Doncic has been held down pretty good by the Clippers in the past two games, if they continue to do so, this may funnel more opportunities to Porzingis but I do think Doncic is matchup proof and I guy you can go to here. After those two there is a steep drop off to guys like Tim Hardaway Jr. and Seth Curry who are GPP options here. Both guys have looked pretty good lately and I would feel pretty comfortable rounding out my lineup with one of them. Lastly, Maxi Kleber is terrible, he’s scored 11 DraftKings points in two of his last three games. I’m just going to find different value on this slate. From the Clippers, we know how good Kawhi Leonard can be in the playoffs and in a great matchup against the Mavericks at under $10k, sign me up. He has at least 50 DraftKings points in three straight games and is coming offa 64 point fantasy out outing. He’s too cheap here. Paul George really hasn’t done a whole lot this series, I’m going to make him prove it to me before I go back to him here. Lou Williams is probably too cheap here but I would much prefer him in GPPs, he can be a little volatile when there is so much usage commanded by other guys in this offense. Lastly, Montrezl Harrell isn’t in play for me until he’s back up to his full minutes; I thought we’d see him around 25 minutes in game three but is minutes went down to 17. Ivica Zubac saw 30 minutes and is a solid value GPP center option if you’re in that range. Lastly, Marcus Morris has at least 30 DraftKings points in each game of this series, you can make a strong case for him in GPPs as well.

5-star play: Luka Doncic, Kawhi Leonard

4-star play: Tim Hardaway Jr., Kristaps Porzingis, Lou Williams, Paul George

Deeper Value: Ivica Zubac

GPP Sleeper: Tim Hardaway Jr., Ivica Zubac, Lou Williams, Seth Curry

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Toronto Raptors @ Brooklyn Nets

Vegas Total: 217.0

Vegas Spread: Tor -13.0

Starting with the Nets, Caris LeVert is priced right where he should be, the blowout is the one thing that worries me here, he seems to have big first half’s and then gets brought down because of a blowout in the second half. He’s more of a GPP option for me. Jarrett Allen has looked much better than I was expecting in this series, it’s not a great matchup for big men but he’s playing all the minutes he can handle right now and is really pretty cheap. Outside of these two players, it’s really a crapshoot. Joe Harris left the bubble and will not be available for this game. This should open up shots and opportunities for guys like Garrett Temple and Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot who both looked pretty bad in game three. Tyler Johnson was the one who picked up the slack on his way to 30 DraftKings points. I would expect he gets the start again here and is a nice option in this price range. From the Raptors, I was all over Pascal Siakam finally cracked that 40 point mark that I’ve been waiting for. It’s a great matchup against Brooklyn and there’s still some meat on the bone at this price tag. Kyle Lowry is playing massive minutes right now and averaging 42.8 DraftKings points per game against the Nets this season, he’s a solid option in all formats. Fred VanVleet continues to just ball out, he’s scored 40+ DraftKings points in three straight games and playing huge minutes, he’s a great play in all formats. Lastly, Serge Ibaka had a big game last time out but only saw 23 minutes. He’s not going to be one of the guys that play huge minutes but he’s proven he can be a productive per-minute producer.

5-star play: Jarrett Allen, Fred VanVleet

4-star play: Kyle Lowry, Serge Ibaka, Pascal Siakam, Caris LeVert, Tyler Johnson

Deeper Value: Marc Gasol

GPP Sleeper: OG Anunoby

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Denver Nuggets @ Utah Jazz

Vegas Total: 217.0

Vegas Spread: Utah -3.0

Starting with the Jazz, they clearly have found a way to exploit Denver and Mike Malone, if they don’t make adjustments this series could be over before you know it. Mike Conley returned last game and went 7-8 from three-point land. I wouldn’t expect that again but he’s going to be the starting point guard and play big minutes at a reasonable price tag. We know Mitchell and Gobert will get their shots but Joe Ingles will take the biggest blow with Conley back as he has just a 0.74 fantasy point per minute with Conley on the floor this year. Donovan Mitchell had a bad DFS game and still saw his price go up, he’s way too expensive for me and I may hit him with a full fade in this one. Rudy Gobert had a big game last time out and will continue to make for a nice cash option. I was all over Royce O’Neale last time out, he didn’t kill you but he also wasn’t the best. He’s still one of the better value options on the slate at just $4k, the minutes will be there for him. From the Nuggets, Nikola Jokic was slowed down last game but if the public gets behind that I’ll go right back to him here, he’s proven he can win this matchup against Gobert this season. Michael Porter played just 15 minutes last game and is a fade for me, I think Malone finally realized that he’s a complete liability on defense and can’t be out there in a game of this magnitude. Lastly, Jamaal Murray has been volatile as of late which comes as no surprise, but he’s always an option in GPPs due to his huge upside.

5-star play: Nikola Jokic

4-star play: Rudy Gobert, Donovan Mitchell, Paul Millsap, Jamaal Murray, Mike Conley

Deeper Value: Royce O’Neale

GPP Sleeper: Joe Ingles, Jerami Grant, Michael Porter Jr.

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NBA Lock of the Day: Kawhi Leonard (DK – $9.8k; FD – $10.0k)

Let’s get those lineups started with locking in some heavy points here with Kawhi Leonard. He’s too cheap for what he has been doing this series. We know how he excels in the playoffs and should put the team on his back while “Playoff P” continues to struggle. I expect he goes out and tries to get that 3-1 lead on the Mavs and produces as he has over the past three games. He has at least 50 DraftKings points in each of his first three games of the series and is coming off a 64.75 point outing. At under $10k on DraftKings and right at $10k on FanDuel, he’s tough to ignore. Tweet me (@MadnessDFS) your lock predictions and if your player gets over 6.5x I’ll give you a shoutout on Twitter, let’s have some fun with this!

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