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The Sniper Scope: UFC Whittaker vs. Till

Welcome back to “The Sniper Scope” – highlighting my personal anticipated GPP exposures and cash game targets for UFC Figueiredo vs. Benavidez. This article is for VIP members only so if you want to ask me any questions or just want to talk about the slate, make sure to find me in VIP Chat. If you’re not a VIP member, join today and use code SNIPER for 20% off!  Follow me on Twitter @theDFSniper

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Anticipated GPP Exposures

These can change based on how my constructions develop and any late news in the week, including weigh ins. But these numbers are my personal starting points for building tournament lineups, I usually play 20 lineups per week. Obviously, the less lineups you play, the tighter you’re exposures need to be while if you play more lineups, you can expand things (especially your FADE – 20% range) quite a bit.

  • 9.8k – Khamzat Chimaev – 10%
  • 9.5k – Nathaniel Wood – 15%
  • 9.4k – Ramazan Emeev – 25%
  • 9.3k – Alexander Gustafsson – 50%
  • 9.2k – Nicolas Dalby – 10%
  • 9.1k – Movsar Evolev – 35%
  • 9.0k – Mauricio Rua – 30%
  • 8.9k – Tanner Boser – 10%
  • 8.8k – Tom Aspinall – 55%
  • 8.7k – Alex Oliveira – 50%
  • 8.6k – Marina Rodriguez – 10%
  • 8.5k – Francisco Trinaldo – FADE
  • 8.4k – Pannie Kianzad – FADE
  • 8.3k – Robert Whittaker – 25%
  • 8.2k – Gadzhimurad Antigulov – 70%
  • 8.0k – Paul Craig – 30%
  • 7.9k – Darren Till – 35%
  • 7.8k – Bethe Correia – FADE
  • 7.7k – Jai Herbert – 30%
  • 7.6k – Carla Esparza – FADE
  • 7.5k – Peter Sobotta – 20%
  • 7.4k – Jake Collier – 10%
  • 7.3k – Raphael Pessoa – 10%
  • 7.2k – Rogerio Noguiera – 15%
  • 7.1k – Mike Grundy – 20%
  • 7.0k – Jesse Ronson – 30%
  • 6.9k – Fabricio Werdum – 15%
  • 6.8k – Niklas Stolze – FADE
  • 6.7k – John Castaneda – 10%
  • 6.4k – Rhys McKee – 5%

Sep 28, 2019; Copenhagen, DEN; Alex Oliveira (blue gloves) reacts after a bout against Nicolas Dalby (not pictured) during UFC Fight Night at Royal Arena. Mandatory Credit: Per Haljestam-USA TODAY Sports

Cash Game Rankings

I don’t think any explanation is required except to say that I try and put about one-third of the fighters in each category.

Green:

  • 9.8k – Khamzat Chimaev
  • 9.5k – Nathaniel Wood
  • 9.3k – Alexander Gustafsson
  • 8.7k – Alex Oliveira
  • 8.2k – Gadzhimurad Antigulov
  • 8.0k – Paul Craig
  • 7.7k – Jai Herbert
  • 7.1k – Mike Grundy
  • 7.0k – Jesse Ronson
  • 6.7k – John Castaneda

Yellow: 

  • 9.4k – Ramazan Emeev
  • 9.1k – Movsar Evolev
  • 8.8k – Tom Aspinall
  • 8.6k – Marina Rodriguez
  • 8.3k – Robert Whittaker
  • 7.9k – Darren Till
  • 7.8k – Bethe Correia
  • 7.6k – Carla Esparza
  • 7.3k – Raphael Pessoa
  • 6.4k – Rhys McKee

Red: 

  • 9.2k – Nicolas Dalby
  • 9.0k – Mauricio Rua
  • 8.9k – Tanner Boser
  • 8.5k – Francisco Trinaldo
  • 8.4k – Pannie Kianzad
  • 7.5k – Peter Sobotta
  • 7.4k – Jake Collier
  • 7.2k – Rogerio Noguiera
  • 6.9k – Fabricio Werdum
  • 6.8k – Niklas Stolze