Notes for Tonight’s 4/18 LPL 3am ET Slate
4 game slate with only one LCK game, that being a playoff game. All games are still Best of 3.
LPL
VG (-1600) vs V5 (+650)
This is the easy match up of the night. VG are handed the worst team in the LPL and this makes them an elite play. V5 actually tend to get a decent amount of kills but they always give up more and they always lose. VG should be a great starting point for Cash and GPP. They are priced low enough to the point where there is still viable upside for them and like I mentioned this is a smash spot. I expect a 2-0 for VG and would full fade V5 unless making a lot of lineups.
Players to watch (VG): Forge, iBoy, Aix
Players to watch (V5): clx, y4
FPX (-800) vs RW (+450)
RW have been a lot of people’s favourite target for an underdog recently. They have shown massive fantasy upside when they win and always at low ownership and low salary. Tonight they may see another opportunity for that but I do not. RW have taken down teams that are slow paced teams (RNG, VG, BLG). Against a proactive team like FPX with an elite jungler (Tian). I do not think Haro will get out to his leads that allow them to snowball the game to a victory. FPX should roll here tonight and while RW can be played due to that upside they have, I am not saying it is likely at all. FPX is also in an elite spot due to RW wanting to engage in fights all the time and we know that is what FPX needs to be a top fantasy option.
Players to watch (FPX): Doinb, Lwx, Tian
Players to watch (RW): Haro, Zwuji
RNG (-290) vs SN (+205)
I covered most of what I think on this game on my cheat sheet but the way I see it is RNG is actually a great GPP play. I think Suning will be higher owned than RNG and everyone will look to them and try to jam Huanfeng into their lineups to pair with either VG/FPX. I think this is a great bounce-back spot for RNG and while they have had some questionable drafts as of late, they are extremely talented and much better than what they have shown. Huanfeng has only played Miss Fortune for 6 games straight and I think if RNG bans that away they are in a massively improved position. I will take RNG to win but SN are one of 2 viable dogs in my mind on this slate (SN and DWG).
Players to watch (RNG): Betty, Xiaohu, Langx
Players to watch (SN): huanfeng, Angel, SwordArt
LCK
KT (-150) vs DWG (+110)
This is the first playoff match for the LCK and I was honestly expecting DWG to be a slight favourite, not the other way around. DWG have looked revitalized with Ghost coming into the ADC position and overall have started looking better from a disappointing regular season. KT are a solid, experienced team that play very slow. DWG are chaotic and thrive on individual outplays. For this reason KT tend to be more consistent but have lower upside. I think DWG are better individually and can turn those individual leads into game victories like IG did to EDG last night. DWG may be more volatile than KT but I think they will win this series. The upside does not seem particularly high on this game overall as it boasts a low total and could easily go to 3 games, but I am on DWG’s, side tonight.
Players to watch (KT): Aiming, Kuro, Bono
Players to watch (DWG): Showmaker, Nuguri, Ghost
Favourite stacks: FPX >VG > RNG > DWG > SN > RW > KT > V5