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The Sniper Scope: UFC 245

Welcome back to “The Sniper Scope” – highlighting my personal anticipated GPP exposures and cash game targets for UFC 245. This article is for VIP members only so if you want to ask me any questions or just want to talk about the slate, make sure to find me in VIP Chat. If you’re not a VIP member, join today and use code SNIPER for 20% off!  Follow me on Twitter @theDFSniper

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Anticipated GPP Exposures

These can change based on how my constructions develop and any late news in the week, including weigh ins. But these numbers are my personal starting points for building tournament lineups, I usually play 20 lineups per week. Obviously, the less lineups you play, the tighter you’re exposures need to be while if you play more lineups, you can expand things (especially your FADE – 20% range) quite a bit.

  • 9.4k – Petr Yan – 30%
  • 9.3k – Matt Brown – 15%
  • 9.2k – Amanda Nunes – 50%
  • 9.1k – Geoff Neal – 20%
  • 9.0k – Marlon Moraes – 50%
  • 8.9k – Kamaru Usman – 50%
  • 8.8k – Ketlen Vieira – FADE
  • 8.7k – Max Holloway – 60%
  • 8.6k – Viviane Araujo – 15%
  • 8.5k – Kai Kara-France – FADE
  • 8.4k – Ian Heinisch – FADE
  • 8.3k – Chase Hooper – 50%
  • 8.2k – Punahele Soriano – 40%
  • 8.0k – Oskar Piechota – 10%
  • 7.9k – Daniel Teymur – 20%
  • 7.8k – Omari Akhmedov – FADE
  • 7.7k – Brandon Moreno – FADE
  • 7.6k – Jessica Eye – FADE
  • 7.5k – Alexander Volkanovski – 30%
  • 7.4k – Irene Aldana – 60%
  • 7.3k – Colby Covington – 50%
  • 7.2k – Jose Aldo – FADE
  • 7.1k – Mike Perry – 25%
  • 7.0k – Germaine de Randamie – FADE
  • 6.9k – Ben Saunders – 25%
  • 6.8k – Urijah Faber – FADE

Cash Game Rankings

I don’t think any explanation is required except to say that I try and put about one-third of the fighters in each category.

Green:

  • 9.4k – Petr Yan
  • 9.2k – Amanda Nunes
  • 9.0k – Marlon Moraes
  • 8.9k – Kamaru Usman
  • 8.7k – Max Holloway
  • 8.3k – Chase Hooper
  • 7.5k – Alexander Volkanovski
  • 7.4k – Irene Aldana
  • 7.3k – Colby Covington

Yellow: 

  • 9.3k – Matt Brown
  • 8.6k – Viviane Araujo
  • 8.5k – Kai Kara-France
  • 8.2k – Punahele Soriano
  • 7.8k – Omari Akhmedov
  • 7.7k – Brandon Moreno
  • 7.1k – Mike Perry
  • 6.8k – Urijah Faber

Red: 

  • 9.1k – Geoff Neal
  • 8.8k – Ketlen Vieira
  • 8.4k – Ian Heinisch
  • 8.0k – Oskar Piechota
  • 7.9k – Daniel Teymur
  • 7.6k – Jessica Eye
  • 7.2k – Jose Aldo
  • 7.0k – Germaine de Randamie
  • 6.9k – Ben Saunders