White flag is in the air and we have just one race left this year. What a tremendous year it has been, and what a week it will be! This week will be super chalky thanks to canceled qualifying, but lets try and find some edge. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.
Top Plays
Kyle Busch – This week is all about finding some edge, so this will be a bit of a boom or bust play. Kyle Busch is, on paper, the slowest of the four championship cars. He should also be the lowest owned. That low ownership is valueable edge in a race that will be super chalky. KB is the second best Homestead driver in the field, and should have no problem finding the speed he lacks as the day progresses.
Kyle Larson – Larson will be screaming along the wall all afternoon, and will be nearly unstoppable on the long run. While Homestead wins have eluded him, he consistently leads laps and finishes strong. Larson can easily make the championship battle a race for second place.
Kevin Harvick – My personal favorite to win the title, Harvick has shown that consistent speed that should send chills down the other championship drivers spine. He has the best track history with top four finishes each of his last 5 tries here. Expect Harvick to be competing for a win at the last restart.
Denny Hamlin – I know, this is a really obvious group of top plays, but there is just so few A+ plays in the field. Hamlin SHOULD compete for a win, but more importantly, I think he leads a good portion of this race.
Worth Noting
If you want to go super contrarian, Brad Keselowski is a good play.
Value
Ricky Stenhouse Jr – RSJ starts 23rd, but has been sneaky good on mile and a half tracks this year. He should perform well today in what will be his last ride in the 17 car.
Austin Dillon – Dillon is one of the better Homestead drivers in the field, and likely would have qualified quite well. Alas, he will start 22nd at a track where he has marked off four top 15 finishes in a row.
Jimmie Johnson – Johnson’s track history at Homestead is deceiving. There was time where he never HAD to run well at Homestead, since he had already won the championship weeks ago. That obviously isnt the case here, and JJ has no reason not to run the wheels off it. He starts 18th, but has top ten speed. I think JJ could even slip into the top five by days end.
Drew Herring – Punt of the week. Starts 37th in a top 30 car.
So there it is folks, we will talk again in Feburary. It’s been a pleasure – lets end strong! We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock, and thats what it will be all about this week. Strategy. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.