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The Sniper Scope: UFC 239

Welcome back to “The Sniper Scope” – highlighting my personal anticipated GPP exposures and cash game targets for UFC 239. This article is for VIP members only so if you want to ask me any questions or just want to talk about the slate, make sure to find me in VIP Chat. If you’re not a VIP member, join today and use code SNIPER for 20% off!  Follow me on Twitter @theDFSniper

Anticipated GPP Exposures

These can change based on how my constructions develop and any late news in the week, including weigh ins. But these numbers are my personal starting points for building tournament lineups, I usually play 20 lineups per week. Obviously, the less lineups you play, the tighter you’re exposures need to be while if you play more lineups, you can expand things (especially your FADE – 20% range) quite a bit.

  • 9600 – Jon Jones – 50%
  • 9500 – Marlon Vera – 30%
  • 9400 – Edmen Shahbazyan – 50%
  • 9300 – Ismail Naurdiev – FADE
  • 9200 – Michael Chiesa – 25%
  • 9100 – Amanda Nunes – FADE (Ownership Play)
  • 9000 – Arnold Allen – FADE
  • 8800 – Claudia Gadelha – 20%
  • 8700 – Ben Askren – 25%
  • 8600 – Julia Avila – 30%
  • 8500 – Song Yadong – FADE
  • 8400 – Luke Rockhold – 75%
  • 7800 – Jan Blachowitz – 25%
  • 7700 – Alejandro Perez – 40%
  • 7600 – Pannie Kianzad – 20%
  • 7500 – Jorge Masvidal – 35%
  • 7400 – Randa Markos – FADE
  • 7200 – Gilbert Melendez – 30% (Not confident but I’m fading Allen and I need underdog ownership…plus he’ll be super low owned)
  • 7100 – Holly Holm – 30%
  • 7000 – Diego Sanchez – 10%
  • 6900 – Chance Rencountre – 40%
  • 6800 – Jack Marshman – FADE
  • 6700 – Nohelin Hernandez – 30%
  • 6600 – Thiago Santos – 35%

Cash Game Rankings

I don’t think any explanation is required except to say that I try and put about one-third of the fighters in each category.

Green:

  • 9600 – Jon Jones
  • 9400 – Edmen Shahbazyan
  • 9200 – Michael Chiesa
  • 9100 – Amanda Nunes
  • 7500 – Jorge Masvidal
  • 6900 – Chance Rencountre
  • 6700 – Nohelin Hernandez
  • 6600 – Thiago Santos

Yellow: 

  • 9500 – Marlon Vera
  • 9300 – Ismail Naurdiev
  • 9000 – Arnold Allen
  • 8800 – Claudia Gadelha
  • 8700 – Ben Askren
  • 8600 – Julia Avila
  • 8500 – Song Yadong
  • 7100 – Holly Holm

Red: 

  • 8400 – Luke Rockhold
  • 7800 – Jan Blachowitz
  • 7700 – Alejandro Perez
  • 7600 – Pannie Kianzad
  • 7400 – Randa Markos
  • 7200 – Gilbert Melendez
  • 7000 – Diego Sanchez
  • 6800 – Jack Marshman