It’s the last event before the FedEx Cup playoffs and players last chance to get into the top 125 in the standings!
My name is Josh Thomas, and I am a PGA and NFL Coach here at DFS Army! Welcome to the 2019 PGA Season! We here at DFS Army have got you covered this year for DFS golf with my weekly preview out on Sunday Nights, Chalk Donkey article breaking down the ownership projections, where to pivot, and GPP strategy out Tuesday Nights, and our Research Station that is full of more information than you could ever need!
Can we quit saying that Brooks Koepka only cares about Majors? It’s a stupid narrative and hopefully he put that to rest this week with his win at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational. People might claim that it’s a WGC and isn’t a regular tour event…what does he need to do? Win the Sanderson Farms Championship? The guy is good at golf. He’s an absolute killer when the putter is rolling and he’s good enough to win even when it’s not. Rory McIlroy had his typical Sunday collapse, and with it went my winnings for the week. Had a solid Rory/Rahm lineup that was in 1st in a GPP before they teed off and then went continuously backwards over the course of their rounds. Disappointing to say the least, but such is the nature of DFS Golf. It’s full of ups and down and that is exactly why we love it!
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This week, the tour heads to Greensboro, NC for the Wyndham Championship, the last event before the FedEx Cup Playoffs. Guys will be scrambling to get into that top 125 in the standings so that they can play next week at the Northern Trust Open at Liberty National. It’s a fun course that sets up to be quite the birdie fest if you can keep it in the fairway and hit the greens.
PGA Preview Video:
A classic course that the tour has played for years, means we have lots of data to look at for the Wyndham Championship, and a pretty good idea of what type of golfer to target!
NOTE: I had tons of issues with my video editing this week and had to put it up and two different files! Hope this works for everyone and sorry for the inconvenience!
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Course Overview:
- Sedgefield Country Club, Greensboro, NC
- Par 70 – 7127
- Greens: Bermuda
- Fairways: Bermuda
- Designer: Donald Ross
- Course Record: 59 – Brandt Snedeker (2018 Wyndham Championship)
Sedgefield has hosted the Wyndham Championship since 2008 (and many years before that) and has an eclectic group of winners
Previous Winners:
2018: Brandt Snedeker -19
2017: Henrik Stenson -22
2016: Si Woo Kim – 21
2015: Davis Love III -17
2014: Camillo Villegas -17
All of these guys have taken it low here. and that is likely to be the theme of the week. Birdies will be a plenty. The other thing they have in common though? Not overly long hitters by any means. This is a course that you can’t really overpower. In fact, when Henrik Stenson won in 2017 he didn’t even have a driver in his bag.
As you can see, over the years the course has played almost a stroke and a half under par! This makes it one of the ‘easiest’ courses the tour plays all year (4th)! It’s second in eagle percentge, and 12th in birdie percentage. Guys are going to take it low here. That being said, it’s a Ross design and with that comes a few staples. Turtleback greens that don’t reward anything but a perfect approach shot. Big collection areas. Tight fairway landing zones. All of these things lead to a certain type of player finding success here.
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This chart in the Tournament Comparison section of our Research Station is one of my favorites to look at every week as you really get a feel for what this course requires. The fairway strokes per round are right in the middle of average, while the rough strokes are higher than average by over a full stroke meaning that guys hit about one more shot from the rough than average here. That tells me these fairways are a little harder to hit.
Despite it being a Ross design the sand strokes per round are lowest on tour. Ross loves his bunkering which is what makes this a little interesting, but I think it probably has more to do with how old this course is, and not that it needs a redesign, but many of the bunkers aren’t really a worry for average tour players here.
There are about 2% more shots from the 125-150 yard range this week, and 7% more from 150-175 with the rest all coming in below the average tour event. What does this tell us? That it’s going to be a wedge/short iron fest despite having a couple of the longer par 4’s the players play all year.
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Key Stats:
Key Stats to look for this week – Driving Accuracy, SG: Approach, SG: Off the Tee, Scrambling, Long Par 4 Scoring, and Projected Course Score.
You can find all of these key stats in our DFS Army research station accessible ONLY for our VIPs.
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Beat the Bookie Betting Card:
In this section, I usually provide my betting card for the week but I’ve included it in the video above so be sure to check it out to see who I’m on this week!
Check out the video above for the reasoning on betting these players! I’ll have my FRL, T5/T10/T20 bets up later this week for our DFS Army VIPs!
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Final Thoughts:
There are going to be a ton of narratives this week. From ‘good putters’ to ‘only accurate drivers’ to the FedEx Cup bubble. It’s hard to sift through that sometimes. Play good golfers and you’ll be fine. I know that seems like oversimplifying it, but don’t play a guy who is 130th in the FedEx Cup standings just because he’s ‘motivated’ to get in the top 125. Guys are in 130th for a reason, don’t forget that.
We will have content for you all through the week at DFS Army. Our research station and domination station optimizer will be updated on Tuesday and I will have my full Chalk Donkey article breaking down all the ownership and GPP strategy for our VIP’s on Wednesday afternoon!
Remember, this is the last major of the year so while we preach contest selection and bankroll management, don’t be afraid to go a little crazy!
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Also, give me a follow on twitter @dfsupnorth as I’ll be posting updates there as well as useful retweets leading up to this weeks event!