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The Sway Bar: NASCAR DFS Fades and Values for Chicagoland 2019

The windy city is looking like the wind and rain city this weekend, so things could get wacky. Keep an eye on the slack for up to the minute info! As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.


Top Plays

Kevin Harvick – Even though Harvick hasn’t won a race in 2019, he has still been the best on 1.5 mile tracks. This weekend appears to be more of the same. He is the fastest car in every character by a fairly substantial amount. I expect he will get the lead in fairly short order and dominate this race.

Joey Logano – Joey turned Michigan into a real stinker a couple weeks ago, and seemed to have bring that same speed this weekend. I would say he is the second fastest on long runs, and a 19th place starting spot gives him plenty of differential potential. Love this play.

Kyle Larson – Larson has forgettable single lap speed, but in the long run he pins that joint high wide and handsome and has somewhere to go. He was able to string together some really impressive long runs in practice, and against a 14th place starting spot should perform well.

Martin Truex Jr/Erik Jones – I think these two provide similar value this week. Truex is more expensive and could lead laps, but Jones starts a little farther back and is more affordable. If you can afford MTJ I would go with him, otherwise jumping down to EJ isnt a bad idea. If you can fit BOTH…beauty.

RE: Kyle Busch – he is obviously a good play. I have trouble making good lineups with him this week, so I didn’t include him. He starts far enough back to easily hit value, though.

Fades

Until RCR proves the can dominate a race, I dont trust the short run speed they show week to week. Full fades.

Value Plays

Chris Buescher – Buescher has evolved into a legitimate top ten threat in every track we go to. He starts 27th, but has finished 6, 10, 20, 18, and 9 in his last five 1.5 miles tracks. He has GREAT speed this weekend and should push forward with ease.

Matt Tifft – Thanks to an inspection blunder, Tifft will start dead last. He has posted three top 25s in a row in at 1.5 mile tracks, so I think he is a really safe play.

Daniel Suarez – Suarez is by no means blistering fast this weekend, but he has pretty solid overall speed, espically agaisnt his 29th starting spot. I reckon he will make his way to the top 15 by days end, which gives us the value we need.

Landon Cassill – Punt of the week. I would try to look elsewhere though, there is no solid punts this time around.

So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.