Welcome to a test version of a future MLB article from your friends at DFS Army. The goal of this piece will be to find those homeruns that boost your DFS scores and have you leapfrogging leaderboard spots in bunches. We will focus solely on power numbers for both bats and pitchers, and we will largely center around the ISO metric indicating raw power.
All numbers cited are produced for VIPs daily inside our MLB Research Station. We may cross-reference some with Trends tabs, Pitching Hubs, and various other stats, but we largely focus on the hitter’s ISO and the pitcher’s ISO against. We aim to find strength on weakness, so let’s dive in for today’s quick Hunting Homers plays…
Main Slate #200on200 MLB Picks for June 9
Ryan Carpenter – .290 ISO given to right-handed bats, .250 ISO given to left-handed bats – Carpenter isn’t good against either side of the plate at this point and we should look to stack against him with varying iterations, especially if making multiple lineups. He gives up 2.79 HR/9, carries a bloated 5.66 SIERA, and shows a lack of control with his 1.86 WHIP. Falling behind in counts leads to coming right over the plate into power bats, which leads to fantasy points. The Twins also happen to lead the league in home runs hit this year…..Lick your chops today. MIN bats in play – Cron (.290), Cruz (.306), Sano (.191), and Buxton (.210).
Dylan Bundy – .273 ISO to righties, .218 ISO to lefties – Bundy is another that just isn’t very good most of the time. A middling 55 DFSA Grade doesn’t tell much. But, the WScore of 551 suggests he gives woba with the power and is drawing a matchup with a lot of woba potential in it. Add in 46% flyballs and 2.1 HR/9 of his own, and we are cleared for launch inside a hitter-friendly park today. HOU bats in play – Bregman (.252), Chirinos (.232), White (.197), Marisnick (.203), Brantley (.195), Fisher (.188).
Remember to ensure your bats are in the starting lineup…or even up in the majors. I’m mentioning my sheet as inclusively as possible and am not looking at starting lineups being released. It is your responsibility to cross check with other research and to make sure your hitters of choice don’t come blindly off someone’s list. You need to make sure they are not injured and they are actually going to see at bats today.
Jeff Hoffman – .254 ISO to righties – Not a lot to say here other than straight power vs power. NYM bats in play – Alonso (.304), and a currently rather hot Todd Frazier (.194)
Shane Beiber – .235 ISO to lefties – Slight leverage play here as Bieber usually carries a little ownership. NYY bats in play – Hicks (.213)
Eduardo Rodriguez – .215 ISO to lefties – More ownership leverage than Beiber, and Tampa usually goes underowned. Add in the LvL matchups, and that serves to drive our ownership down even further making a mini-stack here full of potential in gpps. TAM bats in play – Meadows (.248), Lowe (.215)
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MLB Honorable Mentions
Facing pitchers close, but not over, the .200 ISO allowed mark…
CLE – Jose Ramirez – .252 ISO vs RHP
KC – Ryan O’Hearn (.259 ISO vs RHP), Adalberto Mondesi (.211), Jorge Soler (.225)
ARI – Ketel Marte (.284 vs LHP), Eduardo Escobar (.204), Ahmed (.220), Walker (.224), Kelly (.298), John Ryan Murphy (.218) – sneaky gpp stack!
ATL – Charlie Culberson (.214 vs RHP), Acuna (.211), Donaldson (.205), Riley (.227)
MIL – Grandal (.230 vs LHP), Braun (.258), Perez (.220), Aguilar (.233), Hiura (.231)
*This #200on200 thing is just one parameter in which you might look through the RS for when choosing thunder bats*. When you find one of your own, feel free to tweet me @Choppodong or @dfsarmy on Twitter, and let’s have some fun with this metric!
Obviously, there are many other MLB coaching notes, methodologies, and processes to evaluate. But, ISO given up by a pitcher to the power ISO of a bat just makes logical sense and is here to point out great matchups………..not predict results. In conjunction with other factors, though, you can really find some 5-star matchups tonight and put yourself in a great position to accumulate some points in bunches. Try it tonight.
(One way to crosscheck this number is to look at L7 woba (in Trends tab of our Research Station) and see who is also hitting well recently. I would be less excited about some great #200on200 guy hitting .150 woba over the last week than if I found some guy hitting a .500 and tearing the cover off the ball when he finds this kind of matchup tonight.)
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