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Hunting Homers – DFS MLB Power Picks and Homeruns for Higher Fanduel and Draftkings Scores – May 30

Welcome to a test version of a future MLB article from your friends at DFS Army.  The goal of this piece will be to find those homeruns that boost your DFS scores and have you leapfrogging leaderboard spots in bunches.  We will focus solely on power numbers for both bats and pitchers, and we will largely center around the ISO metric indicating raw power.

All numbers cited are produced for VIPs daily inside our MLB Research Station.  We may cross-reference some with Trends tabs, Pitching Hubs, and various other stats, but we largely focus on the hitter’s ISO and the pitcher’s ISO against.  We aim to find strength on weakness, so let’s dive in for today’s quick Hunting Homers plays…

#200on200 MLB Picks for May 30

Manny Banuelos – .283 ISO given to right-handed bats.  Manny has issues.  He’s our lowest graded DFSA Grade pitcher on the entire day.  He gives a 79% contact rate, only 9.5% swinging strikes, and a whopping 2.57 HR/9.  Sort of a recipe for disaster, and we don’t need to look much farther to realize stacking bats against him is a strong idea.  CLE bats in play – Luplow, Lindor, Ramirez, Perez.

Tyler Beede – .272 ISO given to left-handed bats.  Beede is interesting because he should carry some ownership on the Early Only slates.  See write-up in Full Count MLB Slate Breakdown, too.  He has upside, but also has horrible BB/9, WHIP, and SIERA numbers.  It’s a gamble as to which pitcher we see take the bump today.  MIA bats in play – Granderson, but also consider Harold Ramirez (.190 ISO vs RHP).

Remember to ensure your bats are in the starting lineup…or even up in the majors.  I’m mentioning my sheet as inclusively as possible and am not looking at starting lineups being released.  It is your responsibility to cross check with other research and to make sure your hitters of choice don’t come blindly off someone’s list.  You need to make sure they are not injured and they are actually going to see at bats today.

Jerad Eickhoff – .229 ISO given to left-handed bats.  We have a lot of early-only pitchers to attack, and that leaves the Main Slate a little bare.  But, all slates are different and it is what it is.  Eickhoff is an enigma as well, as he’s the highest priced early slate pitcher with the lowest DFSA Grade.  High contact rates, lower strikeout totals, and a higher fly ball rate (41%) are tough to control in Phillies park, but STL is having an abysmal month of May.  Another gamble worthy of taking both sides of in gpps.  STL bats in play – Lane Thomas (if still up with the club), and Matt Carpenter.  (Editor’s Note – Lineups are starting to emerge and Kolten Wong gets the leadoff spot in STL……I’m making this my “Sneaky Call” today.)

Dakota Hudson – .210 ISO given to left-handed bats.  Hudson is a young pitcher going through his growing pains at the major league level.  Lots of mediocre here, but some upside.  The bigger downsides are the ISO given to lefties and the xWOBA given to lefties (.409 is big).  PHI bats in play – Harper, and consider Franco (.196) and Williams (.187).

Bonus play!!

I want to include something from the night games, and it was hard to find.  However, take a look at JA Happ.  He gives up a .185 ISO to right-handed bats.  That’s not exactly what we look for in #200on200, obviously, but peeking over at Boston bats and it’s scary.  BOS bats in play – Chavis (.406 ISO vs LHP), JD Martinez (.380 ISO vs LHP), Betts, and Pearce also.  Scary bats facing Happ’s weakness.

 

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MLB Honorable Mentions

Here are a few other pitchers to watch tonight that just didn’t give the ISO against I’m looking for in this particular article…

List is so small today, we are really scraping the bottom of the barrel to find anything comparable to JA Happ.  Let’s hold up our standards and just shake this one off today.

*This #200on200 thing is just one parameter in which you might look through the RS for when choosing thunder bats*.  When you find one of your own, feel free to tweet me @Choppodong or @dfsarmy on Twitter, and let’s have some fun with this metric!

Obviously, there are many other MLB coaching notes, methodologies, and processes to evaluate. But, ISO given up by a pitcher to the power ISO of a bat just makes logical sense and is here to point out great matchups………..not predict results. In conjunction with other factors, though, you can really find some 5-star matchups tonight and put yourself in a great position to accumulate some points in bunches. Try it tonight.

(One way to crosscheck this number is to look at L7 woba (in Trends tab of our Research Station) and see who is also hitting well recently. I would be less excited about some great #200on200 guy hitting .150 woba over the last week than if I found some guy hitting a .500 and tearing the cover off the ball when he finds this kind of matchup tonight.)

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Until next time, I’ll see you inside our coaching rooms at DFS Army!