Daily Fantasy Sports
Sharp App
Season Long Fantasy
Free Month
Wall of Champions
Discord

Hunting Homers – DFS MLB Power Picks and Homeruns for Higher Fanduel and Draftkings Scores – May 24

Welcome to a test version of a future MLB article from your friends at DFS Army.  The goal of this piece will be to find those homeruns that boost your DFS scores and have you leapfrogging leaderboard spots in bunches.  We will focus solely on power numbers for both bats and pitchers, and we will largely center around the ISO metric indicating raw power.

All numbers cited are produced for VIPs daily inside our MLB Research Station.  We may cross-reference some with Trends tabs, Pitching Hubs, and various other stats, but we largely focus on the hitter’s ISO and the pitcher’s ISO against.  We aim to find strength on weakness, so let’s dive in for today’s quick HR Hunting plays…

#200on200 MLB Picks for May 24

Kyle McGowin – .421 ISO vs R, .360 xwoba vs R, 4.52 SIERA – We definitely have a weakness here, but facing Miami fails to reveal any significant power source capable of giving us the other 200 we are looking for.  The closest we get is Jorge Alfaro at .192.  However, MIA is playing pretty well recently, and that .421 ISO against is ridiculous even over a small sample, suggesting some balls will most definitely leave the yard if we can sort of guess right.

Drew Smyly – .400 vs L, .320 xwoba vs R, .374 xwoba vs L, 5.20 SIERA – Kind of nuts numbers on both sides here.  But, again, we just don’t have anyone on the other side hitting the radar.  Like McGowin, we can anticipate something happening, but we just don’t get a great read on from where.  I’m not a fan of guessing, personally, but I won’t fault anyone for attacking these pitchers when they show us these numbers.

Gregory Soto – .333 vs R, .440 vs R/.428 vs L for xwoba, 5.94 SIERA – It’s almost as if these are getting better and better for bats as we go, and finally we get someone on the other side that can possibly take advantage.  Pete Alonso, in his small sample of 47 PAs, shows a .488 ISO vs L…..absolutely absurd.  Also, Frazier, JD Davis, and Altherr (should he start) show great pop vs LHP.  With a .400+ xwoba to both right and left handed bats, I’d be looking for other indicators to stack Mets tonight.

Anthony Desclafani – .302 ISO vs L, .397 xwoba vs L – Obviously, left handed hitting is his weakness.  The Cubs have some pop over there, too, in Rizzo and Schwarber.  I’d love to see Schwarber lead off again.  But, even if hitting 6th, he’s not so far behind Rizzo I won’t mini-stack them both.

Trent Thornton – .267 ISO vs L, .356 xwoba vs L, 4.47 SIERA – Trent is a bit up and down where he can give you good starts or bad.  Lefties appear to be his kryptonite, though.  Too bad San Diego has nothing in the department historically mashing these pitchers.

Griffin Canning – .236 ISO vs L, but oddly a .234 xwoba vs L and .235 xwoba vs R with only a 3.80 SIERA – This is a hard one to figure, likely due to a smaller sample.  Canning gives up significant power to lefties, but he doesn’t give a lot of xwoba and his SIERA is pretty low for us to blindly attack.  I might look to our coaches for clarity tonight, hoping one of them gives me a pitch type or something else to exploit because Canning looks like he can be had.  And, TEX is going to be popular.  I might even fade TEX for that reason hoping the xwoba and SIERA are the real numbers here.  But, if I was using TEX, of course Joey Gallo leads the way with his super stupid .323 ISO vs RHP over a significant 944 PA sample.  Choo, Cabrera, Guzman, Odor, and even a random Patrick Wisdom all hit for power here…..and if Wisdom starts, oh how sneaky that would be.

Fridays are large slates with a lot of options.  Getting them all correct is very difficult.  Miss just a few of these, and you are sunk.  But, with baseball becoming such a “homerun or strikeout” game, the evolution of the game dictates we chase the homer for the massive points we gain when we catch one.  Just like a real hitter is boom/bust when he hits for a lower average but more power, so will be your lineups.  By chasing these homers, you need to realize your scores will take on more variance than ever before.  If you are prepared for that risk, by all means, incorporate these players.  If not, I’m afraid the game of MLB DFS is going to pass you by and leave you chasing old stats like OBP and “just avoid a 0.”  That doesn’t fly anymore, and our coaching at DFS Army will teach you why.

Jared Eickhoff – .220 vs L, .347 xwoba vs L – Eickhoff is a solid pitcher, but it looks like lefties touch him up for some yard balls.  Watch these MIL mashers and their ISOs vs RHP… Yelich .248, Moose .255, Thames .268, and Grandal .234.  That’s one sick 4stack if all starting and all healthy.  I’ll have my eyes on this one.

Jeff Hoffman – .212 ISO vs R – Now, we can see we are a ways down the list on a big slate.  But, that doesn’t mean Trey Mancini can’t get one off Hoffman as a 1off in your lineups.

Joey Lucchesi – .212 ISO vs R – I see some pop on the Toronto side here in Grichuk and Teoscar Hernandez, but I’d also want to dig a little deeper to see how they are hitting currently before taking them over some of these other matchups above.  (And, our Trends Tab of our MLB Research Station linked in this article is the perfect place to glance.)  I’d also take note that Justin Smoak is only a .168 ISO vs LHP….and people will mistakenly use him tonight.  Even if he hits one out, it was the wrong play.  This is one of the hardest things to come to grips with in DFS, and we spend so much time coaching our members on topics like these.  You just have to keep your mind right daily in this sport to realize your edge.  Just because a guy saw results doesn’t mean it was a smart play…..and that player will lose his money over time if he keeps making mistakes like these.  It may take a long time, but he will eventually lose.  We don’t want to be that guy.

Shane Bieber – .210 vs L – Tampa might be our “day early” bomb call.  We were on them for single game showdown last night, and some of the higher rated guys didn’t have the good games.  Instead, it was the lower rated guys, that were still on our lists.  Maybe today things turn back around because Meadows, Choi, Lowe, and Kiermeier all smash righties at over a .200 ISO.

Putting together stacks that win MLB gpps is only part of what we do at DFS Army.  We coach our players on fundamentals covering all sports for MMA to PGA, from NBA to MLB.  If you’ve wanted to learn a new sport, the time is now.  By becoming a VIP, you unlock access to every sport, every tool, every coach we have dedicated to making you a better player.  Strong projections and a quality optimizer make playing MME formats a breeze.  And, our track record speaks for itself on our Wall of Wins.

Join the DFS Army and invest in your own game.  Use code CHOP and unlock a 20% discount that stays in tact as long as you stay a member.  Have fun with us all summer long!

MLB Honorable Mentions

Here are a few other pitchers to watch tonight that just didn’t give the ISO against I’m looking for in this particular article…

Pomeranz vs ARI – .383 xwoba vs L/.343 xwoba vs R
Folty vs STL – 338/374
LeBlanc vs OAK – 337/469! (meaning look at the righties from OAK)
Green vs KC – 488!/372 (look lefty in KC)
Stratton vs LAD – 400/333
Junis vs NYY – 347/372

*This #200on200 thing is just one parameter in which you might look through the RS for when choosing thunder bats*.  When you find one of your own, feel free to tweet me @Choppodong or @dfsarmy on Twitter, and let’s have some fun with this metric!

Obviously, there are many other MLB coaching notes, methodologies, and processes to evaluate. But, ISO given up by a pitcher to the power ISO of a bat just makes logical sense and is here to point out great matchups………..not predict results. In conjunction with other factors, though, you can really find some 5-star matchups tonight and put yourself in a great position to accumulate some points in bunches. Try it tonight.

(One way to crosscheck this number is to look at L7 woba (in Trends tab of our Research Station) and see who is also hitting well recently. I would be less excited about some great #200on200 guy hitting .150 woba over the last week than if I found some guy hitting a .500 and tearing the cover off the ball when he finds this kind of matchup tonight.)

Get the content, tools, and coaching making a difference by unlocking everything for yourself.  Join the Winning Team tonight and get set to #RaiseYourEdge!!

Until next time, I’ll see you inside our coaching rooms at DFS Army!