Mutt18’s Strategy for Winning NBA Tiers Lineups for Draftkings – Mar. 19th, 2019

Welcome to the DFS Army Draftkings Tiers breakdown! The Tiers breakdown will consist of a breakdown of all six tiers on Draftkings and why you should or shouldn’t play some of these guys! My name is Steve aka @Mutt_18 on Twitter, make sure to give me a follow as I’ll occasionally make updates to the article and just because I like to think I’m a great Twitter follow (high hopes). But, you’ll mostly find me in our VIP coaching forums where I provide detailed lineup maneuvers and answer all lineup questions. With that said, let’s get it started!

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Tier One:

Tier one isn’t going to be difficult as Giannis and LeBron have already been ruled out. So we only have to choose between KAT and James Harden. Let’s take a look at  the Domination Station is higher on tonight. Attacking the Hawks with guards has been profitable all year, but they’ve actually improved and Harden only scored 39.3 FPs against them last game. I expect him to have a good game tonight and his 40% usage rate is hard to ignore. I’m leaning KAT here as he’ll face up against Boogie who is a seriously liability on defense. He should dominate Boogie tonight. If you’re building multiple Tiers lineups throw Harden in a few as his ceiling is hard to ignore. Make sure you don’t play LeBron or Giannis.

EDIT: Boogie is out tonight which likely means Bogut starts, he’s way too slow to stay with KAT so I still like him here.

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Tier Two:

Here, I’m looking mainly at Stephen Curry (not in picture above) and Ben Simmons. I’ve been very profitable playing Ben Simmons when Joel Embiid is out, and he’s already been ruled out for rest purposes tonight. Kemba has a tougher matchup as he’ll likely have Jimmy Butler shadowing him which bumps him down for me. When all 5 Warriors are healthy KD tends to lose a lot of his peripheral stats and is mainly just scoring. For Tier 2 I’m going with Ben Simmons or Steph in that order.

Tier Three:

Here it starts to get a bit more difficult as a lot of these guys have good matchups tonight. The one standing out to me mainly is Tobias Harris as the Sixers will be Embiidless tonight and he should play 35+ minutes in this one. De’Aaron Fox is also popping in the Domination Station early which is also a good sign for him to have a good game tonight. D’Angelo Russell is also in a great spot as this Kings/Nets game will be fast paced which suits his style of play very well. I’m not too high on Capela as Harden’s usage really caps his ceiling and I expect Houston to win this game pretty easily, for those same reasons I’m not too high on Collins coupled with that fact that he likely won’t play more than 28-30 minutes.

Tier Four:

Chris Paul is standing out to me in this Tier as he gets the best matchup against the rookie Trae Young, who still needs to learn to play defense at the NBA level. He’s also coming off a 54 FP game and if the Hawks keep up the trend of playing better against SGs, I expect Paul to feast. I’m not as high on Jimmy Butler tonight as I’ll likely already be playing Simmons or Harris is previous Tiers and I don’t think playing all 3 would be +EV. Danilo Gallinari has also been hot, as he’s scored 40+ FPs in 3 of his last 4 and I don’t think he’ll be too highly owned. Klay’s usage takes too much of a hit for me with KD on the floor. Hield can also be a lower owned play but if you pick him he is a bit volatile and I wouldn’t play him and Fox in the same lineup. However, he is a great play tonight as Brooklyn struggles to defend guards. Lastly Trae Young does have a tough matchup against CP3 but he has performed well in tough matchups before. I’d use him in a lineup or two if you’re running multiple lineups.

Tier Five:

Khris Middleton and Eric Bledsoe stand out here with Giannis ruled out. I like Bledsoe a bit better as he has the better matchup against Rondo. Myles Turner is also a really good high ceiling play here if you’re willing to take some risk and he gets the Clippers charmin soft interior. Bigs against the Clips is still a thing. Lou Williams also has a high ceiling but also a lower floor than most players in this Tier and this matchup with Indiana will be a pacedown game which doesn’t really suit his style well. I’m passing on Draymond as he sees around a 9% usage rate with all the Warriors healthy. I’m also passing on Rondo as the Bucks are tough against PGs and he doesn’t play as well without LeBron. Lamb will be a low owned option as well but I like the other guys above more. I have a bit of interest in Harrell but he likely won’t see more than 30 minutes off the bench and like I said earlier this will be a pacedown game for the Clippers.

Tier Six:

My favorite play from this last Tier is a toss up between Kuzma and Dinwiddie. Kuzma gets the benefit of LeBron being out so his usage will take a big spike. Dinwiddie also gets a fast paced game and should see close to 30 minutes off the bench. However, don’t play both him and Russell in the same lineups as if one goes off the other don’t. Harrison Barnes is also a good play as he should see 30+ minutes today and has 40 FP upside in matchups like this, however he is rather risky. Thad Young and Sabonis are also a toss up as they should both see good matchups against this Clippers soft interior. Collison isn’t too high on my list as he’ll likely see Pat Bev defense and Dedmon doesn’t play more than 24-28 minutes.

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