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Draft NFL Week 16 Insights

UW81 here. I’m a contributor over at DFS Army with a focus on playing on Draft. Give me a follow on Twitter to catch the latest news on Draft for MLB, PGA, and NFL.  As always, your best compliment is retweeting and/or sharing this information across social media.  Thank you!

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This article focuses primarily on 3-Man snake draft strategy. Reason being is that you can easily apply this information to H2H as well as widen up to 4-Man contests, which is the average size of the daily GPPs. I’m going to break down what I saw in 20-30 drafts today and how we can exploit our opponents using our tools over on DFS Army.

Sorry for the 4-week break. Our VIPs got the notes but traveling and writing can be a bit too time-consuming.

Quick Trends (20 game sample)

 

 

  • Chalk: Adams, Barkley, Brown, Cmac, Elliot, Hopkins, Jones, Kamara, Luck, Mahomes, and Mixon.
  • 78% chalk this week (11/14) is the highest we have seen this season. As teams start to collapse, so does the player pool.

 

  • With Newton on the shelf, Cmac dropped to the #2 drafted slot behind Elliot. While still a great play, he could be an unknown commodity this week.
  • Mahomes continues to go in the second to third round consistently all year. If you want him, you’ll have to burn a RB or WR higher slot this week.

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Draft Projections & Rankings

The default draft rankings by position in Draft for their top positions. While most of these would be solid plays, they are vastly different than our projections and grades we developed in-house at DFS Army where to take into account many different metrics that these do not. Combining our brand new Starting Lineups Page, Domination Station, Articles, and research station, you can quickly see where some players in absolute smash spots should be drafted higher than what’s on this list.

Did you miss my 2 part strategy piece on Play Draft?  Find it here —> Draft Strategy Guide to Pitching and Hitting

Strategy

  • As the season comes to a close, it’s prudent to remind you to play a little less volume. The majority of my games this week were against the same 5-10 people I play against in all sports. It’s a lot of sharp players trading money around at this point in the season.
  • With that said, I prefer a hybrid approach this week: Pair a QB with a WR. You’re going to need that boom/bust to take anything down this week as there just isn’t enough value to go around anymore.

The graphic above and Projections in our Premium Slack services before lock. If you want access to our Premium Slack Chat, Domination Station, and Research Station use code UW81 for a 10% discount when you sign up today or are you new to Draft? Sign up through our affiliate link for Draft and grab a free month over at DFS Army today: