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DFS College Basketball Winning Lineup Advice For Draftkings and Fanduel 12/6/2018

Good morning to you beautiful people out there in DFS land!  You have managed to find yourself in a great spot here at DFS Army.  I look forward to providing you with analysis and picks throughout this 2018-2019 CBB season!  Remember, if I mention a player as a cash game play they most likely are OK for GPP play.  Let’s take a look at what games are on the slates for DraftKings and Fanduel tonight.  The KenPom score projections are in parenthesis.

 

Maryland (71) vs Purdue (78)

Iowa St (77) vs Iowa (75)

Utah Valley (65) vs Arizona (78)

 

 

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MARYLAND vs PURDUE

Maryland has one of the youngest teams in CBB this season and that is always worrisome when it comes to the road, conference games.  The Terrapins have been elite from 2-point range while also being elite at rebounding their own missed shots.  They score over 57% of their points from 2.  On defense, they do not force many turnovers, but they do keep teams off of the offensive glass while also keeping them off of the FT line.

With Maryland, we can focus on 6 guys in this match-up.  I am not a fan of their price points on FD, however, guys like Fernando and Cowan are in play over there.  When it comes to DK, I want GPP exposure to Ayala because of the fact that Purdue is beaten by 3-point shooting.  Fernando is my second favorite DK option on the Terrapins.  Morsell, Wiggins, and J.Smith are interesting GPP options on a smaller slate tonight even though they don’t really stand out to me.

Purdue is one of the elite offensive rebounding teams in the country.  They struggle to get to the FT line but they are shooting nearly 39% from 3.  Almost 49% of the shots taken by Purdue are from 3-point land and 43.5% of their points come from these 3-point shots.  On defense, they are beaten by the 3-point shot as teams are making them at a 36.4% clip.

Carsen Edwards takes nearly 40% of the team’s shots when he is on the floor and we get him $2400 cheaper than what he was earlier in the season on DK.  Edwards worries me on FD thanks to his turnovers, however, I think he is pretty much a cash game lock over there.  Cline has been as solid of a cash play as anybody in the country thus far and due to his 3-point shooting, he is more valuable on DK.  Boudreaux is an interesting GPP play as he has excellent scoring ability while getting to the FT line the second most of any Boilermaker.  Eastern is going to be one of my favorite DK GPP plays, while he is a so-so play on FD.

 

IOWA ST vs IOWA

Iowa St has been a DFS bright spot to begin this season, even while dealing with injuries and suspensions to presumed starters.  The team turns the ball over at a below average clip while attacking the offensive glass at an above average rate.  They make over 56% of their 2-point shots while rarely getting their shots blocked.  On the defensive end, the only thing they are not well above average in is the fact that over 41% of the points against them come from the 3-point line.

Jacobson and Shayok have been extremely consistent all season for the Cyclones and both are very much in play for cash and GPPs.  Weiler-Babb is an interesting GPP play as Iowa has given up some nice stat lines to backcourts recently.  Haliburton is one of my favorite plays on this slate and not because he is from where I live here in Wisconsin.  He contributes across the board while not turning the ball over and not needing to score game points to get there.  I do wish he would take more than 10% of the shots when he is on the floor as he is shooting 80% from 2 and 41% from 3.  Horton-Tucker had been one of my favorite plays much of this season so far, however, I am a bit worried about his match-up against Cook as an undersized 4.  He is certainly GPP viable thanks to his performances this season.  Lewis, Talley, and Lard are interesting GPP options for cheap on this slate.  Talley and Lard just recently returned from suspensions.

Iowa plays a pretty up-tempo, aggressive style.  They are the best team in the country in terms of getting to the FT line and they make those FTs at a 76% clip.  They aren’t very solid at making 3-point shots and they do allow teams to pick up steals on over 10% of their possessions.  On the defensive end, they allow teams to attack the offensive glass at an above average rate while they do a great job of limiting opposing FT attempts.  Iowa extends to defend the 3-point line extremely well but that allows teams to attack them via the 2.  Nearly 57% of the points they allow come from 2.

Cook is going to have to be at his best tonight in an up-tempo, high scoring game.  We have to wait on injury news on Wieskamp as he left the last game with an ankle injury.  If Wieskamp is forced to miss this game, N.Baer may become a lock while Till and Dailey become possible GPP darts.  There is also a great chance that Moss‘ minutes stabilize greatly should Wieskamp sit out.  At this point, Garza is just a GPP play with a wide range of outcomes.  I expect him to have a big performance at some point and I am going to try and be ahead of the field in receiving that game.  Bohannon has been so up and down that I can’t justify him in cash but he does have a large enough ceiling to make him a GPP play.  I won’t be using him but McCaffery is in play at $4200 on DK.

 

UTAH VALLEY vs ARIZONA

Utah Valley shoots the 3-ball at a 40.3% clip which is #20 in the country.  Unfortunately, that is the only positive going for them on offense as they turn the ball over a lot, fail to get on the offensive glass, they don’t get to the FT line, and they give up a ton of steals.  On defense, they rarely force any turnovers but they do a good job of defending the offensive glass while also rarely sending opponents to the FT line.  Nearly 53% of the points they allow come from 2.

The top two players for the Wolverines are the Toolson‘s.  While Connor is the better scorer, Jake seems to be more consistent.  Washington is probably my preferred option with the way he is playing right now to go along with the fact that he doesn’t need to score game points to return value.  I feel OK about Steele, Nakwaasah, White, and MacDougall as GPP options.  There is quite a bit of volatility in each of them but they have shown GPP type upside.

Arizona does an excellent job of protecting the ball while also getting to the FT line at an above average rate.  They aren’t very strong at attacking the glass on offense or shooting 3’s.  They do make nearly 56% of their 2-point shots.  On defense, Arizona forces turnovers without committing fouls, they keep you off the offensive glass, and they hold opposing teams to 28.7% from the 3-point line.

Chase Jeter is a fine option tonight as I prefer him more on FD at his price.  I get a headache trying to decide which of the 3-headed guard monster is going to pay off tonight.  I think I would order them Williams, Coleman, and then Randolph.  Randolph is generally my favorite, however, at that price point, I need more than just game scoring.  I am going to continue to be off of Luther until his minutes come back up.  Dylan Smith might be close to a DK lock at just $3900.  I realize it could just be due to being hot the last two games but this game shouldn’t be too close in the second half.  Lee is the take a shot type GPP play that could reward you handsomely this evening.

 

 

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Make sure you tune in to the slack channel to get my breakdown of each match-up!  We will be discussing CBB all afternoon and evening long.  

 

 

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