The Sway Bar: NASCAR Draftkings Plays, Fades and Values for the Texas Fall 2018

It seems like just yesterday we were gearing up for Daytona, and here we are. Three races left and I hope to finish it off on a heater. Texas has always been one of my best tracks so lets have a good week. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.

Top Plays

Kevin Harvick – It was clear in qualifying and practice that the Ford’s are on another level this weekend. This isn’t much of a suprise as the Ford have been bullets on 1.5 milers all year. When the Ford’s come into the weekend with an advantage, Harvick immediately becomes the best pick of the week. He starts 3rd, which is a bit annoying, but showed tremendous long run speed. I expect he will power foward pretty quick and dominate most of this race. He has lead significant laps here in the last three races here and he has never had a car like he does now. Harv is a lock.

Ryan Blaney – While I don’t think it would be smart to play Blaney in the same lineup as Harv, I think a good number of your lineups will have one or the other. Blaney starts on the point and has pretty good short and long run speed. Texas is one of Blaney’s better tracks, and it wasn’t long ago that he dominated this race. He will have to go through Harvick though, which is a tall order.

Kyle Larson – This is a boom or bust type play. Texas has been Larson’s kryptonite the last couple go-rounds, and he hasn’t shown us much this weekend. However, he has got steadily better all weekend and does have the ability to run well here. He starts 22nd, so he doesn’t need to do a whole lot to make value.

Kyle Busch – Speaking of drivers getting better as the weekend progresses – young Kyle Busch found some speed towards the end of last practice. He won this race back in the spring, leading 116 laps. The Ford’s are much stronger than they were then, so it would be as easy this time. However I think you will get a pretty good deal on KB, who starts 10th, thanks to the Ford hysteria going on. I think you can pivot to Martin Truex Jr. here if you want to be really different.

Worth Mentioning

Jimmie Johnson, Kurt Busch, and Clint Bowyer are all worth a look this week and offer a trip off the chalk.

Value Plays

Bubba Wallace – Bubba starts 30th this weekend, after an 8th place performance here in the spring. That team has struggled alot since then, so I think a top ten is a lot to ask. However, I think Bubba can muster out a top 20 and hit value with retaliative ease.

Chris Buescher – Buescher has been so impressive in the second have of this season, and will look to continue the momentum this weekend. He starts 21st, which is a bit scary – but I think he can run in the top 15 pretty easily. In a week where value is hard to find, I think CB is a good play.

Michael McDowell – Texas has been good to McDowell, who rolls of the 29th. He finished top 15 in the Spring, and looks poised to have a good performance this weekend as well.

Parker Kligerman – This car always attempts to go the distance, and usually finishes in the top 30.

So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.