The Sway Bar: NASCAR Draftkings Plays, Fades and Values for Richmond 2018

UPDATE – DANIEL SUAREZ HAD HIS Q TIME DISALLOWED AND WILL START DEAD LAST. HE IS A NEAR LOCK NOW***

UPDATE 2 – REGAN SMITH HAD IS TIME DISALLOWED TOO. HE WILL START 40TH, SUAREZ STARTS 39TH. MORE BULLISH ON SUAREZ, BUT SMITH IS PLAYABLE NOW TOO.

UPDATE 3 – DAVID REGAN WILL START 40th, SMITH 39TH, SUAREZ 37TH. ALL VERY MUCH IN PLAY, BUT WILL BE VERY CHALKY.

 

Ready – round 2. The second race of the NASCAR playoffs is upon us, and it should be a good one. A very interesting qualifying session sets us up for a potentially amazing week. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.

Top Plays

Kevin Harvick – No surprise here – the polesitter has a tremendous history at Richmond. Well wins have been sparse, he is poised to make some noise this weekend with the field behind him.

Jimmie Johnson – I am nervous making this pick…but hear me out. Johnson starts 22nd at a track where he always performs well. Even at this start of this year, when his cars were as bad as ever…he finished six. Playoff Johnson is just impossible to ignore. I don’t think he can dominate, but a top 5 is all we need and I think there is a chance.

Martin Truex Jr – I am not sold on this pick either, but looking just at stats – it makes sense. Now granted, Richmond is no where near his best track, but he showed some speed here in April, leading over 100 laps. The road to the optimal goes through Harvick, but Richmond is known to have atleast two dominators.

Kyle Busch – All this talk of the spring race, how can you ignore the spring race winner? KB had some trouble in qualifying, but I am positive they will be alright before the end of stage one, even if they end up having to start from the rear.

Clint Bowyer – I am going to throw Bowyer in here too, since he starts back in 25th and led laps here earlier this year. Its been a long time since Bowyer was a top 5 driver at Richmond, but his practice times have inspired some confidence. I think Bowyer can end up in the top 10 pretty easily.

Fades

Cole Custer.

Value

Austin Dillon – Austins qualifying speed isn’t much to talk about, as evidenced by his 28th qualifying effort. Alas, the car is pretty decent, and the stakes are high for the playoff contender. Richmond hasn’t been too bad to Austin, who finished 15th here earlier in the year.

Ty Dillon – I know, I know –  I am a Ty Dillon stan, but Ty just always runs better than he qualifies and that is so valuable. Ty will need to keep his fenders clean all race to find his way in the optimal, but I think he is up to the task. I know it doesn’t mean much, as drivers were using different trims – but a 4th in final practice doesn’t look too bad.

Joey Gase – Punt of the week. The 00 car has had some admirable runs in 2018, enough so that a 38th starting spot looks attractive.

So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.