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The Sniper Scope: UFC Moscow

Welcome back to “The Sniper Scope” – highlighting my personal anticipated GPP exposures and cash game targets for UFC Moscow. This article is for VIP members only so if you want to ask me any questions or just want to chat, make sure to find me in Slack Chat. If you’re not a VIP member, join today and use code SNIPER for 10% off! One last thing – if you don’t already, please give me a follow on Twitter and subscribe to my YouTube channel at the links below. OK, enough of the intro, let’s get to it.

The free “DFS Express” fight-by-fight analysis video for this card is below and was recorded on Wednesday night. Make sure to check out the VIP podcast to see how my thoughts on the fights have evolved throughout the week.

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Anticipated GPP Exposures

These can change based on how my constructions develop and any late news in the week, including weigh ins. But these numbers are my personal starting points for building tournament lineups, I usually play 20 lineups per week. Obviously, the less lineups you play, the tighter you’re exposures need to be while if you play more lineups, you can expand things (especially your FADE – 20% range) quite a bit.

  • 9.6k – Petr Yan – 30%
  • 9.5k – Rustam Khabilov – 15%
  • 9.3k – Ramazan Emeev – 20%
  • 9.2k – Merab Dvalishvili – 60%
  • 9.1k – Magomed Ankalaev – 60%
  • 9.0k – Aleksei Kunchenko – 20%
  • 8.9k – Mairbek Taisumov – FADE (CHANGED SINCE WEDNESDAY – GPP GAME THEORY/LEVERAGE – LISTEN TO VIP POD)
  • 8.7k – Jordan Johnson – 25%
  • 8.6k – Mark Hunt – 50%
  • 8.4k – Khalid Murtazaliev – 20%
  • 8.3k – Shamil Abdurakhimov – FADE
  • 8.2k – Nikita Krylov – 30%
  • 8.0k – Jan Blachowicz – 45%
  • 7.9k – Andrei Arlovski – 30%
  • 7.8k – CB Dollaway- 30%
  • 7.6k – Aleksi Olenik – FADE
  • 7.5k – Adam Yandiev – 40%
  • 7.3k – Desmond Green – 35%
  • 7.2k – Thiago Alves – 30%
  • 7.1k – Marcin Prachnio – FADE
  • 7.0k – Terrion Ware – 20%
  • 6.9k – Stefan Sekulic – FADE
  • 6.7k – Kajan Johnson – 20%
  • 6.6k – Jin Soo Son – FADE

Cash Game Rankings

I don’t think any explanation is required except to say that I try and put about one-third of the fighters in each category.

Green:

  • 9.6k – Petr Yan
  • 9.2k – Merab Dvalishvili
  • 9.1k – Magomed Ankalaev
  • 8.9k – Mairbek Taisumov
  • 8.6k – Mark Hunt
  • 7.9k – Andrei Arlovski
  • 7.2k – Thiago Alves
  • 7.0k – Terrion Ware

Yellow: 

  • 9.5k – Rustam Khabilov
  • 8.4k – Khalid Murtazaliev
  • 8.2k – Nikita Krylov
  • 8.0k – Jan Blachowicz
  • 7.8k – CB Dollaway
  • 7.5k – Adam Yandiev
  • 7.3k – Desmond Green
  • 6.7k – Kajan Johnson

Red: 

  • 9.3k – Ramazan Emeev
  • 9.0k – Aleksei Kunchenko
  • 8.7k – Jordan Johnson
  • 8.3k – Shamil Abdurakhimov
  • 7.6k – Aleksi Olenik
  • 7.1k – Marcin Prachnio
  • 6.9k – Stefan Sekulic
  • 6.6k – Jin Soo Son