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The Sway Bar: NASCAR Draftkings Plays, Fades and Values for Michigan 2018

Back to the Irish Hills we – wait, weren’t we just here? Race two at Michigan is here already and I am stoked. I feel like we have a good grasp on the week. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.

Top Plays

Daniel Suarez – This one is a layup. Suarez found the wall in practice, but seemed to have there ducks in a row by practice 2. Michigan is lowkey one of his best tracks (though you’d nver know by looking at his track results), and he starts. dead. last. What more do you need?

Kyle Larson – Over the last two years, Larson owned 2 mile tracks. He had a bad run here earlier in the year, but don’t let that scare you. His 17th starting spot provides plenty of safety, and that top 5 speed provides plenty of upside. Larson is back on the menu.

Kyle Busch/Kevin Harvick – These two are a coin flip for me this week. I think Toyota is a little faster than Ford this week (just based on practice), but I like Kevin Harvick more as a driver at Michigan. Busch has great short run speed, Harvick has great long run speed. I would say slight lean to Harvick – but you can’t go wrong with either of these guys.

Chase Elliott – Coming off the first win of his career, Chase is going to be chalkier than ever. Alas, he is still going to be super relevant this week. He rolls off 21st at a track where he is usually a top 10 lock, and usually competes for a top five. There is merit to fading him, but that isnt a strat that I am going with.

Worth Mentioning

Truex is always relevant on big tracks like this, but he didn’t show much in practice. However – he rarely does. I think he is a good pivot off Harvick and Busch. I think you can play Keselowski too.

Value Plays

William Byron – Willy B has looked super good in the second half of the season, and is primed for a solid top five run. He starts 20th, but his slow and steady style should serve him well here. I don’t love his long run speed, so I think he will have to make his hay on restarts.

AJ Allmendinger – It’s been a minute since we have seen AJ on the value plays, but I like his chances this week. He starts 25th, but is pretty good at Michigan. His practices weren’t great, but he is fast enough to run on the lead lap. I think he is a solid play.

Ty Dillion – I don’t like this pick that much, but its the least objectable choice here. He starts 27th , but has never finished worse than 24th at Michigan. That’s all I got. It’s tough to find value this week.

Ross Chastain – Punt of the week. Chastain is so good. Whenever he qualifies this poor he is immediately a good play. Look for him to get a top 25.

So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.