Welcome to this weeks Chalk Donkey article for DFS PGA Golf. It’s time for the 100th PGA Championship. The Season’s last Major, Glory’s last shot!
My name is Josh Thomas, and I write the Chalk Donkey article for VIP’s every week here at DFS Army looking at who the chalk plays are in DFS Golf and who you can pivot to. We’ll look at if you nee
d to eat the chalk especially in cash games, and take a deep dive into some pivots using our Research Station and the Domination Station.
It’s the last major of the year! It seems like just yesterday the players were teeing it up at the Tournament of Champions and now were here for the last major of the year, glory’s last shot as they like to say! The 100th edition of the PGA Championship takes place at Bellerive Country Club in St. Louis, Missouri. We’ve seen two first time major winners this year, and 10 of the last 12 major winners were first time winners. Will we see that trend continue here? We have seen the PGA Championship give players their first major often in the past few years and my gut feeling is that continues this year
Before we get to the chalk donkeys and the pivots lets take a look at the course to see what sort of stats we want to target this week.
Course Preview:
Bellerive Country Club has been around since 1897, but at it’s current location since 1960. The course was designed by legendary architect Robert Trent Jones Sr.
RTJ’s son Rees Jones led a redesign in 2005-2006 that lengthened the course as well as redesigned many of the green and bunker complexes. He also created a few more risk/reward holes expanding the creek into a lake on the par 4 second that brings double bogey into play. He also added bunkers around the course that punish a ‘greedy’ player. No doubt this course will frustrate players, but good ballstriking will be rewarded with prime birdie opportunities.
The course was designed around a creek that winds its way throughout the course coming into play on nine holes and water hazards are in play on 11 holes. Deep bunkers are a trademark here and punish any player who misses a green or bails out of an approach shot. Players will be faced with some of the longest bunker shots they have all year from around the green.
Bellerive hosted the US Open in 1965 (won by Gary Player), the PGA Championship in 1992 (won by Nick Price), and the BMW Championship in 2008 (won by Camillo Villegas). Interestingly enough all players who reside outside the United States, which is trend that I think we probably see continue here this year.
Bellerive measures at just under 7600 yards and will play as a par 70 this week. While long, the aggressive player who is accurate and long (in that order) off the tee can play this course much shorter by taking lines over bunkers and trees. The greens are bent grass and the fairways a zoysia mix which we don’t see on tour that often.
Want a more in depth breakdown? Check out my full hole by hole breakdown -> Bellerive Country Club Hole by Hole Breakdown
What is a Chalk Donkey?
First let’s breakdown what I consider to be ‘chalk’. Let’s look at each each price range and what is considered chalk there. (DK pricing is used for a guide)
Over 10K: >25% Anything over 25% in this range is considered chalk, and could even go down to 20%. Some weeks ownership is pretty evenly spread in this range, and some weeks one player gathers all the ownership and becomes a Chalk Donkey.
9K: >20% Again, any time over 20% of the field is on a player in this price range we would consider them a chalk donkey.
8K to 7.5K: 15%-20% This is a little trickier in this range, but I consider anyone over 15% chalk. DK has been jamming a bunch of guys in around 7.5k lately and we’ve seen guys get up there in ownership.
Below 7.5K: >10% Players are priced here for a reason, and oftentimes one or two become what I call DFS Darlings and garner a ton of ownership While you usually have to eat this chalk in cash, you want to swerve it any chance you can in GPP’s.
One thing to remember as you construct lineups, players are ‘Chalk Donkeys’ for a reason, they are perceived to be good plays. Don’t fade the ‘Chalk Donkeys’ just because they are going to be highly owned. Very rarely does no chalk hit, and often times you find some of these ‘Chalk Donkeys’ in GPP winning lineups. Fading the chalk is strictly a leverage play, in that if that player plays poorly you are in much better shape not playing them.
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Key Stats this Week:
In this section, I’ll cover what I feel are some of the key stats this week. We get lots of questions in slack about what to look for in the RS and here are some of the things that I’ll be focusing on this week for the WGC Bridgestone Invitational
Value Tab:
The first thing I look at every week when I open up the RS is the Value tab and at a major it is no different. Who is popping as a value this week. This is pretty easy to find as the better the value, the darker the green box. The value tab looks at Vegas odds and our projections, versus the salary FanDuel or DraftKings have assigned to that player.
Weird, Tony Finau, a value in a major?! We never see that! Draftkings finally priced him up into the 8K range which is appropriate, but he still presents a major (ha! get it?) value here. Justin Thomas should be priced up in the 10k range following a win but because major pricing comes out a few weeks before, we get a nice discount on him.
We rode the Thunderbear, Thorbjorn Olesen train to success last week and he contended at last years PGA Championship but I am a little concerned about his driving accuracy at a course that puts a premium on it.
Jason Day and Justin Rose are two more underpriced but studs, but two that I have some major concerns with that I’ll get to a bit more in depth later but Day’s wayward driving and Rose’s back injury that caused him to WD last week are both red flags for me.
Strong Field Rank:
A stat that we added this week that is similar to Adjusted Field Rank but looks at how golfer’s do in particularly strong field. Field rank shows what % of the field a golfer beats on average. A win would be 100%, last would be 0%. This stat is a great indicator of overall performance, especially in events like majors.
Mr. Major himself Tommy Fleetwood is no surprise at the top here as it seems we find him in the top ten of every single major for the last 2 years, but the rest of the group outside of Tony Finau is a bit of a shocker.
I’m interested in Jaime Lovemark anytime there is a course that requires a lot of drivers as he’s decently accurate. One area I’m very interested in this week is SG Around the Green and he pops there as well.
Ryan Moore is one of the more accurate drivers of the golf ball in the field but the putter has really been holding him back this year. It appears that this is a course that won’t require an elite putter but I still have some concerns. That price is really enticing though.
Chris Wood is an interesting sleeper, but take this rank with a grain of salt as the sample size is pretty small. Ok really small its only two events.
Strokes Gained – Greenside Bunker:
A stat that we are adding to the research station this week is Strokes Gained – Greenside Bunker. This stat looks at how well guys do getting out of the bunkers around the green. SG: Around the Green is going to be important as well but with the big, deep bunkers around the green we felt this could be something interesting to look at.
Ignore Michael Block as he’s one of the PGA Pros who rarely contend here. The rest of this list is interesting. It appears that maybe Cam Smith is starting to find his game again and he’s a huge value on FanDuel and one of the best out of the bunkers. The rest are golfers I consider short game masters. Hideki Matsuyama has one of the best around the green games in the world and in RD 2 last week he made 4 birdies, two from off the green and two after excellent approach shots.
Patrick Reed is someone I think goes overlooked this week and he has all the requisite tools to do well here. We will dive into him a bit more later.
Projected Course Score:
Projected Course Score takes the Fantasy Points that each player scores on the type of holes on that course (short par 4, long par 5 etc.) and sums them up to see who is really the best ‘course fit’ here.
Stat darling Joaquin Niemann leads the way here and I used to think that it was because of the small sample size but this guy can just flat out play.
Justin Thomas coming off a win onto a course that should be a great fit for him. I’ll sprinkle Phil Mickelson in some GPP. Dustin Johnson could just absolutely destroy this course if its soft.
Fantasy Points: Long Par 4
There are 6 par 4’s that are considered ‘long’ by our Research Station this week and while you probably aren’t scoring very well on these longer par 4’s you need to ensure that you are scoring and not making bogeys so this is a great stat to look at to see who is able to keep the pace on these difficult par 4’s
I included the long par 5 stats in this as well as there are two that are birdie, if not eagle holes depending on the set up.
Rory McIlroy is one of my favorite plays this week as the holes here really match his game and if this thing turns into a birdie fest I think he’ll be the winner come Sunday. Henrik Stenson is a great par 4 scorer and a consistent major performer. I think Hideki Matsuyama might be on his way back to form and makes an interesting play here in a range where he should go overlooked.
I’ve ridden the Scott Piercy roller coaster many times and been burned many times, but he had a fantastic US Open and then we haven’t seen much of him since other than a weak performance at the Greenbriar and a missed cut at the John Deere. Could be a sneaky play at super low ownership, I might consider a sprinkle in GPP.
There’s Justin Thomas again, he just keeps showing up and making it so you almost have to match the field on him this week.
Other key stats to consider this week, that I’ll get into in my breakdown of the chalk donkeys:
Driving Distance, Driving Accuracy, SG: Tee to Green, SG: Approach, Fantasy Points/Hole, and FP/Long Par 5. I’ll specifically look at any changes in the Strokes gained categories in the last 5 as opposed to the season for players.
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Who are this week’s DFS Chalk Donkeys?
In this section, each price range’s Chalk Donkey will be identified, and a few pivots will be offered. I use DraftKings pricing since that is where I usually play, but their pricing is usually similar to FanDuel and when a player pops as a value on one site but not another I’ll make sure to mention it.
Above 10K:
As always, you are nit picking on who the best play is up here as they are all fantastic golfers with the potential to win this tournament. If MME’n 150 lineups or even 20 I think you can spread your risk out and play all four of them.
Dustin Johnson: DK $11400/FD $12600
The highest priced golfer on the both sites is going to contend for the highest owned player as well. Until last Sunday I thought we might get DJ underowned a bit this week (Not low owned, but under 20%) but then had to go out and shoot a 63 to vault himself up the leaderboard to 3rd place.
It’s looking like DJ will carry the majority of the ownership in this range (around 25%) followed by McIlroy, Fowler, (teens) and Spieth (Single digits) in that order. That being said, I don’t think I can get away from him here.
Outside of DJ just crushing everywhere statistically, this is a fantastic course fit for him and with the rain early in the week the course could play fairly soft. DJ is an excellent driver of the golf ball and I think a soft course benefits him in the sense that he can take aggressive lines and know that if he lands it in the fairway its not going to roll out into the rough. That can put him into position A all over the course.
He’s an excellent wedge player and if he is able to drive the ball into the fairway he could quite literally run away with this thing. I can’t get off DJ this week. I’m not sure I’m going to make a big stand here as I like some of the other guys too much, but I’ll match the field no doubt.
The other three in this range will be much lower owned and my favorite play is Rory McIlroy. McIlroy is coming in after a disappointing Sunday at the Bridgestone but outside of the final round he had a fantastic tournament. At a long par 70 like this one, driving the ball well is essential and Rory leads the field in field adjusted driving distance (even longer than DJ) and his field adjusted accuracy of 55% while not excellent is respectable.
Rory hits a natural draw and that right to left ball flight will be a big advantage with the number of right to left pathed holes. Rory’s approach game was a little off last week, but the plus side was that his around the green game was fantastic and here with big greens that are still going to be difficult to hit you will want to be sharp with your around the green game.
I just think this is a great set up for Rory, especially if it turns into a birdie fest with the soft conditions. PGA Championships fit his game well as he has two titles to his name and I think he can add a third here this week.
I will have equal DJ and Rickie Fowler shares for the most part. I really think this is another great opportunity for Fowler to break through and win his first major. It’s beginning to be a bit of a Phil Mickelson type story for Rickie, in terms of when will he win/will he ever win one? It’s only a matter of time in my eyes, and Rick is still pretty young. He has some excellent form coming in and has one of the best Strong Field % here.
Rickie is longer off the tee than you would think and with that he’s accurate. He’s an excellent putter and his approach game is great as well. I worry a bit about his short game around the green. I think the fact that we have huge greens where lag putting will be important and Rickie excels at that avoiding 3 putts from farther than 25 feet 92% of the time.
I’m going to sprinkle Jordan Spieth in GPP a bit as he is going to go overlooked in a major once again. Statistically this looks like an awful fit for him. You need to drive it well here (he sucks at that recently), Hit good approaches (sucks at that recently), and if you miss the green you gotta get up and down (not great at that recently). That being said he’s a former world number one who has won multiple majors recently and will be single digit owned.
Game theory play is to take 20% and just hope he shows up in a major again. I can get behind that.
9K:
We get an interesting 9K range this week in terms of how its priced, from a golfer I’m looking to fade at the top of it to one that I want to play but don’t think I’ll be able to at the bottom. All great plays in here and you’ll need to make some stands on who you are running out there in your lineups here.
There are two real chalk donkeys here so lets get to them.
Justin Thomas: DK $9700/FD $11400
One of the hottest golfers in the world coming off a win at the Bridgestone is shaping up to be the chalk of the chalk with this pricing. He’s a great value and one that I’m going to have a hard time ignoring.
The defending champ has maybe the best suited game for this course based on our Projected Course Score and while a good par 4 scorer, its mainly due to his ability to crush long par 5’s.
Long par 5 scoring will be huge this week as I think guys will be coming in focused on a birdie and hoping for an eagle.
JT is an excellent driver of the golf ball and while I worry a bit that he shapes it left to right, he’s one of the best in the world and he won’t have any difficulty shaping it the other way.
One thing I really like to look at, especially with this course shaping up to be a bit of a birdie fest, is Fantasy Points gained or how many points are players gaining over the field.
JT is second overall in Fantasy Points gained this week. That to me is an indicator that if he can get it going early a birdie fest isn’t going to scare him and he can score with the best of them. That Birdies gained stat is another one I like and he is in the top ten of that in the field as well.
One more argument for JT is that he’s an excellent bunker player and will have to rely on that here.
I know he’s going to be chalky but I won’t be able to fade him this week. At minimum I’ll be matching the field in ownership (Around 25%) and I’m debating making a strong stand in GPP.
Jason Day: DK $9000/FD $11700
Now my first REAL chalk donkey of the week, Jason Day. Day presents a HUGE value in odds to price as he has the third best odds to win in this range and is at the very bottom of the price range.
This is the same slot that Brooks Koepka was in at the US Open and we know how that turned out but I think that Day may be looking a MC right in the face if he can’t figure out how to his driver.
Day lost strokes at the Bridgestone last week off the tee and made up for it by being able to scramble from the rough and around the green. I doubt with the penal rough he will be able to do that this week. Also, with the Zoysia Fairways and Zoysia grass around the greens, it’s going to be a little easier for guys to get up and down as that grass is more forgiving that traditional bent or bermuda. That hurts Jason as his chipping game around the green is world class and that levels the playing field.
One of Jason’s strong suits is his short game, for a while he was making EVERY putt from 10-15 feet, that has slowed down a bit and at a course that I don’t think putting is going to be a huge differentiator thats another check against Day.
If we look at the range as a whole, day actually has the worst Driving Accuracy % and Greens in Regulation %, meaning that not only is he not hitting fairways as well as the other guys, but he’s not hitting as many greens either.
I really just think he’s going to find himself continually in trouble. He may make the cut and get hot on the weekend, but I see him grinding out there in rounds 1 and 2 and staring down the cut line come Friday and if he’s going to be over 20% owned I’ll take the under, fade him, and hope I’m already ahead of 20% of the field Friday night.
I have a ton of interest in Tommy Fleetwood here. He just continually shows and competes at majors and has the ability to go super low. I think with the winning score being around -15 it sets up well for Tommy 
Fleetgoat hits the ball a long ways, makes a ton of birdies and is accurate. Had a bit of an issue with his irons at the Bridgestone but figured it out as the week went on. Tommy at a major? Sign me up.
Others I have interest in here: Koepka, Rose, Rahm
I’m going to be full fading Tiger here this week (Ok maybe I’ll sprinkle him in 1-2 lineups) but I just don’t see this as a course he can contend at. The fade last week was the right play and maybe he gets up for a major but he just looks tired. He also drove the ball HORRENDOUSLY. No thank you. I love the man in red but I don’t even think we see him on Sunday here.
I also just listened to his press conference and he talked about how he had to take Monday off to take some ice baths, stretch, and get therapy to reduce some inflammation. Not saying he’s hurt but he’s wearing out after his first full year playing in what seems like forever.
Francesco Molinari is an interesting case here. He’s been the hottest golfer on the planet and came back to earth last week a bit mainly because of a poor approach game. Not long off the tee, and if his irons are off thats trouble. Also was pretty poor around the green. It would appear that Moli is going to come back to earth and I’ll let others chase him here.
8K:
I really think the winner could come from this range this week so it’s important that we target the right plays here, avoid the chalk donkeys, and count up our money come Sunday.
We have a small range here with only 10 golfers, and most of the ownership being pooled right at the bottom.
Tony Finau: DK $8100/FD $10,600
Finau is finally priced somewhat appropriately though I don’t think he should priced below Xander Schauffele but thats an argument for another day. Finau has showed up in every major this year, 9th at the Open Championship, 5th at the US Open, and 10th at the Masters.
Tony will be mega popular and rightfully so, given how he’s performed so far this year but I think there’s an argument to fade him here or at least be underweight in GPP. At 20% + owned in GPP’s though I think I can take a lower ownership and hope he doesn’t go off. He had a poor Canadian open at an easy course that was a birdie fest and last week at the Bridgestone was just kind of steady and found himself in the top 10 Sunday because everyone else blew up while he continued to just plod around the course, not doing anything well, but nothing bad either.
I personally think he’s a great cash play, he’ll probably make the cut but I don’t know that we see him contend at a fourth major this year. There’s others in this area that I think provide the same sort of upside at a reduced ownership.
Paul Casey: DK $8000/FD $10900
Paul Casey has turned into last years Matt Kuchar at majors. Always underpriced presenting a great value but always highly owned.
Maybe DK knows something we don’t pricing Paul down here but he looks like a great value on the surface so lets dig in a bit and see if he really is a good play.
Oofta. Off the Tee is not good. At a course where you need to drive the ball well and Casey is consistently losing strokes. Approach game is OK, but around the green he is struggling as well. It just seems that Paul is relying on his shot making, and isn’t very consistent.
The thing that sticks out here for me is his par 4 scoring. It’s just not very good. And at a course with 11 par 4’s, we might see Paul struggle. His Projected Course Score is also the worst in this range.
Outside of Finau and Casey the rest of this range will have low teens to single digit ownership. I have no interest in Xander Schauffele following his poor performance at the Bridgestone. I’m also considering fades of Phil Mickelson and Sergio Garcia.
I have a ton of interest in a guy like Patrick Reed especially if he’s looking at a single digit ownership. He’s an excellent sand player, hits that low draw thats almost automatic and is an absolute gamer. If his putter gets hot he could win this week.
The Swedes are interesting cases for me. Stenson was OK last week coming off an injury and Noren was pretty terrible. Both have winning upside though. Stenson has excellent PGA Championship history and is a fantastic iron player. Noren does everything well but will require some momentum early in the week to get it going. I’m assuming last week was an outlier for Noren and will bank on him continuing his great year. I’ll have shares of both and I think you can play Stenson in cash this week.
7K:
The heart of the tournament is in this range and this is where you can really start to make some stands and go overweight on players with low ownership or fade some of the chalk donkeys.
Two players right off the bat that look to carry the most ownership here with the rest fairly spread out and some guys that I have interest may end up less than 1% owned.
Bryson Dechambeau: DK $7900/FD $8000
Everyone seems to think he will come in low owned this week and have been touting him all over T Twitter, which means he will probably end up one of the higher owned players in this range.
I was all over the Bryson fade last week coming off a disappointing loss Germany where he barely shook the winners hand and the video of him pouting like a baby on the driving range at the Open Championship was making the rounds as well.
Driving him insane! Bryson DeChambeau had meltdown on practice range during The Open https://t.co/uuNhT3r4IP via @skinnergj
— Dougy's Daily Digest (@skinnergj) July 28, 2018
A chalky Bryson is not something I necessarily want to be a part of. When we were on Bryson for the win at Memorial he rated out #1 in projected course score, here he doesn’t crack the top 15 (which isn’t bad but when eating the chalk, I’d rather they be a bit higher).
I struggle to play Bryson on courses that aren’t Par 72’s. He’s an excellent Par 5 scorer, and with only two here it limits his upside a bit. His approach and off the tee game has also been trending downward a bit on the American side.
Combine that with one of the biggest headcases in the game and I’ll be underweight. There’s plenty of pivots here at low ownership and fading him allows me to eat some of the Justin Thomas and Dustin Johnson chalk at the top.
Joaquin Niemann: DK $7600/FD $9200
Jocko the Stat Darling as I like to call him pops in almost every single category for us this week. And rightfully so, he’s garnering a lot of attention and should be highly owned in this range. He presents a good value on DK but he is a home run on Fanduel where he should be a part of every cash lineup you have.
Niemann is playing in his first ever major as a professional and some people are talking a fade of him because of that but I don’t buy it. He’s played in the Master’s alongside Freddy Couples and has played every where on tour this year and in marquee pairings and not fallen apart.
Niemann has the best projected course scores in the field, and is one of the best long par 5 scorers as well. As I said earlier, the small sample size argument is no more because he has 11 events going into these stats which is one less than Henrik Stenson and the same as Sergio Garcia. This kid is the real deal.
The big concern for me is the putter. If his putter gets cold he can fall off the map, but I think he’ll be fine and if he gets to the weekend, watch out as he can go low. I think he top 20’s this week and I wouldn’t be surprised to see him climb into the top ten with a great Sunday round.
The rest of this range will be low teens to single digits so I’m going to highlight some of my favorite plays.
Marc Leishman – A great low owned pivot off the chalky Bryson right above him, the big man from Australia is playing some pretty solid golf right now. Hits the ball well and his around the green game is superb. He is a player I think of when they say you need to think your way around the course as he doesn’t make a lot of mistakes. Excellent bunker player as well.
Webb Simpson – A little cheaper than Leishman on DK he presents a great value here (don’t play him on FD, way too expensive). Only weakness is that he struggles to get the ball out there off the tee, but he’s accurate and plays well in big events like this.
Keegan Bradley – A former PGA Champion who is having one of his best years to date, Keegan comes in riding some hot form after a great round on Sunday of the Canadian Open earned him a 4th place finish.
Keegan’s approach game numbers all year have been fantastic and he is actually starting to turn the corner with his putting it seems. If he can keep that going this week a top ten is not out of the question as he’s also great with his driver.
Rafael Cabrera Bello – We went with Rafa last week on a whim that he was starting to get his game together and he rewarded us with a top twenty finish and while his history at this event isn’t great, I think the course sets up well for him. The thing that often holds him back is his putting and I don’t think that will be too big of an issue here this week. The spaniard gains over 17 fantasy points on the field (Top 5 in this range) and shows up in big events with his 82% strong field rating. I love Rafa this week and will be easily 10x the field if he comes in at a projected 1 or 2% ownership.
Jaime Lovemark – A guy who rates out really well for us, especially in terms of strong fields. He crushes driver heavy courses, just can’t really putt to save his life. Was 33rd at last years PGA Championship which is looking like it will end up being a much harder track than this years.
Luke List – A guy who is seeing lots of positive Vegas Drift in his odds to win, but not being projected to be very highly owned. You know me I love me some Luke List. The guy just absolutely crushes the golf ball and for a while there that was all he was known for, but has been really working at his game and we have seen improvements everywhere.
Approach game was a little off at the Bridgestone but he still managed a sneaky 24th at low ownership and I think we see a similar result this week.
Danny Willet – He’s going to look like garbage in the RS but I really think he’s starting to get his game back together. He rewarded us for believing in him at the Open championship with a 24th place finish and if we get that Danny Willet again there is no reason not to expect another solid result. This one takes a lot of trust, but I love the former Masters’ champ again this week.
Other Players I’m interested in: Ryan Fox, Matthew Fitzpatrick, Ryan Moore, Ian Poulter
Players I’m fading: Emiliano Grillo, Zach Johnson, Kevin Chappell, Kevin Kisner
Below 7K:
For once we actually will have some chalk down here!
Thorbjorn Olesen: DK $6700/FD $8600
I’m a Thunderbear truther, but even I can’t swallow a 20% owned Olesen here. Maybe he doesn’t come in that high, but even with the talk of it it scares me off. We got our run out of him last week, I love being a week early on a guy because that means I can fade him the next time out when everyone and their mother is on him.
I’ll have a small sprinkle of him in GPP just because I love the guy but I’m talking maybe 5% and probably on FanDuel where the pricing is better and he will be lower owned.
There are a ton of good value plays/punts down here though so there is no need to each the chalk.
Nick Watney – This is the type of course we see Nick Watney excel on and he has two wins on RTJ Design/Rees Jones redesign at Bethpage Black and Torrey Pines. Has had a decent run of form this year and has all the tools to contend here.
Jordan L. Smith – Burned us at the Open Championship, but has a ton of game. T64 in Germany so not great form coming in, but could be worth a punt at low ownership
Russell Henley – Popped up at the Open Championship after that great performance at the US Open in RD 1 and then faded all the way to a MC. A guy that really relies on the putter to run hot to do well. Hasn’t pegged it since then, but could be underowned and worth a flyer at this price.
Justin Harding – Definition of a punt here. The guy has been playing on the African and Asian tours this year, but has been absolutely crushing. His last tournaments have been, T25, 1st, T18, 1st, 6th, 1st, 1st, 2nd, 5th….What?!?! Thats insane I don’t care what tour your playing on. If you are doing the 150 max take 5-10% if he blows up who cares at that price. He makes the cut you are sitting pretty.
Jorge Campillo – Back to the well with ol’ Jorge again. The guy just has a ton of game and at that price I’ll be all in on him. Can’t quit this guy, but why should I as before the MC at the Open championship he had 4 top 35’s in a row.
If you didn’t know, the PGA lets the top 20 from the prior years PGA Professional tournament into this tournament every year. Think the guy at your local course giving lessons. They are all priced below $6500 but don’t get cute. Yeah Omar Oresti made the cut last year as a PGA Professional but the majority, the vast majority of these will struggle to break 80 here.
I have slight interest in guys like JJ Spaun, Ross Fisher, and Si Woo Kim but not enough to recommend or even invest heavily in them.
Final Thoughts:
Weather shouldn’t be an issue outside of the rain there on Tuesday. It’s going to be hot and muggy. I would assume they let the rough grow and they don’t cut it, which should make things a bit more difficult but overall the course will play soft and I think that benefits the bombers.
As ownership trends start to finalize this week, I’ll post some updates in slack and make sure to join in and ask any questions. This is going to be a great week and I can’t wait to see some of those green screens and winning lineups!
Join us in Slack Chat this week and lets win some money! I’ll be there off and on all week, but will be in helping build lineups from 9:00 to 10:00 PM CST on Wednesday night getting you guys ready to take down some huge GPP’s!
Also, give me a follow on twitter @dfsupnorth as I’ll be posting updates there as well as useful retweets leading up to this weeks event!
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