Welcome back to “The Sniper Scope” – highlighting my personal anticipated GPP exposures and cash game targets for UFC 226. This article is for VIP members only so if you want to ask me any questions or just want to chat, make sure to find me in Slack Chat. If you’re not a VIP member, join today and use code SNIPER for 10% off! One last thing – if you don’t already, please give me a follow on Twitter and subscribe to my YouTube channel at the links below. OK, enough of the intro, let’s get to it.
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This article focuses on how each fighter fits into the slate, for my thoughts on how I see each fight playing out, check out the video below, “The DFS Express: UFC 226”.
Anticipated GPP Exposures
These can change based on how my constructions develop and any late news in the week, including weigh ins. But these numbers are my personal starting points for building tournament lineups, I usually play 20 lineups per week. Obviously, the less lineups you play, the tighter you’re exposures need to be while if you play more lineups, you can expand things (especially your FADE – 20% range) quite a bit.
***Important Note – Chiesa missed weight and continued his run of looking like a head case…bumping down my exposure as I continue to get less confident in him***
- 9.4k – Paulo Costa – 50%
- 9.3k – Francis N’Gannou – 50%
- 9.2k – Jamie Moyle – FADE
- 9.1k – Raphael Assuncao – FADE
- 9.0k – Lando Vannata – 40%
- 8.9k – Stipe Miocic – 50%
- 8.8k – Mike Perry – 25%
- 8.7k – Curtis Millender – 25%
- 8.6k – Michael Chiesa – 10%
- 8.5k – Dan Hooker – 10%
- 8.4k – Gohkan Saki – 50%
- 7.8k – Khalil Rountree Jr. – 50%
- 7.7k – Gilbert Burns – 30%
- 7.6k – Anthony Pettis – 20%
- 7.5k – Max Griffin – 10%
- 7.4k – Paul Felder – 25%
- 7.3k – Daniel Cormier – 50%
- 7.2k – Drakkar Klose – 10%
- 7.1k – Rob Font – 15%
- 7.0k – Emily Whitmire – FADE
- 6.9k – Derrick Lewis – 10%
- 6.8k – Uriah Hall – 10%
Cash Game Rankings
I don’t think any explanation is required except to say that I try and put about one-third of the fighters in each category.
Green:
- Paulo Costa – 9.4k
- Francis N’Gannou – 9.3k
- Lando Vannata – 9.0k
- Stipe Miocic – 8.9k
- Gilbert Burns – 7.7k
- Paul Felder – 7.4k
- Daniel Cormier – 7.3k
Yellow:
- Jamie Moyle – 9.2k
- Curtis Millender – 8.7k
- Michael Chiesa – 8.6k
- Anthony Pettis – 7.6k
- Max Griffin – 7.5k
- Drakkar Klose – 7.2k
- Rob Font – 7.1k
- Emily Whitmire – 7.0k
Red:
- Raphael Assuncao – 9.1k
- Mike Perry – 8.8k
- Dan Hooker – 8.5k
- Gokhan Saki – 8.4k
- Khalil Rountree Jr. – 7.8k
- Derrick Lewis – 6.9k
- Uriah Hall – 6.8k