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MME Playbook for MLB DFS (GPP’s) on FanDuel and DraftKings – Sunday, July 15th

Donut Shop – MME Playbook for MLB DFS on FanDuel and DraftKings

At this point in the season with the amount of research and knowledge we have about splits and trends, it is a great time to start to focus in a little more on our exact MME strategy and try to nail down the perfect exposures. This is a more volatile strategy compared to the beginning of the season where we really tried to hedge quite a bit. Now, we are more or less trying to plant our flag behind a handful of targets and teams and increase our possibilities and opportunities to take a GPP down.

Our goal is to have as many “runners” as we can have headed for the top of the standings. We can give a lineup, or multiple lineups, legs to run by having a smaller player pool and higher exposure.

Let’s say we have 100-lineups and we target the Astros as a team to stack for 40% of those lineups. If the Astros go off for 10+ runs then we now have 40 lineups out of our original 100 that are likely screaming up the standings. Now out of those 40-lineups with the Astros, we want to make sure we don’t have 7 different pitchers for those 40 teams. We likely would want to target only several different pitchers so that if one of the pitchers (let’s say, CC Sabathia) goes off for 45 FanDuel or 25 DraftKings points and he’s on 25 of those 40 Astros stacks, we now have 25 lineups out of the 40 that have serious potential for hitting the top of the standings.

Also – if you’re new to MLB DFS or the DFSA, then this page should be open in a separate tab every single day you plan on playing. 


Before we get started I want to share a personal accomplishment that I am very proud of. It took me a year of researching, licensing, and acquiring the right equipment, but I finally was able to publish my very first podcast and upload to Podbean and YouTube!

Download, like, subscribe and follow here: Podbean & SoundCloudYouTube
Episode 2 discusses a bit of MME strategy and the importance of how to celebrate Independence Day.

Let’s get to work!

Pitchers and Stacks Guidelines for FanDuel and DraftKings

The following advice is okay to be used on FanDuel and DraftKings for anywhere between 20-150 lineup entries. It’s important that the more lineups you make the higher the exposure cap I find acceptable. I.E., if you have 150 lineups, I don’t mind having the max exposure set at 60-70%. The fewer lineups you have, let’s say 20-50, I really don’t want more than 50% exposure to any one team or pitcher. Make sure you adjust this on that sliding scale. *The more lineups you have the higher the acceptable max exposure limit – vice versa*

Pitchers Guidelines

Make sure you have a minimum of 5-10% on each of the following, however, similar to our max exposure guidelines above – the more lineups you have the more acceptable it is to target any one player or stack with a higher exposure. If you have 150 lineups and love CC Sabathia, then throw 20% minimum on him which would result in 30 lineups out of your 150. If you only have 20 lineups, you might want to just have 10% or so which would result in a minimum of 2 lineups with CC. *Just remember, your pitching percentage on DraftKings is 200% total due to there being 2 pitching slots. I am normally more apt to have a higher minimum exposure on DK just due to the two pitcher spots*

Stacking Guidelines

The first “group” of teams are your primary targets. Your goal is to make sure that you have the largest portion of lineups with these teams fully stacked with the 4-4 settings and 2 or 3 uniques (2 on slates that are smaller and 3 on the larger slates).

The second “group” of teams are your secondary and tertiary targets. You’ll want to sprinkle them in a little on their own and a few of them with your favorite teams from the first group.


MME Playbook for FanDuel

Pitchers:

Justin Verlander (DET 2.5 IRT, -390 Fav) *Insanely low IRT and massive favorite. The perfect play for cash games and I’ll make sure I have a small amount of exposure for MME due to his ceiling and matchup. I also think that if people pay up today they’ll go up another few hundred and grab Trevor Bauer – for this reason, I am fading Bauer and pivoting to Verlander who might just 10-12% owned today. I prefer to pay down and get good stacks for MME though so I won’t have much*

Enyel De Los Santos (@MIA 4.0 IRT, -110 Fav)
*He was my favorite GPP pither last week when he started and he is my favorite today as well. He’s solid pricing on FD but ELITE pricing on DraftKings as his 4k price tag is due to the fact that he was optioned back to the minors and then brought back up yesterday. Massive steal.*

Julio Teheran (ARI 4.0 IRT, +117 Dog)
*A great low-owned GPP target. Scored 30+ in 5 of last 6 starts including a 40 point outing and a 61 point outing on FanDuel. Also, a great target to stack against. Volatile performances and a decent field for left-handed hitters makes him an MME play only. Use him and stack against him in different lineups for a nice high upside hedge either way*

Tier 1 Stack Targets:

WSH
BOS

Tier 2 Stack Targets:

HOU
CLE
STL
ARI
TOR / BOS game stack
KC / CWS game stack


MME Playbook for DraftKings

Pitchers:

Trevor Bauer (NYY 4.3 IRT, -131 Fav)
*For whatever reason, Bauer is $1,500 cheaper than Verlander and he’s currently the hottest pitcher in baseball. On DraftKings, I’ll be getting exposure to Bauer and on FanDuel I’ll use Verlander. Bauer has 10+ strikeout potential today and I can see a massive 35+ point game with the big bats striking out and people like Walker and Higashioka adding a few extra K’s.*

Enyel De Los Santos (@MIA 4.0 IRT, -110 Fav)
*He was my favorite GPP pither last week when he started and he is my favorite today as well. He’s solid pricing on FD but ELITE pricing on DraftKings as his 4k price tag is due to the fact that he was optioned back to the minors and then brought back up yesterday. Massive steal.*

Joe Musgrove (MIL 4.0 IRT, -111 Fav)
*Pricing is a bit soft on DraftKings today and I’m having ease fitting in some massive stacks from Tier 1 and using my pitching pool on DraftKings. Musgrove is in a good spot against a struggling Brewers team faltering into the All-Star Break.*

Julio Teheran (ARI 4.3 IRT, +117 Dog)
*I like using underdogs on DraftKings because we don’t care as much about the win and quality start, we care about strikeouts. He’s too cheap on DraftKings, just like several other pitchers mentioned on this list.*

Tyler Anderson (SEA 5.0 IRT, -153 Fav)
*The Rockies pitching staff have allowed just 27 runs in their last 11 games. Anderson is on fire and Seattle is stumbling. Cruz might get on the field today but they really don’t like to play him when there is no DH. I’ll have heavy exposure here no matter what to TA.*

Tier 1 Stack Targets:

WSH
BOS
COL

Tier 2 Stack Targets:

COL/SEA game stack
TOR / BOS game stack
CLE
STL – low exposure
KC – low exposure
ARI – low exposure


Helpful Hints for Using the Domination Station

  1. If you ever ask for 10-lineups with your stacks/pitchers/settings and it spits back less than you asked for – you have two options.
    1. You can choose to just download, highlight and copy, then paste those into your final upload file and roll with those
    2. You can simply just ask the DS to create 20/25 lineups and when it makes more than the 10 you asked for just download, highlight and copy the first 10, then paste those 10 into your final upload file and roll with those. I don’t get too scientific with this as I normally am pressed for time.
  2. When my pitching pool is bigger than 3 or 4 pitchers, I try to just set a 20% minimum on my favorite 1 or 2 pitchers only when running my stack from my primary Group 1. This ensures that if I run an Astros and Braves stack for 10 lineups, that I make sure that CC Sabathia is in 2 of those 10 lineups. If I start asking the DS to have minimum % on multiple pitchers – this is when the DS only spits back 3 or 4 out of the 10 lineups I asked for.
  3. I run 4-4 on FanDuel for every single lineup.
  4. I run 3-5 on DraftKings for each stack for half of what I want then 5-3 for the other half. 5 out of 10 would be 3-5 then 5-3 for the other 5 making 10 total stacks with the two teams I had selected. If that is confusing or too time-consuming just use 4-4 for all 10 and you are good to go!
  5. Let’s say you are making 150 lineups and you did all your groups/pairings and were able to create 110 of your 150 stacks and you realize you don’t have any more ideas. Take those last 40 lineups and get crazy. This is when you start to create some stacks with teams you never feel comfortable about but that might be in a decent spot. Padres facing a left-handed pitcher that gives up a lot of fly balls – go ahead and run the Padres at 100% exposure (in the stack settings) and leave the other 100% open (don’t label any other team). As long as the settings are at 3-5 on DK or 4-4 on FD – the DS will automatically make full stacks 3/5 and 4/4 with whatever team it deems most optimal to go with the Padres. That’s a next level tip that nearly nobody knew about until you read this! 
  6. Tag me on Twitter and in Slack with your triumphant victory!
  7. Read this very important page – MLB BASIC TRAINING – Tutorials, Videos, Articles to Help You Get Started
  8. I and my friend Ram8727 put together this tutorial for anybody who needs help with the DS optimizer and CSV files when using a Chromebook or operating system that’s giving you errors. CLICK ME CLICK ME!
  9. Download, like, subscribe and follow here: Podbean & SoundCloudYouTube

This process will likely be tweaked and manipulated as the season progresses and the DFS landscape shifts every so often as it normally does. As always, I will continue to share my findings with you in the hopes that we are able to find an edge over our competition!

Fortune favors the bold. Go make your own luck!
– Donuts