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Painting the Black with Mdell: Main Slate Pitching Breakdown for Fanduel, DraftKings, and Fantasydraft!

Welcome to the June 20th Edition of Painting the Black, an MLB Pitching Breakdown for Fanduel, DraftKings, and Fantasydraft! 

In case you all didn’t know, my name is Matt, mdellagnese14 on twitter. I am currently a student at Springfield College with a love and passion for sports, mainly baseball.

I was brought to the DFS Army to write pitching articles for all members of the DFSArmy! If you are not a member, join the DFSArmy and use promo code “DFSMATT” to get 10% off your subscription!

I am mostly a Fanduel player, so the content in my articles will be for geared mainly towards Fanduel. However, I will include pricing from all three sites (Fanduel, Draftkings, FantasyDraft). Some plays may be better off for the two pitcher sites and I will mention that when needed about a pitcher.

Pitching is one of the most, if not the most important position in your MLB lineups and selecting the right one will help you tremendously. Go check out the MLB Pitching Strategy article to get my thought process on picking these pitchers each slate!

NOTE: most of the stats I used are from a 14-game sample to the handiness of pitchers. If I reference season numbers, I will mention that!

ALWAYS PAY ATTENTION TO THE WEATHER FROM OUR VERY OWN @DFSWEATHER IN SLACK!!!

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If you find yourself thinking, “what do some of these stats mean?” Check out my new definitions article HERE. I explain what each stat I use mean, and reasons why I use those stats in my articles!

BULLPEN REPORTS

MAIN SLATE

Jonathan Loaisiga (6.2k FD) (8.3k DK) (16.2k FD2) vs SEA

Okay, hear me out. I was not on this kid today against the Mariners, but all of their DFSA Grades looks like crap. This is only a GPP dart for me today, but he’s cheap and can still do well. We saw German pitch amazing last night against them and Loaisiga is a good young prospect. He didn’t walk many hitters in the minors this year but walked 4 in his first big league start. Their roster in the L14 vs RHP have a 24.2% K rate but all of their other advanced numbers look really good. He has electric stuff for a young guy, and all we ask for is about 20-25 fanduel points from him tonight. He is a bit too much on DK/FD2 for me, but at 6.2k on fanduel, he’s not awful. The Mariners projected starting lineup has just a 35.02 DFSA Grade, which was shocking to me since their advanced stats all are pretty good, but I trust the DFSA Grade system. Again, deep GPP dart only.

Chad Kuhl (8.4k FD) (7.2k DK) (14.6k FD2) vs MIL

I honestly HATE Chad Kuhl, but we can’t argue with how he has been pitching lately. He has 4 of his last 5 starts scoring 30 or more fanduel points and has been sitting comfortably around 5-6 strikeouts per game. His best start this year has come against the Brewers back in May when he scored 55 fanduel points. Kuhl does not have the best numbers on either side of the plate, but I can handle 30 fanduel points from him. Over their L14, the Brewers have a 27.5% K rate which gives Kuhl more upside. The Brewers numbers look so good of late because they had a game when they scored 13 and a game they scored 9, the rest they have not scored more than 3 runs. Kuhl has upside in this matchup tonight and has positive BvP on his side. Just keep an eye on the weather.

Brent Suter (6.8k FD) (6.5k DK) (13.1k FD2) @ PIT

Suter is way too cheap for me tonight. The Pirates have been a bit cold of late and Suter has been running hot. He finally went more than 5 innings last start and gave us 37 fanduel points. Suter has been very consistent this year. Since May 18th, he has not scored fewer than 27 fanduel points (6 starts). His strikeout rate is not good (19.6%), but he has been able to get us points. He has been a little better on the road and has a nice park for pitchers tonight. Surprisingly he has a better strikeout rate against RHH than lefties and his xFIP is almost 1.50 points better against RHH. Another guy who is just GPP play for me, especially because of the weather.

Charlie Morton (10k FD) (12.2k DK) (23.9k FD2) vs TB

Another Houston pitcher, I’m getting tired of always writing them up. Not really, but they have just been so good this season we almost have to talk about them every start. He will be the chalk in cash games tonight and it is chalk that I will eat with no problem. Looking at the lineups page, the Rays have just a .282 xwOBA and .145 ISO with a 23.86% K rate against RHP in their L14. Verlander just got 10 K’s against them last night and Morton has that upside too. Morton comes into this game with a 30.6% K rate and 3.27 SIERA, getting 51.3% groundballs and a career-tying SwStr% at 12.3%. Eat this chalk in cash games tonight.

David Price (8.6k FD) (9.7k DK) (18.8k FD2) @ MIN

The Twins have really not been that good lately and Price has been pretty decent. He has scored 40 or more fanduel points in 3 straight starts and 30 or more in 6 of his last 7, with the other being 27. He is a nice price and a great pivot of Morton in tournaments. Price has 7+ strikeout upside in this matchup as the Twins have a 24.3% K rate to LHP in their L14. Minnesota has a piss poor .076 ISO with a 56 wRC+ in that time frame too. When we see a lot of red on the lineups page, we LOVE that pitcher. Here is the projected starting lineup for the Twins.

They simply are not doing much lately and even Dozier is having a bad stretch against lefties yet again this year. I love Price in all formats tonight.

MAIN SLATE RANKINGS

  1. Charlie Morton (All formats)
  2. David Price (all formats)
  3. Chad Kuhl (GPP)
  4. Brent Suter (GPP)
  5. Jonathan Loaisiga (GPP)

Bats to target

Texas (all) vs Jake Junis (Junis seems to hate pitching at home, as he has given up 13 HR and 26 ER at home compared to just 16 ER and 5 HR on the road)

Yankees (all) vs Felix Hernandez

Nationals (all) vs Andrew Cashner

Astros (All, but prefer lefties) vs Nate Eovaldi

Red Sox (all) vs Lance Lynn

All sides of the Coors game.