600 miles of pure chaos (or single file racing , but – whatever). We are headed home to Charlotte! As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.
Top Plays
Kevin Harvick – I legitimately believe this could the chalkiest play in NASCAR DFS history. Harvick is an android when it comes to Charlotte, having only one finish outside the top ten in recent memory. He didn’t make it through qualifying inspection on Thursday, so he will roll of 39th in a car which will almost certainly be top two. He is a lock – so much a lock that he’s almost worth fading. But I won’t be. I think Harvick gets to the front and dominates a big chunk of this race. His car will probably be set up for night racing, so don’t panic if he doesnt show up in the first couple stages.
Kyle Busch – Busch should go pretty much untouched until Harvick shows up. His car wasn’t that good in practice, but thats because they practiced during the day – and Kyle is setup for the night. Regardless, clean air rules and he should take a big chunk of laps at the start before competing for a win after 600 miles
Martin Truex Jr. – It wasn’t that long ago that old MTJ turned this race into a real snoozer, dominating and scoring the most FTPS ever in a race. While MTJ certainly doesn’t have the speed he had in recent years – he is still a top 3 or 4 car. He rolls off 16th and should rise to the front by the end of stage 2. I don’t think he is on the same level as Harv and KB, but he is right there. Should find himself in the top 5 by the end of the day.
Kurt Busch – I love Kurt Busch as a pivot off of Clint Bowyer. Kurt Busch is the better Charlotte driver and has top 5 speed this weekend. He starts 16th and I legitimately think he can compete for a win if Harvick struggles (unlikely). I am going to be way over on Kurt.
Fades
I have seen NO improvement in any of the Chevs. Kyle Larson may lead some laps, but I don’t have any faith in the top-priced guys.
Value Plays
William Byron – While I may not like any high priced Chevs, I do like this one. Willy B shows up in my value plays a lot, and that’s because he is criminally under-priced. Willy B is a great Charlotte driver, he showed midpack speed has great survival tactics. I look for him to a grind out a top 15 backed by a 21st starting position.
Daniel Suarez – Suarez is one of the hottest drivers in NASCAR, and rolls into one of his better tracks this weekend. He starts 10th – which gives me a little paused. But based on his history and his practices, I think he could easily end up in the top five by the end of the day. Generously priced at $7100 – I’ll be playing LOTS of Danny S.
AJ Allmendinger – Don’t expect an All-Star esque performance from AJ, but lets not ignore that fact that AJ is GREAT at Charlotte under normal circumstances as well. He starts 30th, which is a gift. I see AJ in the top 20 pretty easy if he avoids trouble.
Landon Cassill – My punt of the week. Play sparingly, but I have been impressed with Landon and Starcom racing on the 1.5 mile circuits.
So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.