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NBA DFS ADVICE THE GOOSE IS LOOSE NOTES 5-4-18

Time to throw away the tape from yesterday.  I’ll take my L last night.  It wasn’t at all what I expected.  Let’s get down to the nitty gritty tonight.  REDEMPTION TIME!  My lists are who are in my player pool.  So if they are on my list – That means I like them.  You don’t have to pick the top 2 guys.  Try to mix and match or use the DS with some loves and adores.

Golden State at New Orleans (232.5)(+5) – You read that right.  232 total.  Load up here.

Houston at Utah (209.5)(+4.5)

Point Guards

  1. Rajon Rondo
  2. Steph Curry
  3. Chris Paul
  4. Dante Exum

Ok – I will roster Rondo again.  I will just keep doing it until his price actually goes up.  I’m split between Curry and Paul so I’ll share ownership there and will have Exum at 10-20 percent.  There are no other PGs in my pool.

Shooting Guards

  1. Jrue Holiday
  2. James Harden
  3. Donovan “Spider” Mitchell
  4. Alec Burks
  5. Eric Gordon
  6. Klay Thompson

Jrue Holiday down 0-2 at home is going to have himself a game.  He is my top SG tonight.  I will be splitting ownership between Harden and Mitchell.  I like them equally.  Alec Burks is going to go in a lot of my lineups tonight.  The value on him is hard to pass up.  I will have around 10 percent Gordon.  I Prefer Klay over on DK more than I do on FD.  The guy can always get hot.  I will have the least exposure of him between all the SGs but I know what he can do.  He also is currently being loved by the DS.  I’ll be lowering my exposure to Klay via the DS.

Small Forwards

  1. Kevin Durant
  2. Andre Iguodala
  3. E’Twaun Moore
  4. PJ Tucker
  5. Joe Ingles

KD is the man tonight.  He is pretty cheap on DK and affordable on FD.  He wasn’t doing very well last game and still managed to almost hit 60.  He caught fire towards the end of the game to close it out.  I will be overweight to the field with KD.  I love Andre as my top value SF tonight.  PJ Tucker will have more ownership than Moore tonight.  I like Moore for that reason.  The Pelicans will need his scoring.  Joe Ingles will be around 20 percent.  I plan on going even on the field with him tonight.

Power Forwards

  1. Anthony Davis
  2. Nikola Mirotic
  3. Jae Crowder
  4. Kevon Looney
  5. Luc Mbah Moute
  6. Draymond Green

I love Anthony Davis on DK.  On FD – It is really hard to afford him.  If you can – Do it.  He has legit 80 point ceiling tonight.  He will play as many minutes as he can handle.   I list Nikola here 2nd because I think he will go under-owned so I want to go overweight on someone who has 50 point upside.  Crowder is still underpriced for what he is doing in the playoffs so far.  Looney has really impressed Kerr and his price is a steal tonight.  He isn’t a secret anymore though so he will have ownership.  Mbah Moute will be around 15 percent or less.  He has a 30 point upside if he shakes the rust off tonight.  If he hits 25-30, he will be in the winning lineup.

Yes – You are seeing that right.  Draymond is “6th” on my list.  Scott Foster absolutely hates Draymond Green and calls the 2nd most fouls out of any Referee in the league.  The Numbers + Narrative scream that Draymond might get into foul trouble tonight.  I’m not saying he will foul out but there is a damn good chance he loses 5 or so minutes from foul trouble.  If that happens he will NOT hit his price tag.  He has been an absolute monster in this series so far and the Pelicans need to gameplan on how to get him off the court.  If we know Foster has a loose whistle – You can only assume Coach Gentry knows that.  Fouls tend to balance themselves out and so far GS has been getting all the calls.

Centers

  1. Gobert
  2. Capela

Absolutely sucks we only have 2 viable centers.  I’ll be honest with you – I like them both equally.  It comes down to whomever fits.  The DS will most likely favor Gobert due to his price being cheaper.  That most likely will be the case in my roster constructions as well tonight.  I will try to do a 60/40 or a 50/50 though between the two.  On DK – I really like playing them both and tossing AD in the PF spot.