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The Sway Bar: NASCAR Draftkings Plays, Fades and Values for Texas

Vacation is over ladies and gentlemen, lets get back to work. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.

Top Plays

Kevin Harvick – Same old same old over here – the Ford’s are just getting it right this year. Harv rolls of second with the fastest car in the field by a large margin. I expect him to get out front and stay out front for a big chunk of this race. A no brained for all formats.

Truex Jr – Truex will roll of sixth this weekend and has been returning to his 2017 form latley. He hasn’t been showing spectacular practice speed, but seems to turn the jets on come race day. He has to find a way to run with the Ford’s, so he is by no means a sure thing. A solid play nonetheless.

Erik Jones – Jones found a little trouble in qualifying and will roll off 21st. However he has been finding more and more speed as the weekend rolls on. He is second in 10-lap speed at a track where he has found a lot of success on in other series. Erik should find the optimal if he lands in the top 5.

William Byron – Willy B is a better stock car racer than his 2018 record would show. He starts 33rd, and in Hendrick equipment he has nowhere to go but forward. I fully expect the Hendrick boys to turn this ship around soon. If this is the week, Will is going to be a great play.

Fades

I think the easy answer here is Kurt Busch – but I don’t by it. I think Kurt is a fair pivot of Harvick. I do think Clint Bowyer is avoidable. He has struggled at Texas as of late, and starts way to far foward.

Value

Daniel Suarez – Suarez has had a forgettable 2018 – but I am going to keep recommending him because he is too cheap and too talented to ignore. I said that last week and I will SAY IT AGAIN. Suarez has shown tremendous speed AGAIN this week. He starts up in 14th so there is a little risk, but I don’t think a top 5 is out of the question. Play with caution.

Ricky Stenhouse Jr – I have been a little disappointed with Stenhouse so far in 2018, but a Ford starting in 26th really can’t be ignored. He has been a top 20 staples at Texas throughout his career, and he has better equipment than ever now. He has a nose for trouble on 1.5 mile track – so don’t go overboard.

Kasey Kahne – I haven’t been able to get a good read on Kasey Kahne in 2018. He has been very hot and cold. Alas, he starts 28th while showing top 20 speed this weekend. I don’t love this play, but we are starved for value this weekend. The “best of the rest” if you will.

Cole Whitt –  If you need a punt play. Whitt is your guy. He is usually able to pull out AT LEAST a few place differential points on 1.5 mile circuits.

So there it is folks. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.