Welcome back to Week 13 of the daily fantasy football season. Last week was a massive roller coaster ride for me- The Thanksgiving slate went great, I was flying high and then I got this idea that Russell Wilson and the Seahawks were a cash safe play on the road. The Bucs were a not special defense, and Wilson was coming in hot. Memories of late-season heroics from Wilson the past couple of years were floating around my head. That must be that cognitive bias Renee Miller is always talking about. It was not to be and despite having shares of super punts like Malcolm Mitchell and Taylor Gabriel in my GPP lineups, the cash lineups were not good. Thanksgiving gave, and the weekend took it away. My takeaway? I say this all the time but road teams are rarely cash safe. Follow that simple rule and you will be more successful.
Bahamas Trip
This week our very own Hunter Sinclair is headed to the Bahamas to take place in the DraftKings King of the Beach live final. Hunter and I will be strategizing potential lineups for the contest in our DFS Army team forums this week. He’s also promised to take a bunch of pictures and generally keep us updated on some of the parties and everything else going on at the Atlantis Bahamas resort. I’ll fill in some of that and share those pictures here in the column next week. Good luck, Hunter!
FanDuel vs DraftKings – What type of player are you?
One of the challenges of doing a column like this and running a DFS Advice team is dealing with the different sites and strategies for each. People often ask which one is better or which should they play on. The way I see it, both sites are very different as far as the approach required to be successful. FanDuel plays more like a traditional season long fantasy football league. The lack of the flex option alongside what has been somewhat softer pricing at the WR position basically means we can get somewhat studly players across our entire lineups. On FanDuel we aren’t forced to find the hidden gems or guess when sleepers like Taylor Gabriel or Malcolm Mitchell are going to go off. DraftKings actually requires that type of mindset.
- If you are all about finding that hidden gem player that most people haven’t heard of – you will probably like DraftKings more.
- If you prefer assembling a team that looks more like your season long team – you’ll probably prefer FanDuel.
That’s just half of the equation. The other aspect is about what type of DFS player you are or want to be. People often ask what the best DFS strategy is. The answer is, that it depends. There are three types of successful (profitable) DFS strategies:
Cash Player – This is the most basic and safest format to attack daily fantasy sports. Most cash players make between one to five lineups per site each week. I personally love making cash lineups because you really can agonize over every spot in the lineup. In cash lineups we look for the perfect mix of floor and ceiling with the focus being on the floor. The first question I ask myself, with a cash lineup, is if each player has a safe floor. Second, it’s important to diversify exposure in cash lineups without exposing oneself too much to any single game or team. I’ll generally throw cash lineups in a mix of head-to-head contests, double-ups, smaller 10 to 100 person leagues. I also make sure to toss every lineup I make into a larger GPP just in case.
Hybrid Player – The hybrid style is similar to a cash style but jacking up the volume to around 15-20 lineups per site. In hybrid lineups, we really shouldn’t worry too much about ownership percentages or anything like that. It’s about building high floor/high ceiling lineups that work in contests that reward higher scores. Head-to-heads, as an example, when done properly will increase the reward based on increased scores. This is in contrast to double ups and 50/50s, which are simply about beating the mean score.
Max Entry GPP – People often talk about multi-entry players as if they are “cheating” or that it’s easy for folks with large bankrolls. The reality is that max multi-entry requires an approach and strategy completely different from cash or hybrid. Low ownership is as much of a focus as anything else and hedging becomes a necessity. This style of play is the most volatile and can drain a bankroll quickly if not executed properly.
This season we launched our DFS Army Domination Station Multi-Entry optimization tool. The tool allows for the deployment of a multitude of DFS strategies. For cash players, simply narrowing the player pool down to players I consider cash viable and hitting “optimize” will spit out the best possible lineup based on our projections. In a hybrid style I’d narrow the player pool down to the cash viable plays and then start by locking in a QB-WR stack and go from there. To mass-multi enter a GPP I’d focus more on low ownership plays and working with the tool to set exposure percentages and build lineups around team and game stacks. For anyone that want’s to multi-enter, the Domination Station allows users to set exposures and quickly create up to 200 diversified lineups around an all-in core of players in minutes.
One of the cool things about the DFS Army VIP team is that we have players that are successful deploying completely different strategies. There is no right answer as far as which style is the best. I think the most important factor is actually knowing oneself. Embrace who you are as a player and focus on strategies that play to your strengths.
DFS Army VIP Membership
One of the things that sets our site apart from most of the DFS advice sites you might come across is that many of our coaches and analysts are actually full time DFS pros. I share my Rotogrinders Profile here on the blog so you can check me out and know that I’m legit. Our NBA team is lead by Keith “boomersdaddy” Hall. Keith makes his full time living playing DFS. Our slack community includes some of the best DFS players in the world. We post the biggest wins on our Wall of Fame which includes multiple 100K plus winners. That doesn’t happen by accident folks. Heres the deal. Our focus has always been about teaching the fundamentals of DFS. WE DO NOT SELL LINEUPS HERE! If you want to buy lineups you should look elsewhere. We look for members that want to learn and contribute to our group. If that sounds like you then read on.
For NFL players – each week I do a player picks and notes column. Last week’s VIP player picks I highlighted Malcolm Mitchell and Taylor Gabriel as punts with massive upside. Both of them hit big. That’s how we roll around here. In addition, I do a VIP only podcast where we focus on strategies, stacks, and cash plays for that week’s slate. If you want to give us a try, go to DFS Army Memberships and use promo code: GEEK That will get you 20% off our normal $20 per month rate. DFS Army VIP’s get access to all of our content including projections and spreadsheets for NFL, NBA, PGA, NASCAR and even MMA on occasion. You also get to download our 2 DFS Strategt eBooks and access to the Domination Station Optimization tool. If you don’t like it you can obviously cancel at any time.
Week 13 Vegas Lines Breakdown
Thursday Night Football
Dallas -3 at Minnesota 43.5
The Thursday night contest has Dallas on the road taking on a struggling Vikings team as slight road favorites.
Dallas is ranked 28th and 8th respectively vs the pass and rush according to DVOA…the Vikings are 4th and 12th respectively. The most noteworthy defensive player in this game is Xavier Rhodes, a legit shut down corner that should be shadowing Dez Bryant for most of the game.
The Cowboys are likely to bring a run-heavy gameplan to the table in this one. That bodes well for Zeke Elliott’s prospects in this one. The last time the Vikings faced a team with an elite RB, David Johnson torched them to the tune of 38 DraftKings points, combining 100+ yards rushing with eight receptions. Johnson and Elliott are similar in their studliness and I could see Zeke having success. With this being a Thursday game, I’m comfortable fully fading him in main slate contests.
Based on the rankings, the best way for Sam Bradford & Co. to go after the Cowboys would be through the air. The Vikings running game is a disaster right now; Jerick McKinnon has proven to be a limited player thus far and Matt Asiata is fat, slow and defines TD-dependent. Last week, Stefon Diggs sat out and that opened up a ton of targets for Adam Thielen and Kyle Rudolph. If Diggs sits this one out, I would expect something similar. The Vikings are likely going to be playing from behind for most of this game and that means they should be throwing it a ton against the Cowboys 28th ranked pass defense.
Elite Plays: Thursday Fade, Zeke Elliott, Kyle Rudolph, Adam Thielen (If Diggs is out or limited)
Sunday 1:00 Games
Denver -4.5 at Jacksonville 42
What happens when the most turnover-prone offense in the league meets up with the best defense in the league? We get a chalk alert! Denver defense is the chalk in a game that Vegas expects to be low scoring. Normally, I tend to avoid road defenses but one wonders how the Jags could even hope to move the football against the #1 ranked Denver pass defense. Let’s not overthink this one.
Elite Play: Denver D, Fade everyone else
at Atlanta -3.5 Kansas City 49
The Chiefs travel to the ATL as slight road dogs in a game that features two young WR sleepers that went off last week. It features one of the higher totals of the week and is definitely one to target for DFS purposes.
Chiefs defense has been pretty good this season, ranking in the top 10 overall. Atlanta has been awful across the board, but particularly vs the run, ranking 28th overall.
Last week we saw KC putting up points on the vaunted Denver defense. TyFreak Hill was the star of the show on the back of a nine-reception performance (on 10 targets) that also featured a punt return TD. Travis Kelce also shined on the back of an eight-reception (on 15 targets) performance. Spencer Ware extended his streak of duds to four in a row and seven out of 10 this season. Ware is tough to trust, even in a plus matchup.
For Atlanta, it’s the return of the RBBC with Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman sharing touches in the Atlanta backfield. Julio Jones has a so-so matchup against Marcus Peters at CB, who is an emerging star…but Julio is Julio. The intriguing option on the Falcons is Taylor Gabriel. Last week, with Patrick Peterson blanketing Julio, Gabriel shined. He’s been averaging five targets per week over the past three weeks and been making the most of those opportunities. An explosive player, Gabriel defines GPP upside play.
Elite Plays: Matt Ryan, Tyreek Hill, Julio Jones, Travis Kelce
at Green Bay -6 Houston 46.5
The Texans travel to Green Bay to take on the Packers as heavy road dogs in a game that Vegas slapped a middling 46.5 total on.
The Packers generally stop the run and are vulnerable to the pass. Houston’s defense is nothing to fear particularly when they are on the road.
At this point, it’s clear that something is off with the Houston offense. I’m not going near any of them in what is a seemingly tough road matchup against a superior Green Bay team that plays better defense at home than on the road.
On the Packers side, this is another solid spot for Aaron Rodgers and his pass catchers. Last week was the first time all season that a Packers RB scored a touchdown on the ground. This goes to what I’ve been saying here in the column all season long- Rodgers is the godfather of the Packers. He gets a piece of the action on every touchdown that the Packers score. The lack of a viable running game makes Rodgers one of the safest floor QBs week in and week out. Last week Davante Adams shined for the Packers with two TDs and 116 yards on five receptions. Jordy Nelson made up for the lack of TDs with volume; I’ll take 12 targets and eight receptions any day. Randall Cobb was a bit of an afterthought and has the least TD upside of the three Packers’ WRs.
The main question in this game is if Houston can actually keep it close and make a game of it. Rodgers is at his fantasy best when he is in catch up or come-from-behind mode. I’m really not seeing that as a likely possibility this week but, if you like suffering, you may consider throwing DeAndre Hopkins into a game stack with Rodgers, Adams and or Jordy. I’m actually considering using Green Bay defense as an under the radar pivot off Denver as well.
Elite Plays: Aaron Rodgers, Jordy Nelson, Davante Adams
Philadelphia -2.5 at Cincinnati 41.5
The Eagles travel to Cincinnati as slight road favorites in one of the lowest total games of the week. I’m really not sure how the Eagles were winning earlier this season; their offense is brutal. Actually, I do know what it was. They were doing it on defense. The Eagles remain a top-ranked defense, even after getting somewhat lit up by Aaron Rodgers & Co. last week.
This is not a good spot for the Bengals offense. AJ Green looks like he will be out for this one leaving the WR corps thin and devoid of talent. I’d expect the Bengals to bring a run-heavy game plan to the table in this one which puts Jeremy Hill on the RB punt radar. Tyler Eifert also makes for an acceptable play here even though his matchup against the top-ranked Eagles TE defense is less than ideal. Realistically this game with its low total is probably best avoided.
Elite Plays: None
Secondary: Jeremy Hill
at New Orleans -5 Detroit 53
Sound the alarm, it’s time for the CHALK ALERT! Two high-flying offensive teams that have shown little propensity to play defense meet in the Coors Field of Football. Looking at the matchups nothing really stands out because both teams are ranked poorly in just about every defensive category.
Let’s start with the Lions- Matt Stafford has been extremely inconsistent this season which can partially be attributed to a subpar WR corps. Marvin Jones Jr started off the season with a couple of good games but he’s been plagued by drops and can’t seem to get on the same page with Stafford. That said, if he is ever going to break out of the slump this is the game to do it. Golden Tate and Anquan Boldin round out the WR corps. Both are volume-dependent and play a possession role for the Lions. At RB, it’s the Theo Riddick show. They mix in Dwayne Washington for short yardage work but this hasn’t really been a vulture situation since he only has one TD to start the season. One thing the Lions are known for is their late-game heroism. Assuming the Saints take an early lead in this game, I expect the Lions to throw a ton. Looking at the Lions games this season, almost every one of them was close. They tend to play up to or down to the level of their opposition. If we think the Saints will be scoring a ton we can assume the Lions will keep up.
The Saints have been nothing short of spectacular at home for most of this season. Brees has averaged 30+ DK points at home and we can expect that to continue this week. The primary beneficiary of the Brees love has been rookie WR Michael Thomas, while Brandin Cooks and Willie Snead also contribute a great deal. Last week, Cooks put up a lineup-killing donut which will be fresh on the minds of DFSers. The good folks at FanDuel have been kind enough to lower the salary on Cooks to a reasonable $6800. This is a prime spot for a bounce-back game made even more prime by reports that Cooks was bitching about his role in the offense early in the week. I’m expecting Brees to feed his top WR. Both Mark Ingram and Tim Hightower have been succeeding in the RBBC situation for the Saints. I’ll continue to lean to Hightower simply because his outlook is similar to Ingram but the salary is so much lower.
Stack this game like crazy in cash and GPP. It should be a fantasy points bonanza.
Elite Plays: Drew Brees, Brandin Cooks, Mike Thomas, Willie Snead, Matt Stafford, Golden Tate, Marvin Jones Jr, Theo Riddick, Eric Ebron
at Chicago -2.5 San Francisco 43
Two shitty teams face off as the 49ers travel to Chicago in a game I’m declaring the “Stink Bowl.” Even though these teams suck, there still could be some fantasy nuggets here. Jordan Howard could have a nice game at home facing one of the worst run defenses in the league. I also have to give props to Krapernick; he isn’t a good real world QB but he does seem to put up some solid fantasy points totals mainly due to his scrambling. A fascinating player in this game may be Chicago WR Marquess Wilson, who seemed to have a rapport with Matt Barkley. Last week, he went 8-for-11 for 125 yards and a TD. The matchup vs the 49ers is not particularly daunting. We need to find those low salary WRs with potential for big games this week on DraftKings in particular. Wilson is definitely in that mix.
Elite Plays: Marquess Wilson, Jordan Howard, Colin Kaepernick, Carlos Hyde
at New England -13 Los Angeles 45
The Patriots are once again massive home favorites and his time they take on Jared Goff and the Rams. Goff looked OK last week facing the non-existent Saints defense. I think they will find that playing in Foxboro is a much more difficult proposition. On the season the Patriots are 28th vs the pass and 4th vs the rush, according to DVOA. The Rams are 16th and 10th respectively.
The Rams offense is a complete fade here. Bill Belichick has a talent for confusing rookie QBs and I can’t see Goff having much success here.
Looking at the Patriots, there are a ton of ways they could attack the Rams. Last week I discussed Malcolm Mitchell here in the column and he wound up playing 50% of the snaps and he turned five receptions into two TDs. Tom Brady was looking for Mitchell in the end zone. I suspect the fact that Gronk was out and Bennett was hobbled had a lot to do with it. Julian Edelman had his standard eight receptions on 11 targets, which was not enough to make value. At RB, the Patriots deployed a truly horrific three-headed rushing attack with LeGarrette Blount, James White and Dion Lewis all splitting touches almost evenly. Normally, I’d say the 13-point spread favors Blount. We know that bad teams that are getting their asses kicked on the road often quit in the fourth quarter, and that’s when Blount does his best work. Still the three-headed attack is troubling.
Elite Plays: LeGarrette Blount, Tom Brady, Malcolm Mitchell, Patriots D
at Baltimore -3.5 Miami 41.5
The Dolphins travel to Baltimore as slight underdogs in a low-scoring game. Both of teams are solid defensively, specifically Baltimore who is the top-ranked unit vs the run, rendering Jay Ajayi off limits. The Dolphins are solid across the board ranking 5th vs the pass and 14th vs the run. With the low total and high-likelihood that we see a low-scoring defensive struggle, this game is a complete fade from an offensive perspective. I could see taking a stab at Baltimore defense in a GPP lineup.
Sunday 4:00 Games
at Oakland -3 Buffalo 49.5
The Bills head West to take on the Raiders in a game Vegas sees as close and high scoring. The line on this game is a little surprising. Last week, Carr suffered some sort of pinkie dislocation. He finished out the game but whenever a QB suffers a hand injury, there is at least some cause for concern.
Statistically, the Raiders are at the bottom of the league defensively ranking 24th and 28th respectively vs the pass and rush- the eyes test tells a different story. This Raiders defense has actually been putting pressure on opposing QBs averaging two sacks, an INT and a forced fumble per game. The Bills, on the other hand, come in with league average rankings of 15th and 19th vs the pass and rush.
Derek Carr and the Raiders have looked fantastic for most of the season. Carr could be an under the radar selection at QB this week with so many people focused on the Saints game. Carr has shown a solid 22-point floor this season with a sky high 39-point ceiling. Last week, Amari Cooper disappointed with four receptions for 22 yards. Cooper is a hit-or-miss player, but when he hits it’s usually big. Michael Crabtree had a quality outing in which he converted eight of 13 targets for 100+ yards. Seth Cooper, the #3 WR wound up with a TD and 31 total yards on four targets. Roberts is on the minimum salary punt radar this week. At RB, Latavius Murray continues to handle the bulk of the workload for the Raiders. He gets usage in both the run and pass game, giving him a relatively safe 12-point floor.
For the Bills, Tyrod Taylor continues to put up consistent fantasy performances, mainly due to his propensity to rush for TDs…and he’s done that in four of the past five games. Last week, we saw the return of Sammy Watkins. He was on a snap count coming off a significant long-term injury but managed three receptions and 80 yards. Buffalo beats are expecting Watkins to remain on a somewhat limited snap count this week. With Robert Woods likely out, there are no other significant Buffalo WRs at the moment. At RB, it’s the LeSean McCoy show. Shady beasted last week with two TDs and 100+ yards on 19 carries and he’ll be an every week RB stud.
Elite Plays: David Carr, LeSean McCoy, Latavius Murray
Secondary: Amari Cooper, Michael Crabtree, Sammy Watkins
at San Diego -4 Tampa Bay 47
With all the 49+ point projections in Week 13, this game is likely to fly a bit under the radar. The Bucs travel to SoCal to take on the Chargers in a game Vegas sees as close and high scoring. The Chargers are ranked 9th and 17th respectively vs the pass and rush. The Bucs are sitting at 18th and 20th, respectively, according to DVOA.
Looking at the Bucs, it seems that Jameis Winston only has eyes for Mike Evans at the moment. Outside of the oddball game vs the Bears, Evans has averaged 12+ targets per game since Week 2. I would expect similar numbers this week in a game that could evolve into a shootout. At RB, Doug Martin has been seeing a plenty of touches since his Week 10 return from injury. They haven’t resulted in a ton of fantasy goodness just yet but that could have been because of some tough matchups vs KC and Seattle. I would expect him to find more running room against a low-ranked Chargers defense.
For the Chargers, it is noteworthy that Tyrell “The Gazelle” Williams suffered some sort of labrum injury last week. He played through it and wound up with a big game, but the injury could certainly affect his range of motion. Dontrelle Inman wound up with a nice day going 6-for-6 highlighted by a 52-yard TD pass. Travis Benjamin disappointed in his first game back from injury. Normally, Tyrell is the best option in the Chargers passing attack. The shoulder issue has me just a little spooked. At RB this game sets up well for Melvin Gordon.
Elite Plays: Mike Evans, Doug Martin, Melvin Gordon, Phillip Rivers
at Arizona -2.5 Washington 49.5
The entire afternoon slate is chock full of fantasy potential. In this game, the Redskins travel to Arizona as slight road dogs in a game with one of the highest totals on the slate. I’m a little surprised by the high total on this one. Arizona is the #3 overall defense in the league and they are nasty at home. The Redskins defense is nondescript outside of Josh Norman at CB. Even with Norman there, the Redskins show pedestrian DVOA numbers vs all the WR positions.
The Redskins will face a Redskins defense that excels at defending the pass, in particular. Their ultimate weapon is Patrick Peterson, a true stud corner that just shut down Julio Jones. The Redskins offense is an interesting counter to Peterson in that they don’t have a true #1 WR. Kirk Cousins spreads the ball around quite a bit and generally involves DeSean Jackson, Pierre Garcon and Jamison Crowder somewhat equally. At TE, we don’t quite know the status of Jordan Reed right now. Assuming he sits this one out, Vernon Davis should step into the role nicely. The one problem is that Arizona is the #1 defense at stopping the TE position. The cheap salary is great on VD but he could easily burn you in a rough matchup. The last thing we want is to get burned by VD. Fat Rob Kelley is not a recommended play in this one.
The Cardinals offense starts with David Johnson. He’s an every-week stud that seems to excel in the worst of matchups. This is actually a very good matchup against a nondescript Redskins run defense. ALL IN baby! At WR, Larry Fitzgerald disappointed in a prime matchup last week. That killed quite a few of my lineups, but I still don’t understand how it’s possible that in a game where Palmer threw the ball 45 times, that Fitzgerald only got targeted four times. It’s not like any of the outside WRs were featured more prominently either. Jermaine freaking Gresham saw 10 of those targets and David Johnson got 11 of them- a strange game plan indeed. I expect the Cardinals to get back to targeting Fitzy in this one. It’s tough to figure out the rest of the Cardinals WR situation. John Brown is still dealing with complications from his Sickle Cell issue and can’t be trusted at all. Mike Floyd has been off again much more then on again this season. He’s been dealing with hammy issues as well. JJ Nelson has a case of the dropsies. The whole thing is a situation to avoid outside of some GPP longshots. Forced to choose one, I’d go with Floyd.
Elite Plays: David Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald
Secondary Plays: Jae Crowder, Pierre Garcon, Desean Jackson
at Pittsburgh -5.5 NY Giants 50
This one features the red-hot Pittsburgh offense taking on the Giants. The Steelers are favored at home in a game with a sky-high 50-point total. Both defenses here are pretty good, but nothing to be afraid of.
One thing to note about Eli Manning and the Giants is that they tend to play much better at home than on the road. The other thing to note is that they almost never score TDs in the running game, which means that if Vegas is right and this game is close/high scoring, it’s probably happening via Manning’s arm. Odell Beckham Jr has been a touchdown machine in the second half of the season, and that has masked some rather pedestrian reception and yardage totals. It’s tough to justify spending top dollar on OBJ in this road matchup when you can get Antonio Brown, Julio Jones or Mike Evans for the same price. Sterling Shephard was blanked last week in what was perceived to be a good matchup at Cleveland. I expect him to bounce back with his standard 60 yards/TD performance. If 12-15 fantasy points are what you need, Shephard should deliver.
The Steelers offense is always exciting at home. Sure, the Giants have been solid defensively but they are not a lockdown unit by any stretch. LeVeon Bell is one of the safest high-floor RB plays on a weekly basis, regardless of the matchup and the same can be said for Antonio Brown. Both Bell and Brown carry sky-high DFS salaries which basically force us to choose one or the other as opposed to using both players. If we are looking for a cheaper way to get exposure to this game, Eli Rogers should be a consideration. With Sammie Coates still nursing a hand injury and Cobi Hamilton functioning as a decoy, Rogers should see a bunch of targets simply because he’s there. Rogers could actually have a big game if the Giants wise up and gameplan to double-team Brown on every play.
Elite Plays: Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown, LeVeon Bell, Eli Rogers
Sunday Night Football
at Seattle -6.5 Carolina 45
In the Sunday Night Hammer game, the Panthers will be out west for the second week in a row. This time they take on a Seattle team that basically crushed my DFS dreams last week. Vegas set the Seahawks as heavy home favorites in a game with a middling total.
This is a tough spot on paper for the Panthers. Seattle’s defense has been lights out at home this season. Looking at the WR situation, Kelvin Benjamin hasn’t been great this season and he’s not known as a player that can defeat quality coverage. Teams attacking the Seattle defense generally default to the TE position, so Greg Olsen makes plenty of sense but he’s been slumping since Week 8 and makes for a dart throw tournament play this week. In general, it’s probably best to avoid the Panthers offense completely in this one.
Seattle is in a perfect bounce-back spot at home after the embarrassment they suffered in Tampa last week. The Panthers are not the same defense with Luke Kuechly out. Russell Wilson should find success in the passing game facing a Panthers defense that is ranked 19th overall vs the pass. Realistically, the Wilson stack is in play this week. The question is which of Doug Baldwin or Jimmy Graham we should stack him with. The Panthers aren’t great vs the TE position, ranked 19th overall, but they also aren’t particularly special vs WRs. At RB, Thomas Rawls disappointed last week with a lineup killing four points on 12 carries. That said, he still should see a full workload, but this time it’ll be in a home game where his team is favored. As a bonus, Carolina is without Keuchly and possibly (DE) Mario Addison. That should provide a slight boost to the running game for Seattle.
Elite Plays: Russell Wilson, Doug Baldwin, Jimmy Graham, Thomas Rawls
Monday Night Football
Indianapolis -1 at NY Jets 49.5
In the Week 13 finale, the Colts head to East Rutherford as slight road favorites to take on the Jets in a game that is projected as close and high scoring. The Jets can, and will, stop Frank Gore in this one forcing the Colts to attack through the air. The Colts are probably going to be without Vontae Davis for this one and they basically suck defensively across the board. This game should go under the radar but there’s definitely some potential fantasy gold here.
Looking at the Colts, the status of TY Hilton is still up in the air. Even if he plays, it will be tough to trust him with a back issue. I’ll be paying close attention to reports out of Indy as the week progresses because Hilton is exactly the type of player that should torch the Jets porous secondary. Donte Moncrief is also worth a look because he’s shown a limited ceiling so far this season, but this game he has a great chance to test or exceed it.
For the Jets, this shapes up as a game where they could lean heavily on Matt Forte. The Colts can’t stop the run and the Jets are perfectly comfortable using the run game when it’s working. Last week, WR Quincy Enunwa shined with 100+ yards and a TD on five receptions. Brandon Marshall had a decent game, logging a TD and six receptions. Both Jets WRs are usable in this one.
Elite Plays: Andrew Luck, Dontae Moncrief, TY Hilton (if fully healthy, Quincy Enunwa, Brandon Marshall.
That’s it for Week 13. Good luck everyone!
Week 13 DFS Army NFL Content
Geek’s Vegas Lines – Week 13 DFS Football Strategy, Player Picks, and Game Breakdown
DFS Army NFL Vegas Lines Week 13 Podcast
The DFS Army Domination Station Lineup Optimizer
DFS Army VIP NFL Stats/Projections Spreadsheet
DFS Army Week 13 NFL Kickers Corner
Top 5 NFL DFS Fundamental Cash Strategy Tips for HTH & DU
DFS Army VIP Podcast available in the VIP Slack Chat Friday Evening/Saturday Morning!