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In this series we’re going to break down Monday and Wednesday’s large slate MME style of top pros on Draft Kings. This week we’re going to look at the number one player overall on Roto Grinder’s rankings, Awesmo.
Pros have different styles of how they Mass Multi Entry (MME) from having a tight core to going all in on one to many different players. Generally speaking, the tippy top of the DFS world have a general consensus which changes by sport and by time of the season. One strategy that might work in the beginning of a season might be out dated by the All Star break. Either way if you’re looking to get yourself to the next level in the MME game, it’s important to break down different NBA DFS MME strategies and see how you can gain an edge over the field in the next slate of games. Today we’re looking at the Excellent 8’s on Draft Kings.
Strategy:
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All in baby.
Awesomo decided to go all in on Beasley last night in with 96.9% exposure. Comically if you were in our Slack Chat last night, we had a blip of an error in our projections where he was showing up at 55 points that was corrected pretty quickly. Maybe it was a sign to keep him in. Our DK projections has Beasley at 25.4 points which he ended up exceeding by 52%, ending at 38.75 points. A great value if you rostered him. In this particular tournament, 39% of the field rolled him out.
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Spin that core.
Including Beasley, Awesomo ran it out with a team of 4 core players ranging in 52%-66% exposure (excluding Beasley’s 96.9%). These players included Mickey, Teodosic, and Westbrook. If those names sound familiar, it’s because they were all over our slack chat and articles yesterday. This strategy is a tale as old as time and is a classic mainly because when it works, it really works. When your core hits, having 100+ iterations of players around them is usually what puts up a win in a GPP
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Loose core approach.
Another approach is having a looser secondary core. I would consider this players you’re exposed to between 35-49%. Two players hit this strategy for Awesomo last night in Kevin Durant & Klay Thompson. Durant as you know was pivotal in winning a GPP last night even though he was chalky. 41% of the populous had him and his massive 72.75 DK points last night. Generally speaking, the loose core approach is for guys you feel strongly about being in your line ups, but not as strong as your main core.
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Player pool sizing.
We talk about shortening our player pools all the time in Slack and how to do it. Last night Awesomo ran with 64 players of which 18 were only in 1 line up with 10 more in 3 or less. That means 36 players made up his main player pool. 10% or more was only 24 players. This just reinforces what we talk about day in and day out in our Premium Slack Chat: You have to make decisions. Trying to fit everyone in your player pool will generally always lead to worse results over time, spreading your exposure out across too many players.
How do you reduce your player pool then?
For this we’ll need to take a look as to the why certain players showed up in his core.
Michael Beasley: With Prozingus out, Beasley moved into the starting role. At $4300 on Draft Kings, plus increased minutes, he was a steal at that price. While the match up wasn’t there, the opportunity was. With increased minutes, we talked about him easily hitting value in Slack and with the increased opportunity, the idea of him exceeding value wasn’t far-fetched.
Jordan Mickey: With all the injuries last night, Mickey was slated to get a full workload of minutes. Also a fantastic value play at the low low price of $3,200. He wouldn’t have needed to do too much to get you to value town plus at that near minimum salary, it let you fit in a stars and scrubs approach. He popped up in Slack nonstop as a value option, in Keith’s GPP notes, and articles galore.
Milos Teodosic: He ended up popping up as starting last night plus with his low price tag, he gave you the holy trinity of cheap players with upside. Having three low owned guys meant fitting in whatever else you wanted last night, like a Westbrook/Durant stack for example. Or grabbing Karl-Anthony Towns + Westbrook knowing KAT was going to be lower owned than he should have been or any other $10k+ player.
We’ll break down more choices and the why behind them tonight in our premium slack channel.
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After making decisions to lock in a core of value players with high upside, the decision on which studs to include in your core and secondary core is what would have separated you from winning a GPP or min cashing for the night. With a lot of different directions to go with 4 players over $10k and 4 more over $9k, you wouldn’t realistically want to fit them all into your line up construction. You need to make a decision and go with it. You can’t win everyday and if you looked at Awesomo’s scores last night, he didn’t either. However, you don’t become the best player in DFS in multiple sports by playing it safe everyday and trying to get exposure to everyone on a slate.
I’ll be breaking down the numbers in a more granular fashion for our VIP members only on Thursday, analyzing the numbers and metrics behind these strategies to really dig into the why. If you’re interested in checking out that data and analysis, click here to sign up and save 10% off your membership with code 10-OFF.