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Breaking Down Late NFL Line Movement to get the Edge in Daily Fantasy Football – Careful it’s Sharp!

Here is your weekly sharp line analysis for week 13.

KC @ NYJ

Much has been said about the Chiefs slide in recent weeks, but late money is seeing a turnaround today. Aside from winning outright, the bettors are seeing a tight one as dictated by the line moving from KC -4 to KC -3.5

 

DFS Takeaway: This is a slight uptick for our confidence in the KC and maybe a slight uptick in the NY offense.  Maybe don’t go too crazy since this is a 43.5 total.

NE @ BUF

The sharps are confident in Buffalo’s chances to win today.  We have seen 2 instances in the last 24 hours of  money coming against the Patriots.  The total has dropped a point to 48.5.

 

DFS Takeaway: We have another divisional matchup and this is one that can give the Patriots some trouble. The sharps also believe the bills cover and this is not shocking news to me.  This is a certainly a downtick for the patriots defense and even a slight downtick for the patriots offense.  The Bills offense gets a boost.

SF @ CHI

The total has risen 1.5 points.  It stands at 41.  Getting the lion share of that, at least in the bettor’s eyes, is SF.  They are getting some decent interest.from the sharps.  The public is on SF too.  All of the combined money has pushed the line from CHI -4 to CHI -2.5.

 

DFS Takeaway: While the total has gone up, this is still a low total game.  The SF offense gets a slight boost and the bears defense gets a slight downtick in expectation.

CAR @ NO

Sharp bettors are confident in the saints to get the deed done at home.  The line has moved from Saints -4 to Saints -5.  The total has dropped slightly but still stands at 47.5 points.

 

DFS Takeaway: We have seen some big games between these two teams and we know the numbers can climb in New Orleans. NO offense gets a slight boost here.

LAR @ ARI

The total has dropped from 45.5 to 43.5.  The line has jumped from LAR -6.5 to LAR -7.5 this week

 

DFS Takeaway: The offenses take a bit of hit but the Rams defense gets a boost.

PHI @ SEA

Sharps have planted their flag with Seattle. We have seen 2 sharp movements this morning and after some midweek movements we still have PHI favored by 3.5, although they were favored by 5 earlier in the week.  The next big thing of note is the total.  It opened at 48 but is now 46.5.

 

DFS Takeaway: The philly offense takes a hit and the Seattle offense gets a boost.  

 

Good luck in week 13, Army!