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The Sway Bar: NASCAR Draftkings Fades and Values for Homestead

White flag is in the air and we have just one race left this year. It’s been a breakout year for DFS Army NASCAR and we are positioned to finish strong. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.

Top Plays

Martin Truex Jr. – The king of 1.5 mile, MTJ is the favorite to be your 2017 champion – and for good reason. He has been nothing short of dominant this year and that trend has continued this weekend. I think he has the best car at the track this weekend and while he may not lead initially, he should find his way to the front in fairly short order. Don’t over think this. MTJ is the play.

Denny Hamlin – Denny isn’t racing for a championship, but he has a chip on his shoulder and a fast car. Starting 1st, Denny seems to have a top three car and if this race has a long green flag look, he could be the bell of the ball. Remember, there is a race inside the race thing going on. The championship contenders can race for second while Denny blasts away for a win.

Kyle Busch – Rounding out my top three cars of the weekend – KB. It’s pretty clear that Adam Stevens has this rig tuned for the long run, and that could lead to a KB championship. I am not as confident in KBs potential as a dominator, but you can never count him out.

Jimmie Johnson – Play him for the starting spot, not the dominator potential, but JJ is a top play this weekend. No way Chad Knaus doesn’t have this car tuned to push forward as the runs go long, and we know Jimmie can boogie around Homestead pretty well. Hopefully the allure of the big 4 push some ownership away from JJ.

Fades

Brad Keselowski – I just don’t think Brad has the speed the other three contenders have. That isn’t to say he can’t win – the 2 team always brings some unique strategy to win with slower cars – but the odds aren’t great (11 – 1 to be exact).

Value

Ty Dillon – Dillion is much much faster than his 32nd starting spot, and showed some Homestead prowess in the past. He is my favorite value play this weekend.

Chris Buescher – Not as confident in this pick, but it is slim pickings down in this value range. Buescher has top 25 speed against a 29th place starting spot, and a tremendous finishing prowess on 1.5 mile tracks.

Matt Dibenedetto – Told you it was slim pickins. Matty D rolls off 31st but I think he is alot faster than that. He finished 21st here last year, but that was a weird race. Alas, I think Matty D is a viable play this weekend

Kasey Kahne – I don’t trust Kasey at Homestead – but Hendrick equipment starting 27th is always a good thing. He did show top 15 single lap speed during the Saturday practices, so there is some upside. However, I worry about his long run speed and his amazing ability to find trouble at Homestead.

So there it is folks, we will talk again in Feburary. It’s been a pleasure – lets end strong! We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock, and thats what it will be all about this week. Strategy. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.