Vegas Odds to the Right Defense

Have you noticed how I talk about building from the bottom up so much?  I do it more on twitter when I send out my articles as well as in the kicker’s corner.  One of the things I have really not covered is what building from the bottom up can do.  I have mentioned how building from the bottom up can help you by forcing you to pick the best option for defense and kicker.  It does this by making you think about the pick because you are not worried about the salary.

Another thing that building from the bottom up can do is help make the lineup unique.  Building from the bottom helps by forcing the build to be different because you are not starting where everyone else starts.  When you start from the bottom your lineup will also be built in a different way.  We have had a lot of questions about how to find those lineups that win GPPs.  While building from the bottom up will not make your lineup a winner.  It can help build your lineup in a different enough way to help you take first.

Find an option to join today

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A New Approach

Lately, I have been pushing a new idea in Slack.  This is one of the first times I am going to start sharing that idea outside of Slack to the rest of the DFS community.  When I first started on Fanduel I used to play nothing but the 250 man leagues.  Those were where I got my start and how I turned $20 deposit 3 years ago into a hobby where I bet a couple hundred every week. Sadly Fanduel did away with the 250 man leagues, but they did leave us a 100 man single entry league.

I put together a small write up explaining how to use those leagues to your advantage.  As well as how to build a player pool to aid you in entering multiple lineups.  Follow along here for all of the information on how to do all these things.

Picking the Right Defense

One of the tools we are going to use to help us pick out a solid defense is Vegas.  We are going to be looking for teams that are favored to win, the larger the better.  Teams that are favored to win produce more points.  Teams that are behind late throw the ball more.  When a team is throwing the ball more they are more likely to have turnovers, sacks, and give up def scores.  We also want teams who are able to pressure the quarterback.  This, when combined with teams that are favored, are just going to increase scores.  When able to we want to take home teams that are favored as they have a slight edge.

Jacksonville vs Colts

The Colts have not been a very good team this season.  They have struggled with the run game.  Whether that has been the crap o-line or a helping cause of the crap o-line, I will let you decide.  What we do know is that Jac defense has been on fire this season.  Sure not every game has been a 20 point smash, but a lot of them have been.  The first meeting of these 2 teams this season was like watching a school on how to sack the QB.  5600 is a crazy high price for any defense, but honestly, find a way to use them.  This is the safest lock on defense this week.

Chargers vs Browns

Offering a very small savings over Jac, if needed you can also hop on Chargers.  Cleveland has been a good bet to turn the ball over.  Chargers have been one of the best scoring defenses over the last 2 weeks.  This is another great spot for them to win at home and put up points.  I am using the chargers to save that 300 when I really need to upgrade.  I will even run them some when I have the funds.

New England vs Buffalo

New England has been playing really good defense lately and I like them for cost savings against Buffalo.  There are not a lot of great savings at defense, but NE is more than capable of scoring 15 points.  I wish I had a lot more to sell you on this play, but it really just sells itself.  Over 1 TD favorite and more than good enough to score at least 10 points.  Load them up if you need to save.

Follow the Vegas Lines

I would like to point out that it is Tuesday and a lot can happen when it comes to Vegas.  As sharp money starts to flow the lines will change.  For help with the lines on your own join the DFS Army and get in Slack Chat. We will be talking regularly about the changes in lines as the week progresses.  A great DFS player is one who adapts to new information comes along.

If you want to talk kickers or defenses hit me up on Twitter @dfsarmypvaaron or in Slack @pvaaron