After a week long bender off the back of an INCREDIBLE Talledega – we look to Kansas. It’s looking like a chalky week so it may be tough sleddin’, but we will make it work. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.
Top Plays
Ryan Blaney – Blaney. Starting. Last. LOCK.
Martin Truex Jr. – Truex. Starting. 1st. At. A. Mile. And. A. Half. LOCK.
Kevin Harvick – Harvick is a guy that the stars are aligning for this week. He boasts and incomprehensible 122.8 driver rating since 2013 at Kansas, paired with a brilliant 124 on 1.5 milers so far this year . He won this race last year – which was the last day race at Kansas. He is starting second, so his upside is reliant on laps led, but at a soft $9600 you can work him in to get off the Truex chalk.
Kyle Larson – They will be pinned high wide and handsome this weekend, and that benefits no one more than it does Kyle Larson. Yung Money was 1st in the first two practices, but pulled off a disappointing 13th qualifying effort. Last go round at Kansas he pulled off a 6th, and he is better now then he was than. Larson could be a good guy to go overweight on to try and avoid the big MTJ chalk.
Fades
Off all the guys starting in the top five, I am happiest to overlook Matt Kenseth. Starting 3rd, he has to lead some laps to be valuable and there is just to many heavy hitters in this race for him to get it done.
Values
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. – Kansas is lowkey one of Stenhouse best tracks, and I really expected him to qualify better than he did. Alas – we will take it. Starting 24th, Stenhouse has top 15 upside, but will likely be quite chalky.
Paul Menard – If you want to get off the chalk – look no further than Old Money, Paul Menard. Menard showed flashed of speed during the practices this weekend, and is the best 1.5 miler in this range. His Kansas tries have been lackluster recently, but he has had top tens in the past. It seems like RCR brought some speed, so jump on Menard to capitalize.
AJ Allmendinger – This is a longshot GPP value play because Dinger has been really poor at 1.5 milers so far this year. But he has an inspiring track record at Kansas, so it’s enough for me to give him a look. He should be pretty low owned so going over on him wont be hard.
Daniel Suarez – This is a tough spot, because Danny is starting 5th. However, I think we will stay in the top ten all day and could even end up with a top 5. At $7400, even a top ten could be enough to hit value. Don’t go crazy with him – but I think Suarez is worth sprinkling in.
So there it is folks, use that to start your research. We will be talking more strategy on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.