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The Sway Bar: NASCAR DFS DraftKings Fades and Values for Dover

We are back in Delaware, the home of one of the DFS Armys best weeks in history.. As always, the research is just getting started, so think about getting signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. I will be on there all weekend updating everyone on my research.

Top Plays

Martin Truex Jr. – Don’t let whatever voodoo MTJ is playing with that put his practice times in the dumps fool you – MTJ is in a league of his own right now. Starting on the pole with the clout he has will drive his ownership through the roof, but that won’t scare me off. Dover has always been good to MTJ, who dominated on his way to a third place run in the Spring. Look for MTJ to take a big chunk of laps led and fast laps on his way to competing for a win.

Jimmie Johnson – We are all adults here, I don’t need to go on a big spiel about how good at Dover JJ is. So I will just say this – JJ came off the truck horrible this weekend, but has found speed as the weekend progressed. He is only going to get faster, and should end up competing for a win before it is all said and done, and thanks to a 17th qualifying effort, he won’t even need to dominate.

Kyle Busch – Dover is hit and miss for Kyle, but this weekend looks like a hit. He made a small mistake in qualifying that cost him the pole, but proved his speed in both practices today. Kyles biggest problem will be getting the lead from MTJ to grab some dominator points. The script of races recently seems to make room for both MTJ and Busch to dominate equally, and I would anticipate that continues this weekend.

Chase Elliott – WHO!? WHOOO!? For the first time in a metric forever CE24 has made his way into the top play portion of the program. He rolls of 12th, but should motor to the top five quickly off the back of a fantastic final practice showing. In his MENCS history – Chase boasts two 3rds and a 5th at Dover, and has never had a car like he has this weekend. My problem with this play is that if Chase has a car to compete, Jimmie has a car to win and dominate. Still, it is worth playing Chase this week.

Fades

Dale Jr. – I know, I know. He qualified well and looks good in practice. But it is just too risky. He hasn’t shown ability to compete at the front of the race all year, I can’t imagine why that would change this weekend. A fade should cover the rake for you.

Value Plays

Jamie McMurray – This is a lay up. Jamie has been getting faster and faster all weekend after his poor qualifying effort. He should end up in a top ten position when it’s all said and done. Play with confidence.

Matt Dibenedetto – Burrito is back on the menu folks! Matty D. rolls off 40th with a $5000 price tag and a top 30 car. Another lay up in my opinion.

Daniel Suarez – I am still on the fence about this one, since he starts 5th…but he’s only $6900 for some reason, and could easily end up in the top 5. His car is fast and his price is low…GO! But do so with caution, he could easily bite you if he doesn’t stay in the top ten.

AJ Allmendinger – Dover is a great track for AJ, who rolls off 30th tommorrow. I think AJ is a safer play in cash, because I am not sure he has that GPP winning potential.

So there it is folks. Keep an eye on the DFS Army Slack Room right up until lock. Get signed up and get exclusive access to our projection model, the domination station lineup optimizer, and most importantly, direct chat room access to some of the sharpest NASCAR minds in the industry. As always, use my research as a launching point for yours. Trust your process, good luck this week, and let’s make some cash.