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Walsh’s Way: MLB DFS Game Notes for DraftKings and FanDuel – Wednesday, August 16th (Afternoon Games)

Follow me on Twitter: @14AdotWalsh

 


PITCHERS

– Early

Jimmy Nelson (vs PIT)
At least 8 Ks in seven of 11 starts… 4-2, 2.04 ERA in 8 afternoon starts… Coming off one of the worst outings of his life last time out against the Reds, lots of motivation for him to do well today… Brewers are surprisingly favored, which is why I have Nelson over Cole

Gerrit Cole (@MIL)
7 straight quality starts…. At least 7 Ks in five of the last eight starts… Dominant vs MIL this season, going 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA in 3 starts: 21 IP, 0.71 WHIP, 3 R, 23 Ks… Brewers have the highest K-rate against right-handed pitching this season

Jose Urena (vs SF)
At least 34 FDP in three of his last five starts… Faced SF earlier this season, allowed 3 runs in 5 innings… His two-seamer can really give a lot of these Giants lefties trouble

– Afternoon

Danny Duffy (@OAK)
8 Ks in each of his last two starts… A’s have the sixth-highest K-rate against left-handed pitching

Ubaldo Jimenez (@SEA)
At least 38 FDP in four straight starts… Except for Cano, he’s got exceptional numbers against current Mariners

 


EARLY GAMES


 

Los Angeles Angels (@WSH, Tanner Roark – R) – Roark: 3-5, 5.24 ERA in 11 home starts
* Splits against Roark this season:
LHB: 22 XBH (10 HR), .275 avg, .365 OBP, .446 SLG, .811 OPS – 287 PA (17.1% K-rate)
RHB: 16 XBH   (6 HR), .240 avg, .295 OBP, .353 SLG, .648 OPS – 278 PA (22.7% K-rate)

                                                                               @

Washington Nationals (vs LAA, Ricky Nolasco – R) – Nolasco: 0-3, 6.23 ERA in 4 day starts
* Splits against Nolasco this season:
LHB: 29 XBH (11 HR), .257 avg, .332 OBP, .448 SLG, .780 OPS – 298 PA (15.1% K-rate)
RHB: 40 XBH (19 HR), .327 avg, .355 OBP, .624 SLG, .979 OPS – 276 PA (23.2% K-rate)


 

San Francisco Giants (@MIA, Jose Urena – R) – Urena: .276 opp avg allowed at home
* Splits against Urena this season:
LHB: 20 XBH   (7 HR), .225 avg, .315 OBP, .392 SLG, .708 OPS – 238 PA (13.0% K-rate)
RHB: 21 XBH (10 HR), .229 avg, .305 OBP, .415 SLG, .721 OPS – 263 PA (19.4% K-rate)

@

Miami Marlins (vs SF, Matt Cain – R) – Cain: 0-6, 7.69 ERA in 10 road starts this season
*Splits against Cain this season:
LHB: 16 XBH (6 HR), .316 avg, .395 OBP, .461 SLG, .856 OPS – 220 PA (12.3% K-rate)
RHB: 23 XBH (9 HR), .309 avg, .353 OBP, .482 SLG, .835 OPS – 267 PA (12.4% K-rate)


 

Pittsburgh Pirates (@MIL, Jimmy Nelson – R) – Nelson: Allowed 11 hits, 10 runs last start
* Splits against Nelson this season:
LHB: 24 XBH (9 HR), .246 avg, .313 OBP, .403 SLG, .716 OPS – 295 PA (31.5% K-rate)
RHB: 18 XBH (6 HR), .276 avg, .315 OBP, .385 SLG, .699 OPS – 302 PA (22.8% K-rate)

@

Milwaukee Brewers (vs PIT, Gerrit Cole – R) – Cole: Surprisingly not favored in this game
* Splits against Cole this season:
LHB: 30 XBH (13 HR), .269 avg, .310 OBP, .489 SLG, .799 OPS – 284 PA (21.8% K-rate)
RHB: 25 XBH (10 HR), .248 avg, .300 OBP, .401 SLG, .701 OPS – 330 PA (21.2% K-rate)

 


AFTERNOON GAMES


 

Kansas City Royals (@OAK, Paul Blackburn – R) – Blackburn: Allowed at least 8 hits in two of the last three starts
* Splits against Blackburn this season:
LHB: 4 XBH (1 HR), .200 avg, .273 OBP, .267 SLG, .539 OPS –   99 PA (8.1% K-rate)
RHB: 9 XBH (3 HR), .296 avg, .330 OBP, .449 SLG, .779 OPS – 103 PA (11.7% K-rate)

@

Oakland A’s (vs KC, Danny Duffy – L) – Duffy: 1-4, 4.63 ERA in 4 day starts
* Splits against Duffy this season:
LHB:    4 XBH (2 HR), .184 avg, .228 OBP, .276 SLG, .504 OPS –  92 PA (23.9% K-rate)
RHB: 35 XBH (8 HR), .286 avg, .338 OBP, .444 SLG, .782 OPS – 397 PA (19.9% K-rate)


 

Baltimore Orioles (@SEA, Marco Gonzales – L) – Gonzales: Not a good outlook
* Splits against Gonzales from 2014-16, not enough at-bats this season:
LHB:    1 XBH (0 HR), .143 avg, .235 OBP, .179 SLG, .414 OPS – 32 PA (15.6% K-rate)
RHB: 13 XBH (5 HR), .294 avg, .391 OBP, .487 SLG, .879 OPS – 138 PA (19.6% K-rate)

@

Seattle Mariners (vs BAL, Ubaldo Jimenez – R) – Jimenez: 3-5, 5.99 ERA in 14 road outings
* Splits against Jimenez this season:
LHB: 34 XBH (16 HR), .283 avg, .365 OBP, .608 SLG, .974 OPS – 240 PA (23.3% K-rate)
RHB: 24 XBH   (9 HR), .272 avg, .337 OBP, .444 SLG, .781 OPS – 276 PA (20.0% K-rate)


 

Philadelphia Phillies (@SD, Clayton Richard – L) – Richard: 1-5, 5.68 ERA in 9 day starts
* Splits against Richard this season:
LHB:      7 XBH (0 HR), .327 avg, .367 OBP, .381 SLG, .784 OPS – 157 PA (24.2% K-rate)
RHB: 55 XBH (18 HR), .322 avg, .379 OBP, .543 SLG, .922 OPS – 477 PA (14.0% K-rate)

@

San Diego Padres (vs PHI, Nick Pivetta – R) – Pivetta: 3-5, 7.85 ERA in 10 road starts
* Splits against Pivetta this season:
LHB:    13 XBH (3 HR), .241 avg, .330 OBP, .373 SLG, .703 OPS   – 180 PA (23.9% K-rate)
RHB: 29 XBH (16 HR), .306 avg, .365 OBP, .650 SLG, 1.015 OPS – 198 PA (22.7% K-rate)


 

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