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Walsh’s Way: MLB DFS Game Notes for the Early Slate – Thursday, July 20th

Follow me on Twitter: @14AdotWalsh


Vegas line at the open and current line movement (as of 10:45 am EST) – courtesy: Pregame.com


 

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS (Lance Lynn – R) @ NEW YORK METS (Seth Lugo – R)
NYM -107, O/U: 9

Lynn: 8-6, 3.40 ERA/1.14 WHIP (19 starts) – 13.1 inning scoreless streak.

* Just faced the Mets on July 9th – 7 IP, 3 H/1 BB, 0 R, 2 Ks (W)
* 4-3, 3.96 ERA in 11 road starts – 61.1 IP, 60 Ks, 14 HR, .226 opp avg/1.22 WHIP
* 3-3, 4.12 ERA in 8 afternoon starts – 43.2 IP, 40 Ks, 8 HR, .236 opp avg/1.22 WHIP

Cardinals offense:

* Splits against Lugo this season:
+ LHB: 6 XBH (1 HR), .291 avg, .344 OBP, .395 SLG, .739 OPS – 94 plate appearances
+ RHB: 8 XBH (3 HR), .290 avg, .342 OBP, .493 SLG, .835 OPS – 75 plate appearances

+ Matt Carpenter: 10-for-23, 3 doubles since the ASB.
+ Tommy Pham: 9-for-25, 2 doubles, HR, 4 RBI, 4 runs and 2 SB since the ASB.
+ Magnus Sierra: 8-for-16 since the ASB.

— Dexter Fowler: 4-for-23 since the ASB.
— Paul DeJong: 4-for-25 with 11 Ks since the ASB.
— Jedd Gyorko: 5-for-26 with 7 Ks since the ASB.

* Not many plate appearances against Lugo. Collectively, current Cards are 4-for-20 against him.

>>>>

Lugo: 4-2, 4.50 ERA/1.45 WHIP (6 starts) – Quality starts in 4 of the last 7 outings.

* Just faced the Cards on July 9th – 3 IP, 2 H/1 BB, 1 ER, 3 Ks (ND)
* 1-1, 4.05 ERA in 2 home starts – 13.1 IP, 10 Ks, 2 HR, .275 opp avg/1.35 WHIP
* 1-2, 4.57 ERA in 3 afternoon starts (4 app) – 21.2 IP, 17 Ks, 3 HR, .291 opp avg/1.48 WHIP

Mets offense:

* Splits against Lynn this season:
+  LHB: 18 XBH (11 HR), .243 avg, .338 OBP, .460 SLG, .798 OPS – 216 plate appearances
— RHB: 15 XBH   (9 HR), .191 avg, .254 OBP, .359 SLG, .613 OPS – 227 plate appearances

+ Jose Reyes: 10-for-23 with 3 doubles, HR, 5 RBI and 5 runs since the ASB.
+ Yoenis Cespedes: 8-for-22 with 2 doubles, 3 RBI and 4 runs since the ASB.

— Jay Bruce IS NOT STARTING TODAY

* BvP numbers against Lynn:
+ Jay Bruce: 15-for-36, 6 XBH (3 HR), 3 BB, 7 Ks
— Lucas Duda: 0-for-14, 4 BB, 4 Ks
— Yoenis Cespedes: 2-for-9, triple
— Wilmer Flores: 0-for-8
+ Rene Rivera: 3-for-7, double


 

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (Patrick Corbin – L) @ CINCINNATI REDS (Luis Castillo – R)
ARZ – 125, O/U: 10

 

Corbin: 6-9, 4.66 ERA/1.52 WHIP (19 starts)

* Just faced the Reds on July 9th – 6 IP, 7 H/2 BB, 2 ER, 9 Ks (L)
* 1-6, 7.08 ERA in 8 road starts – 40.2 IP, 40 Ks, 11 HR, .328 opp avg/1.72 WHIP
* 2-2, 4.05 ERA in 7 afternoon starts – 40 IP, 41 Ks, 3 HR, .281 opp/1.50 WHIP

Diamondbacks offense:

* Splits against Castillo this season:
—  LHB: 6 XBH (3 HR), .207 avg, .277 OBP, .431 SLG, .708 OPS – 64 plate appearances
+  RHB: 4 XBH (3 HR), .260 avg, .362 OBP, .460 SLG, .822 OPS – 58 plate appearances

+ Paul Goldschmidt: 7-for-19 with a double, HR, 5 RBI and 5 BB since the ASB.
+ David Peralta: 9-for-23 with 2 doubles, HR, 4 RBI and 3 runs since the ASB.

— Jake Lamb: 3-for-22 with 10 Ks since the ASB.

— JD Martinez left the game yesterday after getting hit on the hand by a pitch. He is listed as day-to-day.

* The D-Backs were 3-for-23 with no XBH against Castillo in that meeting back on July 8th.

>>>>>>>>

Castillo: 1-2, 3.41 ERA/1.34 WHIP (5 starts) – At least 8 Ks in 3 of the last 5 starts.

* Just faced the D-Backs on July 8th – 6.2 IP, 3 H/1 BB, 0 R, 8 Ks (W)
* 0-1, 3.86 ERA in 2 home starts – 11.2 IP, 15 Ks, 2 HR, .195 opp avg/1.29 WHIP
* No afternoon starts

Reds offense:

* Splits against Corbin this season:
+ LHB:   9 XBH  (3 HR), .227 avg, .255 OBP, .402 SLG, .657 OPS – 101 plate appearances
+ RHB: 42 XBH (14 HR), .315 avg, .364 OBP, 523 SLG, .887 OPS – 372 plate appearances

+ Billy Hamilton: 10-for-24 with 2 XBH, 2 SB and 5 runs since the ASB.
+ Zack Cozart: 7-for-18 with 2 doubles, 2 HR and 3 BB since the ASB. He is also hitting .391 avg, .444 OBP, 1.116 OPS against left-handed pitching this season.

— Joey Votto: 3-for-18 with 7 BB and 3 Ks since the ASB.
— Scott Schebler: 2-for-20 with 9 Ks since the ASB.
— Tucker Barnhart: 3-for-19 with 6 Ks since the ASB.

* BvP numbers against Corbin:
— Joey Votto: 2-for-13, double, 4 BB, 4 Ks
+ Eugenio Suarez: 3-for-9, double, 4 Ks
— Zack Cozart: 2-for-9
— Billy Hamilton: 2-for-7, double, 3 Ks
— Scooter Gennett: 0-for-7, BB, 2 Ks
+ Devin Mesoraco: 2-for-6, double


 

MILWAUKEE BREWERS (Jimmy Nelson – R) @ PITTSBURGH PIRATES (Jameson Taillon – R)
PIT -125, O/U: 8.5

Nelson: 8-4, 3.27 ERA/1.22 WHIP (19 starts, 1 CG) – Quality starts in 9 of the last 13 outings.

* Faced the Pirates on May 5th –  3 IP, 0 H/0 BB, 0 R, 2 Ks (rain delay cut his start short)
* 4-1, 4.70 ERA in 8 road starts – 44 IP, 47 Ks, 7 HR, .264 opp avg/1.27 WHIP
* 4-1, 1.58 ERA in 6 afternoon starts – 40 IP, 47 Ks, 1 HR, .241 opp avg/1.23 WHIP

Brewers offense:

* Splits against Taillon this season:
— LHB:   6 XBH (1 HR), .270 avg, .341 OBP, .342 SLG, .684 OPS – 123 plate appearances
+ RHB: 17 XBH (4 HR), .272 avg, .331 OBP, .456 SLG, .787 OPS – 160 plate appearances

* Taillon has allowed a success rate of 87.5% (14-for-16) on stolen base attempts in his career.

+ Domingo Santana: 7-for-20 with 4 doubles and HR since the ASB.

— Keon Broxton: 1-for-14 with 5 Ks since the ASB.
— Jonathan Villar: 4-for-20 with 8 Ks since the ASB.

* BvP numbers against Taillon:
+ Hernan Perez: 5-for-9, 3 HR
— Jonathan Villar: 1-for-9, 3 Ks
— Ryan Braun: 1-for-7, BB, 2 Ks

>>>>>>>>>

Taillon: 5-3, 3.06 ERA/1.36 WHIP (12 starts) – Quality starts in only 2 of the last 9 outings.

* Has not faced the Brewers this season
* 2-2, 3.86 ERA in 6 home starts – 32.2 IP, 26 Ks, 2 HR, .291 opp avg/1.41 WHIP
* 2-1, 3.22 ERA in 4 afternoon starts – 22.1 IP, 23 Ks, 1 HR, .276 opp avg/1.48 WHIP

Pirates offense:

* Splits against Nelson this season:
— LHB: 20 XBH (7 HR), .236 avg, .299 OBP, .396 SLG, .695 OPS – 232 plate appearances
+ RHB: 16 XBH (5 HR), .276 avg, .318 OBP, .396 SLG, .714 OPS – 239 plate appearances

* Nelson has allowed a success rate of 82.6% (71-for-86) on stolen base attempts since 2014.

+ Francisco Cervelli: 10-for-23 with a double and HR since the ASB.
+ Gregory Polanco: 9-for-23 with 4 doubles since the ASB.

* BvP numbers against Nelson:
— Gregory Polanco: 5-for-23, double, BB, 3 Ks
+ Starling Marte: 8-for-21, double, BB, 4 Ks
+ Josh Harrison: 6-for-20, all singles, 2 BB, 6 Ks
+ Andrew McCutchen: 6-for-19, 2 doubles, HR, 5 BB, 2 Ks
— Jordy Mercer: 2-for-18, BB, 3 Ks
— Francisco Cervelli: 3-for-14, 5 BB
— Josh Bell: 1-for-9, BB, 4 Ks
— David Freese: 1-for-8, BB, 2 Ks


 

TORONTO BLUE JAYS (Francisco Liriano – R) @ BOSTON RED SOX (Doug Fister – R)
BOS -120, O/U: 10

Liriano: 5-5, 6.04 ERA/1.67 WHIP (15 starts) – Allowed 5 ER in 3 of the last 5 starts.

* Faced the Red Sox twice this season – 11.1 IP, 1.33 WHIP, 5 ER, 10 Ks (1-1)
* 1-3, 8.33 ERA in 7 road starts – 27 IP, 20 Ks, 8 HR, .321 opp avg/2.07 WHIP
* 2-1, 4.50 ERA in 4 afternoon starts – 22 IP, 17 Ks, 2 HR, .271 opp avg/1.45 WHIP

Blue Jays offense:

* Splits against Fister this season:
+ LHB: 4 XBH (2 HR), .400 avg, .513 OBP, .667 SLG, 1.179 OPS – 38 plate appearances
+ RHB: 3 XBH (1 HR), .242 avg, .325 OBP, .394 SLG, .719 OPS – 38 plate appearances

+ Steve Pearce: 8-for-22 with a double and 2 HR since the ASB.

— Jose Bautista: 4-for-23 with 2 doubles, 2 HR and 8 Ks since the ASB.
— Josh Donaldson: 4-for-26 with 6 Ks since the ASB.
— Russell Martin: 2-for-19 with 4 Ks since the ASB.

* BvP numbers against Fister:
+ Kendrys Morales: 8-for-25, 3 doubles, 3 HR, 4 Ks
+ Jose Bautista: 7-for-17, 3 doubles, 4 BB
— Justin Smoak: 3-for-15, HR, 3 BB, 4 Ks
— Ezequiel Carrera: 2-for-11, 2 triples, 4 Ks
— Russell Martin: 1-for-9, 4 Ks
+ Josh Donaldson: 4-for-6, 2 doubles, BB

>>>>>>>>>

Fister: 0-3, 6.75 ERA/1.79 WHIP (4 appearances, 3 starts) – Allowed at least 3 runs in every outing.

* Faced the Blue Jays on June 30th: 5 IP, 4 H/3 BB, 3 ER, 5 Ks (ND)
* 0-2, 6.23 ERA in 2 home appearances/1 start – 8.2 IP, 7 Ks, 0 HR, .344 opp avg/1.86 WHIP
* 0-2, 6.23 ERA in 2 afternoon appearances/1 start – 8.2 IP, 7 Ks, 0 HR, .344 opp avg/1.86 WHIP

Red Sox offense:

* Splits against Liriano this season:
— LHB:    5 XBH (1 HR), .250 avg, .278 OBP, .404 SLG, .682 OPS –   54 plate appearances
+ RHB:  28 XBH (9 HR), .290 avg, .391 OBP, .504 SLG, .895 OPS – 263 plate appearances

* Liriano has allowed a success rate of 82.8% (48-for-58) on stolen base attempts since 2014.

+ Dustin Pedroia: 11-for-29 with 2 doubles, HR, 8 RBI and 4 BB since the ASB.
+ Mookie Betts: 10-for-33 with HR, 4 RBI, 6 runs and 2 SB since the ASB.

— Jackie Bradley Jr: 6-for-31 with 13 Ks since the ASB.
— Andrew Benintendi: 5-for-27 with 8 Ks since the ASB.
— Mitch Moreland: 2-for-21 with 9 Ks since the ASB.

* BvP numbers against Liriano:
+ Dustin Pedroia: 7-for-17, 2 doubles, 3 BB, 2 Ks
— Chris Young: 2-for-9, 2 BB, 3 Ks
+ Hanley Ramirez: 3-for-8, 2 doubles, 3 Ks
— Xander Bogaerts: 1-for-6, BB, 3 Ks
+ Mookie Betts: 2-for-5, 4 BB


 

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