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MLB Daily Fantasy Notes and Podcast – August 24th


 

Baltimore Orioles                                                                            Wade Miley

  • Really hasn’t gone well for Miley since coming to Baltimore, especially in his last two starts: 6 IP, 14 H, 12 ER, 6 K combined against the Astros and Giants
  • RHBs have been popping off against Miley for a .299 AVG w/ 18 HRs – .504 SLG/.856 OPS
  • A lot of the Nats have excellent BVP numbers against Miley – also have to think the Nats will come out hot tonight and avenge losses in their previous two games against the O’s – Absolutely love Wilson Ramos, Anthony Rendon and Jayson Werth
  • Ryan Zimmerman, especially, has great numbers against Miley

Washington Nationals                                                                  Tanner Roark    

  • Five straight quality starts for Roark, but the strikeouts worry me…not to mention the fact that the Orioles have been great against RHPs
  • He’s held LHBs in check to the tune of a .204 AVG this season – that’s ok for the Birds since they have so many RHBs
  • Orioles do own the highest ISO against RHPs this season – give some consideration to their big boppers

 

Los Angeles Angels                                                                         Matt Shoemaker

  • Typically, have no interest in The Maker of Shoes when he is on the road, tonight is no different against one of MLB’s most dangerous offenses … has taken the loss in four straight road starts, five of last six as well
  • Giving the Angels innings has never been a problem for Shoemaker, and maybe you could attribute that to all these hits he gives up – hasn’t given up a HR in eight of his last 11 starts
  • RHBs have slightly better numbers against Shoemaker – Encarnacion has homered against him in the past, as has Saunders (who homered last night) – Tulo, Donaldson and Martin are all interesting as well

Toronto Blue Jays                                                                           Marco Estrada  

  • Extreme flyball pitcher that shouldn’t run into too much trouble tonight, but don’t expect too many strikeouts
  • Struggled somewhat in his last handful of starts, aside from a gem in Houston
  • Not many splits or BVP history to look at

 

Texas Rangers                                                                                   Yu Darvish

  • Love this matchup for Darvish against a weak team like the Reds – However, we have seen them go toe-to-toe with some elite pitchers lately (see: Jose Fernandez in Cincy last week)
  • Darvish has started to go deeper into games, thus, improving the strikeout totals as well

Cincinnati Reds                                                                                Tim Adleman    

  • Only has five starts this season, but the last four Adelman hasn’t made it past the fifth inning
  • However, his last was against the Dodgers and he kept them scoreless
  • Rangers bats disappointed everyone last night, but I called it and said that something was fishy about their bargain bin prices
  • LHBs are hitting .304 against Adelman in a small sample size, but Ian Desmond is my favorite play of them all tonight, especially on FD2

 

Kansas City Royals                                                                           Dillon Gee

  • Guy that gets a bad rap, admittedly by me, but he hasn’t been absolutely terrible of late
  • Martin Prado has a great history against Gee, but don’t you dare expect big power numbers

Miami Marlins                                                                                 Jose Fernandez

  • Got shellacked bad in Cincinnati last start – settle down, everyone…things will be OK
  • At home in Marlins Park, he’s a God … 9-2, 2.07 ERA with 119 Ks in 82.2 IP

 

Boston Red Sox                                                                                Rick Porcello

  • Has a great chance to rack up the points against this swing-and-miss happy Rays team
  • Porcello has racked up at least 39 FDP in 10 of his last 12 starts
  • 3-0 against TB this season with a 2.25 ERA and 22 Ks in 20 IP

Tampa Bay Rays                                                                               Matt Andriese 

  • Andriese had a solid start to this season, but has allowed 21 hits and 14 ER in his last 15 IP
  • 0-3 in August, 7.11 ERA with seven HRs allowed (five prior to August)
  • The current Red Sox roster is 4-for-30 against Andriese, but I can see those numbers improving drastically tonight – RHBs have slightly better numbers, but it may be time for Ortiz  to have another one of those massive games tonight

 

Philadelphia Phillies                                                                      Jerad Eickhoff   

  • Usually no interest in Eickhoff on the road, but I could see the reasoning on a two-pitcher site against the White Sox – Does have strikeout potential and could get the W against Shields
  • Jose Abreu has homered in three straight games … I also have interest in Adam Eaton and Melky Cabrera

Chicago White Sox                                                                          James Shields

  • The Phils are drastically underpriced on FanDuel, but have no such similarities on DraftKings where they are among some of the most expensive – This leads me to believe they’ll be worth rostering on FD
  • Cesar Hernandez, Odubel Herrera, Maikel Franco and Ryan Howard make up the top four hitters in the lineup tonight … All of them are worth a look
  • After having some success mid-season, Shields has gone back to his old ways…and that’s not a good thing

 

Detroit Tigers                                                                                    Matt Boyd

  • Without a doubt, one of the main pitchers that we should all be targeting tonight
  • Boyd has severe home/road splits
    • Home: 3-1, 2.82 ERA – 38.1 IP, 29 H/16 BB – .207 AVG
    • Road: 1-1, 5.34 ERA – 30.1 IP, 32 H/ BB – .264 AVG
  • Brian Dozier is very expensive tonight, but Miguel Sano is a way to get much cheaper exposure to the Twins

Minnesota Twins                                                                             Tyler Duffey

  • 67 ERA at home for Duffey, 13 HRs allowed in 59.1 IP, 79 H and 11 BB as well
  • RHBs are crushing him for a .315 AVG, 14 HRs – .367 OBP/.579 SLG/.946 OPS – all the Tigers big boppers are in play

 

New York Mets                                                                                 Jacob deGrom

St. Louis Cardinals                                                                          Carlos Martinez

  • The matchup between these two starters is TOO good to have one of them on FanDuel – I wouldn’t mind going with one of them on a two-pitcher site, but that’s up to you … It’s also interesting to note that Martinez is pitching on six days rest … DeGrom also got roughed up by a struggling Giants team last time out
  • Asdrubal Cabrera was the one value play that stuck out to me the most on each site, but I also wouldn’t mind taking a shot on Curtis Granderson, especially on FD2 at his discounted price of $6800

 

Atlanta Braves                                                                                  Julio Teheran

Arizona Diamondbacks                                                                Zack Greinke    

  • The law of averages would have us believe that we’re in for a pitcher’s duel this evening after two-straight slugfests, and I would have to agree with the law
  • Greinke is at discounted price across the industry going against one of the worst teams in MLB – The Braves just got to pick on two very weak pitchers the last two nights and they may be all swung out

 

San Francisco Giants                                                                      Johnny Cueto

  • Not a fan of Cueto tonight against these red-hot bats of the Dodgers, who are generously priced on FanDuel … Besides Corey Seager ($3900) and Justin Turner ($3300), the rest of them are at $3000 or lower

Los Angeles Dodgers                                                                      Rich Hill              

  • First start off the DL, last one was actually with the A’s on July 7th – 6 IP, 3 H, 2 BB, 10 K (57 FDP)
  • Giants are generally a tough team to strike out, but Hill will have the platoon advantage against many of the Giants best hitters